KV Mechelen vs K. Sint-Truidense VV, Jupiler League 2025-26 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND
Overview
Match Preview
KV Mechelen vs K. Sint-Truidense VV — Jupiler League at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne.
- KV Mechelen 11 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- K. Sint-Truidense VV 11 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Lawrence Visser
8 games this season
🟨 4.5/game
⚽ 17.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | KAA Gent | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | RSC Anderlecht | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Lommel SK | 11 | 16 |
| 7 | KRC Genk | 11 | 15 |
| 8 | Royal Standard de Liège | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | K. Sint-Truidense VV | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Royal Antwerp FC | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | SV Zulte-Waregem | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | SK Beveren | 11 | 10 |
| 16 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 11 | 9 |
| 17 | UR La Louvière Centre | 11 | 7 |
| 18 | KV Kortrijk | 11 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | K. Sint-Truidense VV | H | 1–4 | L |
| 22 Apr | Club Brugge KV | A | 1–6 | L |
| 18 Apr | RSC Anderlecht | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | KAA Gent | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Club Brugge KV | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | KV Mechelen | A | 4–1 | W |
| 23 Apr | RSC Anderlecht | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | KAA Gent | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Apr | Club Brugge KV | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Mar | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| KV Mechelen | K. Sint-Truidense VV | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #12 |
| 12 | Points | 11 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 3 / 3 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 6 |
| 13 | Scored | 22 |
| 20 | Conceded | 22 |
| -7 | GD | +0 |
| 1.09 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 27% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
KV Mechelen this season
KV Mechelen this season
9%
Clean Sheets
K. Sint-Truidense VV this season
K. Sint-Truidense VV this season
KV Mechelen are 11th (12 pts). K. Sint-Truidense VV are 12th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
KV Mechelen
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
K. Sint-Truidense VV
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
5/6
61-75
6/3
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
KV Mechelen
| Myron van Brederode | 4 G |
K. Sint-Truidense VV
| Samed Bazdar | 5 G | |
| Ilias Sebaoui | 4 G | 3 A |
| Ryan Merlen | 3 G | 4 A |
| Nelson Ishiwatari | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: KV Mechelen gets underway.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' A quiet spell here at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne. K. Sint-Truidense VV seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 26' Bouke Boersma makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and KV Mechelen are in front.
- 31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 36' KV Mechelen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 41' Kaito Matsuzawa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 271 appearances.
- 44' Magnificent from Joedrick Pupe! That is 1 goals in 69 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' A moment of madness from Abdoulaye Sissako on 46 minutes earns him a card. K. Sint-Truidense VV will be frustrated.
- 46' Kaito Matsuzawa makes way for Ryan Merlen at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from K. Sint-Truidense VV.
- 49' Ryan Merlen puts K. Sint-Truidense VV on the lead.
- 54' The travelling K. Sint-Truidense VV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 59' KV Mechelen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 63' Goal! Ilias Sebaoui scores his 10 goal in 100 matches.
- 68' Mory Konate, a Guinea midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 73' The whistle greets Bouke Boersma as he departs to be replaced by Benito Raman.
- 75' Goal! Ryotaro Ito scores his 14 goal in 105 matches.
- 80' Shogo Taniguchi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 83' The K. Sint-Truidense VV manager makes a substitution. Ilias Sebaoui departs to be replaced by Shion Shinkawa.
- 84' Loic Mbe Soh is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryotaro Ito at the 84 minute mark.
- 86' KV Mechelen ring the changes. Kerim Mrabti has done his job and it is now time for Bilal Bafdili to step up.
- 88' Wolke Janssens is replacing Abdoulaye Sissako for the K. Sint-Truidense VV side.
- 90' Fredrik Hammar picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- K. Sint-Truidense VV celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
KV Mechelen Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
19
Kerim Mrabti ↓ Bilal Bafdili 86'
- 6
- 17
- 2
- 3
- 9
- 38
- 7
- 13
-
28
Bouke Boersma ↓ Benito Raman 73'
Bench
-
14
Benito Raman ↑ 73'
- 1
- 33
-
11
Bilal Bafdili ↑ 86'
- 12
-
27
Keano Vanrafelghem ↑ 73'
- 39
- 15
- 4
- 10
Coach
Frédéric Vanderbiest
K. Sint-Truidense VV Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
- 26
-
13
Ryotaro Ito ↓ Loic Mbe Soh 84'
- 6
-
23
Joedrick Pupe ↓ Simen Juklerod 73'
-
10
Ilias Sebaoui ↓ Shion Shinkawa 83'
- 60
- 16
-
38
Kaito Matsuzawa ↓ Ryan Merlen 46'
- 42
Bench
-
22
Wolke Janssens ↑ 88'
-
18
Simen Juklerod ↑ 73'
- 12
-
4
Loic Mbe Soh ↑ 84'
- 3
- 21
- 33
-
14
Ryan Merlen ↑ 46'
- 77
-
99
Shion Shinkawa ↑ 83'
Coach
Wouter Vrancken
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gianni Bruno | 3 |
| Ryotaro Ito | 3 |
| Aster Vranckx | 2 |
| Ilias Sebaoui | 2 |
| Ryan Merlen | 2 |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Andres Ferrari | 2 |
| Geoffry Hairemans | 2 |
Head to Head
KV Mechelen Form
K. Sint-Truidense VV Form
2026-04-26
KV Mechelen
1–4
K. Sint-Truidense VV
W
2026-04-23
K. Sint-Truidense VV
2–0
RSC Anderlecht
W
2026-04-19
KAA Gent
0–0
K. Sint-Truidense VV
D
2026-04-11
K. Sint-Truidense VV
1–2
Club Brugge KV
L
2026-04-04
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
1–0
K. Sint-Truidense VV
L
2026-03-22
K. Sint-Truidense VV
1–3
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
KV Mechelen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22
K. Sint-Truidense VV xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: K. Sint-Truidense VV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
KV Mechelen or Draw
45%
Draw or K. Sint-Truidense VV
78%
KV Mechelen or K. Sint-Truidense VV
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — KV Mechelen
| Handicap | KV Mechelen covers | Push | K. Sint-Truidense VV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 21% | 37% |
| +1.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +2 | 63% | 18% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
K. Sint-Truidense VV keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

