Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Leeds United FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 PROMOTION PLAY OFFS SEMI FINALS

Championship · 2018-19
Wed 15 May 2019 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Friend
  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Referee Gary Beswick
  • Referee Adam Nunn

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 May Derby County FC H 2–4 L
11 May Derby County FC A 1–0 W
05 May Ipswich Town FC A 2–3 L
28 Apr Aston Villa FC H 1–1 D
22 Apr Brentford FC A 0–2 L
19 Apr Wigan Athletic FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 May Leeds United FC A 4–2 W
11 May Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
05 May West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–1 W
01 May Swansea City AFC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Bristol City FC A 2–0 W
22 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC37% Draw26% Derby County FC37%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Derby County FC
63%
Leeds United FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC27% Draw43% Derby County FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.