Thursday , 2 July 2026

Leeds United FC vs Sunderland AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Mon 17 Feb 2025 · 20:00 UTC Elland Road 36,804 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 32' Wilson Isidor
Pascal Struijk 78' 1–1
Pascal Struijk 90+5' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Sunderland AFCChampionship at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Pawson
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Sunderland AFC H 2–1 W
11 Feb Watford FC A 4–0 W
08 Feb Millwall FC H 0–2 L
05 Feb Coventry City FC A 2–0 W
01 Feb Cardiff City FC H 7–0 W
27 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Leeds United FC A 1–2 L
12 Feb Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
08 Feb Watford FC H 2–2 D
03 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 3–2 W
25 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–2 D
21 Jan Derby County FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Sunderland AFC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC47% Draw27% Sunderland AFC26%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Sunderland AFC
53%
Leeds United FC or Sunderland AFC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC31% Draw47% Sunderland AFC22%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Sunderland AFC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.