Sunday , 12 July 2026

K. Sint-Truidense VV vs KV Mechelen, Jupiler League 2025-26 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

Jupiler Pro League · 2025-26
Sun 24 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC Staaien HT 45' · FT 45'
Arbnor Muja 24' 1–0
Taiga Hata 45+3' 2–0
Ryan Merlen 71' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

K. Sint-Truidense VV vs KV MechelenJupiler League at Staaien.

Match Details

  • Referee Jasper Vergoote
  • Assistant 1 Michael Geerolf
  • Assistant 2 Michele Seeldraeyers

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May KV Mechelen H 3–0 W
21 May RSC Anderlecht A 1–3 L
16 May KAA Gent H 1–1 D
09 May Club Brugge KV A 0–2 L
02 May Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 2–1 W
26 Apr KV Mechelen A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May K. Sint-Truidense VV A 0–3 L
21 May Club Brugge KV H 2–2 D
17 May RSC Anderlecht A 2–2 D
10 May Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 0–3 L
03 May KAA Gent H 1–0 W
26 Apr K. Sint-Truidense VV H 1–4 L

Season Stats

K. Sint-Truidense VV KV Mechelen
#3 Position #5
57 Points 45
30 Played 30
18 / 3 / 9 W / D / L 12 / 9 / 9
47 Scored 39
35 Conceded 37
+12 GD +2
1.90 PPG 1.50
60% Win % 40%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

K. Sint-Truidense VV are 3rd (57 pts). KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. K. Sint-Truidense VV is hosting KV Mechelen for another epic battle.
  • 5' It looks surprising K. Sint-Truidense VV does not make any changes. Mathis Servais has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' KV Mechelen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' The travelling KV Mechelen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 24' What a strike from Arbnor Muja! The score is 1-0.
  • 29' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 34' Robert-Jan Vanwesemael needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 7 Yellow cards this season.
  • 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering K. Sint-Truidense VV that had 263 games and scored 326 goals.
  • 40' Massimo Decoene is having his name booked by the referee on 40.
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Bouke Boersma made 35 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 48' GOAL! Taiga Hata scores on 45. Assisted by Arbnor Muja
  • 48' It’s a booking for KV Mechelen player. Redouane Halhal gets a card.
  • 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
  • 58' K. Sint-Truidense VV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 63' K. Sint-Truidense VV is showing some good football. However, K. Sint-Truidense VV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 68' It looks like no one’s ball. KV Mechelen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 69' The referee shows K. Sint-Truidense VV player a card on 69.
  • 71' GOAL! Ryan Merlen scores on 71.
  • 76' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 81' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 86' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. K. Sint-Truidense VV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 87' Ryan Merlen was booked on 87.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for K. Sint-Truidense VV players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 K. Sint-Truidense VV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 KV Mechelen xG
I would bet for: K. Sint-Truidense VV to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
K. Sint-Truidense VV65% Draw21% KV Mechelen14%
Actual: K. Sint-Truidense VV win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

K. Sint-Truidense VV or Draw
86%
Draw or KV Mechelen
35%
K. Sint-Truidense VV or KV Mechelen
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
K. Sint-Truidense VV46% Draw42% KV Mechelen12%
Actual: K. Sint-Truidense VV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
10.3%
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
4%
1 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — K. Sint-Truidense VV

Handicap K. Sint-Truidense VV covers Push KV Mechelen covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 23% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

K. Sint-Truidense VV keeps clean sheet
43%
KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.