Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yoshiro Imamura
- Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
- Assistant 2 Ryosuke Murai
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jul | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | FC Tokyo | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | FC Tokyo | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jul | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Jun | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Kashima Antlers | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 31 | Points | 45 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 15 / 0 / 3 |
| 46 | Scored | 40 |
| 44 | Conceded | 20 |
| +2 | GD | +20 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 56% | Win % | 83% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Toyota Stadium!
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Naomichi Ueda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
- 10' Kashima Antlers is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' Tomoki Hayakawa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 25' Tsukasa Morishima is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kashima Antlers tonight.
- 28' A meaty challenge results in booking for Koki Anzai on 28.
- 33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 37' Goal! Yuki Nogami scores his 7 goal in 335 matches.
- 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 46' Hidehiro Sugai is replacing Shuhei Mizoguchi for the Kashima Antlers side.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kasper Junker suffering a number of foals already.
- 55' Fresh legs for Kashima Antlers! Kei Chinen comes on to replace Yuki Kakita.
- 60' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 67' Fresh legs for Kashima Antlers! Yuta Matsumura comes on to replace Yuta Higuchi.
- 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kashima Antlers needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 76' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Naoki Maeda comes on to replace Kensuke Nagai.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Noriyoshi Sakai. He replaces Kasper Junker on 77 minute.
- 82' Ikuma Sekigawa makes way for Tomoya Fujii at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kashima Antlers.
- 86' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Sho Inagaki gets a card.
- 88' Takuji Yonemoto gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Yuki Nogami and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 89.
- 90' Tomoya Fujii has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 90' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Taika Nakashima on, Tsukasa Morishima off on 90 minutes.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nagoya Grampus to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Naoki Maeda 76'
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Takuji Yonemoto 88'
- 14
- 15
- 13
- 4
- 17
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Noriyoshi Sakai 77'
- 24
Bench
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 88'
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 76'
- 3
- 16
-
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 77'
-
27
Taika Nakashima ↑ 90'
- 20
Kashima Antlers Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 55
- 21
- 2
- 40
-
5
Ikuma Sekigawa ↓ Tomoya Fujii 82'
-
14
Yuta Higuchi ↓ Yuta Matsumura 67'
-
33
Hayato Nakama ↓ Ryotaro Araki 67'
-
37
Yuki Kakita ↓ Kei Chinen 55'
- 29
- 25
- 28
Bench
-
13
Kei Chinen ↑ 55'
- 3
- 31
-
15
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 82'
-
10
Ryotaro Araki ↑ 67'
-
27
Yuta Matsumura ↑ 67'
-
16
Hidehiro Sugai ↑ 46'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hayato Nakama | 4 |
| Shoma Doi | 3 |
| Mateus | 3 |
| Kei Chinen | 2 |
| Takashi Kanai | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Kashima Antlers Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.24
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65
Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for:
Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers 74% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
60%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
66%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
8.3%
0 – 2
7.4%
0 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Kashima Antlers covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 21% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

