KV Mechelen vs K. Sint-Truidense VV, Jupiler League 2025-26 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND
Overview
Match Preview
KV Mechelen vs K. Sint-Truidense VV — Jupiler League at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne.
- KV Mechelen 7 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- K. Sint-Truidense VV 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Lawrence Visser
5 games this season
🟨 4.2/game
⚽ 14.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | KAA Gent | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | RSC Anderlecht | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | SV Zulte-Waregem | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | Royal Standard de Liège | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | KVC Westerlo | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | SK Beveren | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | K. Sint-Truidense VV | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Lommel SK | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | Royal Antwerp FC | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | UR La Louvière Centre | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | KV Mechelen | 7 | 3 |
| 18 | KV Kortrijk | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | K. Sint-Truidense VV | H | 1–4 | L |
| 22 Apr | Club Brugge KV | A | 1–6 | L |
| 18 Apr | RSC Anderlecht | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | KAA Gent | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Club Brugge KV | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | KV Mechelen | A | 4–1 | W |
| 23 Apr | RSC Anderlecht | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | KAA Gent | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Apr | Club Brugge KV | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Mar | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| KV Mechelen | K. Sint-Truidense VV | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #11 |
| 3 | Points | 8 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 0 / 3 / 4 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 3 |
| 5 | Scored | 12 |
| 14 | Conceded | 12 |
| -9 | GD | +0 |
| 0.43 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 0% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
KV Mechelen this season
KV Mechelen this season
14%
Clean Sheets
K. Sint-Truidense VV this season
K. Sint-Truidense VV this season
KV Mechelen are 17th (3 pts). K. Sint-Truidense VV are 11th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
KV Mechelen
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/5
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
K. Sint-Truidense VV
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/5
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
KV Mechelen
| Myron van Brederode | 3 G |
K. Sint-Truidense VV
| Samed Bazdar | 4 G | |
| Ryan Merlen | 3 G | 3 A |
| Ilias Sebaoui | 1 G | 3 A |
| Nelson Ishiwatari | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! KV Mechelen vs K. Sint-Truidense VV — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The travelling K. Sint-Truidense VV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Rihito Yamamoto, a Japan midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' KV Mechelen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' It looks surprising KV Mechelen does not make any changes. Shion Shinkawa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 26' A stunning finish from Bouke Boersma — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 36' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Frédéric Vanderbiest will be considering his options from the bench.
- 41' It is a cagey affair so far. KV Mechelen in their trying to find a way past K. Sint-Truidense VV's compact .
- 44' Joedrick Pupe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 46' K. Sint-Truidense VV receives a card for a hard tackle on 46.
- 46' A tactical swap from K. Sint-Truidense VV — Ryan Merlen on, Kaito Matsuzawa off on 46 minutes.
- 49' What a strike from Ryan Merlen! The score is 1-2.
- 54' KV Mechelen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 59' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 63' Assisted by Ryan Merlen with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ilias Sebaoui makes no mistake. 1-3!
- 68' Leobrian Kokubo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 475 appearances.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Benito Raman. He replaces Bouke Boersma on 73 minute.
- 75' A stunning finish from Ryotaro Ito — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 80' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 83' Shion Shinkawa gets the nod from K. Sint-Truidense VV. He replaces Ilias Sebaoui and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' Ryotaro Ito makes way for Loic Mbe Soh at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from K. Sint-Truidense VV.
- 86' The crowd applauds Kerim Mrabti as he leaves the pitch. Bilal Bafdili steps in for KV Mechelen.
- 88' The K. Sint-Truidense VV bench stirs into life. Abdoulaye Sissako is withdrawn and Wolke Janssens gets his opportunity.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Fredrik Hammar argues furiously but the card stands.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-4.
Lineups
KV Mechelen Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
19
Kerim Mrabti ↓ Bilal Bafdili 86'
- 6
- 17
- 2
- 3
- 9
- 38
- 7
- 13
-
28
Bouke Boersma ↓ Benito Raman 73'
Bench
-
14
Benito Raman ↑ 73'
- 1
- 33
-
11
Bilal Bafdili ↑ 86'
- 12
-
27
Keano Vanrafelghem ↑ 73'
- 39
- 15
- 4
- 10
Coach
Frédéric Vanderbiest
K. Sint-Truidense VV Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
- 26
-
13
Ryotaro Ito ↓ Loic Mbe Soh 84'
- 6
-
23
Joedrick Pupe ↓ Simen Juklerod 73'
-
10
Ilias Sebaoui ↓ Shion Shinkawa 83'
- 60
- 16
-
38
Kaito Matsuzawa ↓ Ryan Merlen 46'
- 42
Bench
-
22
Wolke Janssens ↑ 88'
-
18
Simen Juklerod ↑ 73'
- 12
-
4
Loic Mbe Soh ↑ 84'
- 3
- 21
- 33
-
14
Ryan Merlen ↑ 46'
- 77
-
99
Shion Shinkawa ↑ 83'
Coach
Wouter Vrancken
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gianni Bruno | 3 |
| Ryotaro Ito | 3 |
| Aster Vranckx | 2 |
| Ryan Merlen | 2 |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Andres Ferrari | 2 |
| Geoffry Hairemans | 2 |
| Ilias Sebaoui | 1 |
Head to Head
KV Mechelen Form
K. Sint-Truidense VV Form
2026-04-26
KV Mechelen
1–4
K. Sint-Truidense VV
W
2026-04-23
K. Sint-Truidense VV
2–0
RSC Anderlecht
W
2026-04-19
KAA Gent
0–0
K. Sint-Truidense VV
D
2026-04-11
K. Sint-Truidense VV
1–2
Club Brugge KV
L
2026-04-04
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
1–0
K. Sint-Truidense VV
L
2026-03-22
K. Sint-Truidense VV
1–3
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.87
KV Mechelen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.25
K. Sint-Truidense VV xG
I would bet for:
K. Sint-Truidense VV to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: K. Sint-Truidense VV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
KV Mechelen or Draw
39%
Draw or K. Sint-Truidense VV
83%
KV Mechelen or K. Sint-Truidense VV
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
11.1%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 3
8.1%
1 – 3
7%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 4
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 4
Actual
2 – 1
3.6%
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — KV Mechelen
| Handicap | KV Mechelen covers | Push | K. Sint-Truidense VV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -0.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| +0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +1 | 33% | 23% | 45% |
| +1.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +2 | 55% | 20% | 24% |
| +2.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
Clean Sheet
KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
K. Sint-Truidense VV keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

