Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2018-19 PROMOTION PLAY OFFS SEMI FINALS

Championship · 2018-19
Sat 11 May 2019 · 16:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
05 May West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–1 W
01 May Swansea City AFC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Bristol City FC A 2–0 W
22 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
19 Apr Birmingham City FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Derby County FC A 1–0 W
05 May Ipswich Town FC A 2–3 L
28 Apr Aston Villa FC H 1–1 D
22 Apr Brentford FC A 0–2 L
19 Apr Wigan Athletic FC H 1–2 L
13 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Derby County FC welcome Leeds United FC for this crunch clash at .
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Duane Holmes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Leeds United FC.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bradley Johnson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 24' A tactical swap from Leeds United AFC — Jamie Shackleton on, Adam Forshaw off on 24 minutes.
  • 29' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Leeds United FC backline.
  • 34' Luke Ayling has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 39' The 34-year-old Kelle Roos has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 49' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam Cooper made 358 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 55' Kemar Roofe makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Leeds United AFC are in front.
  • 55' Tom Lawrence picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 60' Leeds United FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 63' Leeds United AFC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 64' The crowd applauds David Nugent as he leaves the pitch. Jack Marriott steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 65' Liam Cooper has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 65.
  • 67' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Richard Keogh on 67 minutes.
  • 68' Duane Holmes is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
  • 70' Derby County FC ring the changes. Duane Holmes has done his job and it is now time for Mason Bennett to step up.
  • 75' England international Scott Malone has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 80' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Leeds United FC that had 358 games and scored 532 goals.
  • 81' The whistle greets Kemar Roofe as he departs to be replaced by Jack Clarke.
  • 86' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Tom Lawrence departs to be replaced by Tom Huddlestone.
  • 87' Mateusz Klich catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 87.
  • 89' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Tom Huddlestone gets a Yellow card.
  • Derby County FC will have plenty to reflect on. Leeds United FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.21 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Leeds United FC 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC34% Draw30% Leeds United FC36%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Leeds United FC
66%
Derby County FC or Leeds United FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC24% Draw49% Leeds United FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 20% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.