Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 13 Aug 2023 · 09:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 38,642 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuki Nogami 37' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima AntlersJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yoshiro Imamura
  • Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
  • Assistant 2 Ryosuke Murai

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Aug Kashima Antlers H 1–0 W
05 Aug Albirex Niigata H 1–0 W
16 Jul Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–2 L
08 Jul Yokohama F.Marinos H 2–2 D
01 Jul Kawasaki Frontale H 2–0 W
24 Jun FC Tokyo A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Aug Nagoya Grampus A 0–1 L
06 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 3–0 W
16 Jul FC Tokyo A 3–1 W
08 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D
01 Jul Kyoto Sanga FC H 0–0 D
24 Jun Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Kashima Antlers
#3 Position #11
31 Points 45
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 15 / 0 / 3
46 Scored 40
44 Conceded 20
+2 GD +20
1.72 PPG 2.50
56% Win % 83%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
0% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashima Antlers
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Toyota Stadium!
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Naomichi Ueda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 10' Kashima Antlers is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Tomoki Hayakawa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' Tsukasa Morishima is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kashima Antlers tonight.
  • 28' A meaty challenge results in booking for Koki Anzai on 28.
  • 33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 37' Goal! Yuki Nogami scores his 7 goal in 335 matches.
  • 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' Hidehiro Sugai is replacing Shuhei Mizoguchi for the Kashima Antlers side.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kasper Junker suffering a number of foals already.
  • 55' Fresh legs for Kashima Antlers! Kei Chinen comes on to replace Yuki Kakita.
  • 60' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 67' Fresh legs for Kashima Antlers! Yuta Matsumura comes on to replace Yuta Higuchi.
  • 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kashima Antlers needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 76' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Naoki Maeda comes on to replace Kensuke Nagai.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Noriyoshi Sakai. He replaces Kasper Junker on 77 minute.
  • 82' Ikuma Sekigawa makes way for Tomoya Fujii at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kashima Antlers.
  • 86' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Sho Inagaki gets a card.
  • 88' Takuji Yonemoto gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Yuki Nogami and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 89.
  • 90' Tomoya Fujii has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Nagoya GrampusTaika Nakashima on, Tsukasa Morishima off on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nagoya Grampus to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.24 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65 Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers 74% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus34% Draw26% Kashima Antlers40%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
60%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
66%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus22% Draw45% Kashima Antlers33%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
8.3%
0 – 2
7.4%
0 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 16% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 21% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
20%
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.