Thursday , 2 July 2026

KV Mechelen vs K. Sint-Truidense VV, Jupiler League 2025-26 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

Jupiler Pro League · 2025-26
Sun 26 Apr 2026 · 14:00 UTC AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

KV Mechelen vs K. Sint-Truidense VVJupiler League at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne.

Match Details

  • Referee Lawrence Visser

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr K. Sint-Truidense VV H 1–4 L
22 Apr Club Brugge KV A 1–6 L
18 Apr RSC Anderlecht H 1–2 L
12 Apr Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 0–1 L
06 Apr KAA Gent A 1–1 D
22 Mar Club Brugge KV A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr KV Mechelen A 4–1 W
23 Apr RSC Anderlecht H 2–0 W
19 Apr KAA Gent A 0–0 D
11 Apr Club Brugge KV H 1–2 L
04 Apr Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 0–1 L
22 Mar Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 1–3 L

Season Stats

KV Mechelen K. Sint-Truidense VV
#5 Position #3
45 Points 57
30 Played 30
12 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 18 / 3 / 9
39 Scored 47
37 Conceded 35
+2 GD +12
1.50 PPG 1.90
40% Win % 60%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts). K. Sint-Truidense VV are 3rd (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. KV Mechelen is hosting K. Sint-Truidense VV for another epic battle.
  • 5' KV Mechelen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' The travelling K. Sint-Truidense VV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. KV Mechelen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bill Antonio, as he is very good at scoring at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rihito Yamamoto suffering a number of foals already.
  • 26' KV Mechelen is taking the lead after the goal scored by Bouke Boersma on 26.
  • 31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 36' KV Mechelen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 41' KV Mechelen is showing some good football. However, KV Mechelen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 44' GOAL! Joedrick Pupe scores on 44. Assisted by Ryotaro Ito
  • 46' That looks like a foul for a card for Abdoulaye Sissako.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Merlen. He replaces Kaito Matsuzawa on 46 minute.
  • 49' What a strike from Ryan Merlen! The score is 1-2.
  • 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nacho Miras made 223 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 4 times this season with K. Sint-Truidense VV winning 75% of all matches.
  • 63' GOAL! Ilias Sebaoui scores on 63. Assisted by Ryan Merlen
  • 68' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. K. Sint-Truidense VV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 73' It is a substitution in KV Mechelen team. Bouke Boersma is replaced by Benito Raman on 73 minute.
  • 75' GOAL! Ryotaro Ito scores on 75. Assisted by Ilias Sebaoui
  • 80' Therence Koudou needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 83' Another substitution for K. Sint-Truidense VV to replace Ilias Sebaoui by Shion Shinkawa on 83 minute.
  • 84' Time for substitution for K. Sint-Truidense VV. Ryotaro Ito is replaced by Loic Mbe Soh.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Bilal Bafdili. He replaces Kerim Mrabti on 86 minute.
  • 88' The K. Sint-Truidense VV manager makes a substitution. Abdoulaye Sissako departs to be replaced by Wolke Janssens.
  • 90' KV Mechelen receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for KV Mechelen.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.05 KV Mechelen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 K. Sint-Truidense VV xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KV Mechelen23% Draw25% K. Sint-Truidense VV52%
Actual: K. Sint-Truidense VV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

KV Mechelen or Draw
48%
Draw or K. Sint-Truidense VV
77%
KV Mechelen or K. Sint-Truidense VV
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
KV Mechelen17% Draw44% K. Sint-Truidense VV39%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 1
9.4%
0 – 2
9.2%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 0
5%
2 – 3
3.2%
2 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — KV Mechelen

Handicap KV Mechelen covers Push K. Sint-Truidense VV covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 13% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 23% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
17%
K. Sint-Truidense VV keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.