Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 0

Full Time

Kashima Antlers

Sun 13 Aug 2023 · 09:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 38,642 HT 45' · FT 45'

Yuki Nogami 37' 1–0

Y 28' Koki Anzai

Sho Inagaki 86' Y

Haruya Fujii 89' Y

Y 90' Tomoya Fujii

Y 90' Diego Pituca

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Yoshiro Imamura
Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
Assistant 2 Ryosuke Murai

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Kashima Antlers

Last 5 meetings

2023-08-13 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kashima Antlers 2023-05-14 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-06-26 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kashima Antlers 2022-04-17 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2021-05-12 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Kashima Antlers

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Aug	Kashima Antlers	H	1–0	W
05 Aug	Albirex Niigata	H	1–0	W
16 Jul	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	1–2	L
08 Jul	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	2–2	D
01 Jul	Kawasaki Frontale	H	2–0	W
24 Jun	FC Tōkyō	A	0–2	L

Kashima Antlers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–1	L
06 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	3–0	W
16 Jul	FC Tōkyō	A	3–1	W
08 Jul	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–1	D
01 Jul	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	0–0	D
24 Jun	Gamba Osaka	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Kashima Antlers
#3	Position	#11
31	Points	45
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	15 / 0 / 3
46	Scored	40
44	Conceded	20
+2	GD	+20
1.72	PPG	2.50
56%	Win %	83%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

61% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Kashima Antlers

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

2/3

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/–

76+

6/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Nagoya Grampus have kicked off against Kashima Antlers. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' With 1 assists to his name this season, Hidehiro Sugai is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
25' Kashima Antlers have won 468 goals from 447 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
28' The referee calls foul for Koki Anzai. He receives a card.
33' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
37' Yuki Nogami does the damage! The net is bulging and Nagoya Grampus surge ahead!
42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
46' Shuhei Mizoguchi makes way for Hidehiro Sugai at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kashima Antlers.
51' Naomichi Ueda has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 358 appearances.
55' Another substitution for Kashima Antlers to replace Yuki Kakita by Kei Chinen on 55 minute.
60' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
65' Hayato Nakama, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
67' Kashima Antlers ring the changes. Yuta Higuchi has done his job and it is now time for Yuta Matsumura to step up.
72' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
76' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Kensuke Nagai trudges off to be replaced by Naoki Maeda on 76 minutes.
77' Noriyoshi Sakai is replacing Kasper Junker for the Nagoya Grampus side.
82' Time for substitution for Kashima Antlers. Ikuma Sekigawa is replaced by Tomoya Fujii.
86' It’s gonna be a card for Sho Inagaki.
88' Takuji Yonemoto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuki Nogami at the 88 minute mark.
89' It’s gonna be a card for Haruya Fujii.
90' It’s a booking for Kashima Antlers player. Tomoya Fujii gets a card.
90' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Tsukasa Morishima is replaced by Taika Nakashima on 90 minute.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nagoya Grampus players.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

34
Takuya Uchida
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Naoki Maeda 76'
1
Mitch Langerak
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Takuji Yonemoto 88'
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Taika Nakashima 90'
15
Sho Inagaki
13
Haruya Fujii
4
Shinnosuke Nakatani
17
Ryoya Morishita
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Noriyoshi Sakai 77'
24
Akinari Kawazura

Bench

Kashima Antlers Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

55
Naomichi Ueda
21
Diego Pituca
2
Koki Anzai
40
Yuma Suzuki
5
Ikuma Sekigawa ↓ Tomoya Fujii 82'
14
Yuta Higuchi ↓ Yuta Matsumura 67'
33
Hayato Nakama ↓ Ryotaro Araki 67'
37
Yuki Kakita ↓ Kei Chinen 55'
29
Tomoki Hayakawa
25
Kaishu Sano
28
Shuhei Mizoguchi ↓ Hidehiro Sugai 46'

Bench

13
Kei Chinen ↑ 55'
3
Gen Shoji
31
Yuya Oki
15
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 82'
10
Ryotaro Araki ↑ 67'
27
Yuta Matsumura ↑ 67'
16
Hidehiro Sugai ↑ 46'

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Hayato Nakama	4
Shoma Doi	3
Mateus	3
Kei Chinen	2
Takashi Kanai	2
Sho Inagaki	2
Yuma Suzuki	2
Homare Tokuda	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2023-08-13 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kashima Antlers W 2023-08-05 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Albirex Niigata W 2023-07-16 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-07-08 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Yokohama F·Marinos D 2023-07-01 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Kawasaki Frontale W 2023-06-24 FC Tōkyō 2–0 Nagoya Grampus L

Kashima Antlers Form

2023-08-13 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kashima Antlers L 2023-08-06 Kashima Antlers 3–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2023-07-16 FC Tōkyō 1–3 Kashima Antlers W 2023-07-08 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Kashima Antlers D 2023-07-01 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Kyoto Sanga FC D 2023-06-24 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Kashima Antlers L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

1.24 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.65 Kashima Antlers xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers 74% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus34% Draw26% Kashima Antlers40%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.89

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

60%

Draw or Kashima Antlers

66%

Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus22% Draw45% Kashima Antlers33%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

1 – 2

0 – 1

8.3%

0 – 2

7.4%

0 – 0

7.4%

2 – 1

6.8%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 2

5.6%

1 – 3

2 – 0

4.2%

0 – 3

2 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	16%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	21%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	14%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

20% ✗

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.