Saturday , 10 October 2026

K. Sint-Truidense VV vs KV Mechelen, Jupiler League 2025-26 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

Jupiler Pro League · 2025-26
Sun 24 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC Staaien HT 45' · FT 45'
Arbnor Muja 24' 1–0
Taiga Hata 45+3' 2–0
Ryan Merlen 71' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

K. Sint-Truidense VV vs KV Mechelen — Jupiler League at Staaien.

Match Details

  • Referee Jasper Vergoote
  • Assistant 1 Michael Geerolf
  • Assistant 2 Michele Seeldraeyers
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 8.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May KV Mechelen H 3–0 W
21 May RSC Anderlecht A 1–3 L
16 May KAA Gent H 1–1 D
09 May Club Brugge KV A 0–2 L
02 May Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 2–1 W
26 Apr KV Mechelen A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May K. Sint-Truidense VV A 0–3 L
21 May Club Brugge KV H 2–2 D
17 May RSC Anderlecht A 2–2 D
10 May Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 0–3 L
03 May KAA Gent H 1–0 W
26 Apr K. Sint-Truidense VV H 1–4 L

Season Stats

K. Sint-Truidense VV KV Mechelen
#12 Position #17
8 Points 3
7 Played 7
2 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 0 / 3 / 4
12 Scored 5
12 Conceded 14
+0 GD -9
1.14 PPG 0.43
29% Win % 0%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
K. Sint-Truidense VV this season
14% Clean Sheets
KV Mechelen this season

K. Sint-Truidense VV are 12th (8 pts). KV Mechelen are 17th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

K. Sint-Truidense VV
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/5
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
KV Mechelen
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/5
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

K. Sint-Truidense VV
Samed Bazdar 4 G
Ryan Merlen 3 G 3 A
Ilias Sebaoui 1 G 3 A
Nelson Ishiwatari 1 G 1 A
KV Mechelen
Myron van Brederode 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Staaien. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Staaien. K. Sint-Truidense VV seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' It’s high time Frédéric Vanderbiest made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 24' A goal from the Kosovo international Arbnor Muja! He fires home on 24 to make it 1-0!
  • 29' K. Sint-Truidense VV currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 34' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 40' A meaty challenge results in booking for Massimo Decoene on 40.
  • 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 48' What composure from Taiga Hata! The Japan international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 48' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Redouane Halhal on 48 minutes.
  • 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
  • 58' The 24-year-old Jose Marsa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 63' It is a cagey affair so far. K. Sint-Truidense VV in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past KV Mechelen's compact 3-4-1-2.
  • 68' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 69' Controversy at the stadium! Robert-Jan Vanwesemael argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 71' Goal! Ryan Merlen scores his 6 goal in 270 matches.
  • 76' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Frédéric Vanderbiest will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dikeni Salifou is clearly more than just a goal scorer for K. Sint-Truidense VV.
  • 86' Massimo Decoene has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 87' Controversy at the stadium! Ryan Merlen argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 3-0 the final result. KV Mechelen will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.59 K. Sint-Truidense VV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71 KV Mechelen xG
I would bet for: K. Sint-Truidense VV to win 73% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
K. Sint-Truidense VV73% Draw17% KV Mechelen10%
Actual: K. Sint-Truidense VV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

K. Sint-Truidense VV or Draw
90%
Draw or KV Mechelen
27%
K. Sint-Truidense VV or KV Mechelen
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
K. Sint-Truidense VV56% Draw36% KV Mechelen8%
Actual: K. Sint-Truidense VV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.4%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
7.3%
4 – 0
6.6%
0 – 0
5.1%
4 – 1
4.8%
5 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — K. Sint-Truidense VV

Handicap K. Sint-Truidense VV covers Push KV Mechelen covers
-2.5 33% — 67%
-2 33% 22% 45%
-1.5 55% — 45%
-1 55% 21% 24%
-0.5 76% — 24%
+0.5 93% — 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

K. Sint-Truidense VV keeps clean sheet
50% ✗
KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.