Thursday , 1 October 2026

Leeds United FC vs Sunderland AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Mon 17 Feb 2025 · 20:00 UTC Elland Road 36,804 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 32' Wilson Isidor
Pascal Struijk 78' 1–1
Pascal Struijk 90+5' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Sunderland AFC — Championship at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Pawson
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 20.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Sunderland AFC H 2–1 W
11 Feb Watford FC A 4–0 W
08 Feb Millwall FC H 0–2 L
05 Feb Coventry City FC A 2–0 W
01 Feb Cardiff City FC H 7–0 W
27 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Leeds United FC A 1–2 L
12 Feb Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
08 Feb Watford FC H 2–2 D
03 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 3–2 W
25 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–2 D
21 Jan Derby County FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Leeds United FC host Sunderland AFC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The travelling Sunderland AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mateo Fernandez made 360 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' The 26-year-old Daniel Ballard has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 31' It’s a booking for Leeds United FC player. Ao Tanaka gets a card.
  • 32' The Haiti Wilson Isidor breaks the deadlock on 32 minutes. 0-1!
  • 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' Jayden Bogle picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' Leeds United FC have won 534 goals from 360 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 55' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 56' Jobe Bellingham picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 61' A meaty challenge results in booking for Trai Hume on 61.
  • 66' Ilia Gruev needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 71' Ilia Gruev makes way for Joe Rothwell at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Leeds United FC.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Salis Abdul Samed. He replaces Chris Rigg on 76 minute.
  • 78' Magnificent from Pascal Struijk! That is 14 goals in 360 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 79' The whistle greets Manor Solomon as he departs to be replaced by Largie Ramazani.
  • 80' The referee calls foul for Dennis Cirkin. He receives a card.
  • 83' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Anthony Patterson.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Ian Poveda. He replaces Patrick Roberts on 86 minute.
  • 90' Another change for Leeds United FC made on 90 minute. Junior Firpo leaves to be changed by Sam Byram.
  • 90' The referee shows Leeds United FC player a card on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Leeds United FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Sunderland AFC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC47% Draw27% Sunderland AFC26%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Sunderland AFC
53%
Leeds United FC or Sunderland AFC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC31% Draw47% Sunderland AFC22%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Sunderland AFC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.