Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Mon 22 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Riverside HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Leeds United FCChampionship at Riverside.

Match Details

  • Referee Tony Harrington
  • Assistant 1 Mark Scholes
  • Assistant 2 Paul Hodskinson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Leeds United FC H 3–4 L
13 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
10 Apr Hull City AFC A 2–2 D
06 Apr Swansea City AFC H 2–0 W
01 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
29 Mar Southampton FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Middlesbrough FC A 4–3 W
13 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
09 Apr Sunderland AFC H 0–0 D
06 Apr Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
01 Apr Hull City AFC H 3–1 W
29 Mar Watford FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.68 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC or Leeds United FC 74% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC35% Draw26% Leeds United FC39%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Leeds United FC
65%
Middlesbrough FC or Leeds United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC28% Draw41% Leeds United FC31%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5%
0 – 1
5%
1 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.7%
0 – 0
4.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 3
4%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 17% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 18% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.