KV Mechelen vs K. Sint-Truidense VV, Jupiler League 2025-26 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND
Overview
Match Preview
KV Mechelen vs K. Sint-Truidense VV — Jupiler League at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne.
- KV Mechelen 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- K. Sint-Truidense VV 30 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Lawrence Visser
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 30 | 66 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | K. Sint-Truidense VV | 30 | 57 |
| 4 | KAA Gent | 30 | 45 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 30 | 45 |
| 6 | RSC Anderlecht | 30 | 44 |
| 7 | KRC Genk | 30 | 42 |
| 8 | Royal Standard de Liege | 30 | 40 |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 30 | 39 |
| 10 | Royal Antwerp FC | 30 | 35 |
| 11 | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi | 30 | 34 |
| 12 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 30 | 34 |
| 13 | SV Zulte-Waregem | 30 | 32 |
| 14 | UR La Louviere Centre | 30 | 31 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 30 | 31 |
| 16 | FC Verbroedering Dender EH | 30 | 19 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | K. Sint-Truidense VV | H | 1–4 | L |
| 22 Apr | Club Brugge KV | A | 1–6 | L |
| 18 Apr | RSC Anderlecht | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | KAA Gent | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Club Brugge KV | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | KV Mechelen | A | 4–1 | W |
| 23 Apr | RSC Anderlecht | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | KAA Gent | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Apr | Club Brugge KV | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Mar | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| KV Mechelen | K. Sint-Truidense VV | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 45 | Points | 57 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 12 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 18 / 3 / 9 |
| 39 | Scored | 47 |
| 37 | Conceded | 35 |
| +2 | GD | +12 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.90 |
| 40% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts). K. Sint-Truidense VV are 3rd (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. KV Mechelen is hosting K. Sint-Truidense VV for another epic battle.
- 5' KV Mechelen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' The travelling K. Sint-Truidense VV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. KV Mechelen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bill Antonio, as he is very good at scoring at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rihito Yamamoto suffering a number of foals already.
- 26' KV Mechelen is taking the lead after the goal scored by Bouke Boersma on 26.
- 31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 36' KV Mechelen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 41' KV Mechelen is showing some good football. However, KV Mechelen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 44' GOAL! Joedrick Pupe scores on 44. Assisted by Ryotaro Ito
- 46' That looks like a foul for a card for Abdoulaye Sissako.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Merlen. He replaces Kaito Matsuzawa on 46 minute.
- 49' What a strike from Ryan Merlen! The score is 1-2.
- 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nacho Miras made 223 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 4 times this season with K. Sint-Truidense VV winning 75% of all matches.
- 63' GOAL! Ilias Sebaoui scores on 63. Assisted by Ryan Merlen
- 68' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. K. Sint-Truidense VV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 73' It is a substitution in KV Mechelen team. Bouke Boersma is replaced by Benito Raman on 73 minute.
- 75' GOAL! Ryotaro Ito scores on 75. Assisted by Ilias Sebaoui
- 80' Therence Koudou needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 83' Another substitution for K. Sint-Truidense VV to replace Ilias Sebaoui by Shion Shinkawa on 83 minute.
- 84' Time for substitution for K. Sint-Truidense VV. Ryotaro Ito is replaced by Loic Mbe Soh.
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Bilal Bafdili. He replaces Kerim Mrabti on 86 minute.
- 88' The K. Sint-Truidense VV manager makes a substitution. Abdoulaye Sissako departs to be replaced by Wolke Janssens.
- 90' KV Mechelen receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for KV Mechelen.
Lineups
KV Mechelen Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
19
Kerim Mrabti ↓ Bilal Bafdili 86'
- 6
- 17
- 2
- 3
- 9
- 38
- 7
- 13
-
28
Bouke Boersma ↓ Benito Raman 73'
Bench
-
14
Benito Raman ↑ 73'
- 1
- 33
-
11
Bilal Bafdili ↑ 86'
- 12
-
27
Keano Vanrafelghem ↑ 73'
- 39
- 15
- 4
- 10
Coach
Frédéric Vanderbiest
K. Sint-Truidense VV Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
- 26
-
13
Ryotaro Ito ↓ Loic Mbe Soh 84'
- 6
-
23
Joedrick Pupe ↓ Simen Juklerod 73'
-
10
Ilias Sebaoui ↓ Shion Shinkawa 83'
- 60
- 16
-
38
Kaito Matsuzawa ↓ Ryan Merlen 46'
- 42
Bench
-
22
Wolke Janssens ↑ 88'
-
18
Simen Juklerod ↑ 73'
- 12
-
4
Loic Mbe Soh ↑ 84'
- 3
- 21
- 33
-
14
Ryan Merlen ↑ 46'
- 77
-
99
Shion Shinkawa ↑ 83'
Coach
Wouter Vrancken
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gianni Bruno | 3 |
| Ryotaro Ito | 3 |
| Aster Vranckx | 2 |
| Ryan Merlen | 2 |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Andres Ferrari | 2 |
| Geoffry Hairemans | 2 |
| Aziz Ouattara | 1 |
Head to Head
KV Mechelen Form
K. Sint-Truidense VV Form
2026-04-26
KV Mechelen
1–4
K. Sint-Truidense VV
W
2026-04-23
K. Sint-Truidense VV
2–0
RSC Anderlecht
W
2026-04-19
KAA Gent
0–0
K. Sint-Truidense VV
D
2026-04-11
K. Sint-Truidense VV
1–2
Club Brugge KV
L
2026-04-04
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
1–0
K. Sint-Truidense VV
L
2026-03-22
K. Sint-Truidense VV
1–3
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.05
KV Mechelen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
K. Sint-Truidense VV xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: K. Sint-Truidense VV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
KV Mechelen or Draw
48%
Draw or K. Sint-Truidense VV
77%
KV Mechelen or K. Sint-Truidense VV
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–4 not predicted1 – 4Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 1
9.4%
0 – 2
9.2%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 0
5%
2 – 3
3.2%
2 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — KV Mechelen
| Handicap | KV Mechelen covers | Push | K. Sint-Truidense VV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 23% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
K. Sint-Truidense VV keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

