Sunday , 16 August 2026

Leeds United FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 2 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC Elland Road HT 45' · FT 45'
Daniel James 5' 1–1
Joel Piroe pen 38' 3–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 3–2 W
29 Nov Swansea City AFC H 3–1 W
24 Nov Rotherham United FC A 1–1 D
11 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–1 W
03 Nov Leicester City FC A 1–0 W
28 Oct Huddersfield Town AFC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Leeds United FC A 2–3 L
28 Nov Preston North End FC H 4–0 W
25 Nov Bristol City FC A 2–3 L
11 Nov Leicester City FC H 1–0 W
04 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–3 D
28 Oct Stoke City FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.96 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC57% Draw23% Middlesbrough FC20%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
43%
Leeds United FC or Middlesbrough FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC39% Draw42% Middlesbrough FC19%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 22% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.