KV Mechelen vs K. Sint-Truidense VV, Jupiler League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Jupiler Pro League · 2025-26

KV Mechelen

1 – 3

Full Time

K. Sint-Truidense VV

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

KV Mechelen vs K. Sint-Truidense VV — Jupiler League .

KV Mechelen 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
K. Sint-Truidense VV 30 games · 57 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jasper Vergoote

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	30	66
2	Club Brugge KV	30	63
3	K. Sint-Truidense VV	30	57
4	KAA Gent	30	45
5	KV Mechelen	30	45
6	RSC Anderlecht	30	44
7	KRC Genk	30	42
8	Royal Standard de Liege	30	40
9	KVC Westerlo	30	39
10	Royal Antwerp FC	30	35
11	Sporting du Pays de Charleroi	30	34
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	30	34
13	SV Zulte-Waregem	30	32
14	UR La Louviere Centre	30	31
15	Cercle Brugge KSV	30	31
16	FC Verbroedering Dender EH	30	19

Head-to-Head

KV Mechelen 16 games · Avg 2.6 goals K. Sint-Truidense VV

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 KV Mechelen 1–3 K. Sint-Truidense VV 2025-02-21 KV Mechelen 1–1 K. Sint-Truidense VV 2024-11-08 K. Sint-Truidense VV 2–1 KV Mechelen 2023-12-03 KV Mechelen 0–2 K. Sint-Truidense VV 2023-09-17 K. Sint-Truidense VV 2–0 KV Mechelen

Recent Form

KV Mechelen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	K. Sint-Truidense VV	H	1–3	L
28 Sep	Sporting du Pays de Charleroi	A	2–0	W
21 Sep	Cercle Brugge KSV	H	0–0	D
12 Sep	Royal Standard de Liege	A	1–1	D
30 Aug	UR La Louviere Centre	H	3–2	W
24 Aug	Royal Antwerp FC	A	1–2	L

K. Sint-Truidense VV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	KV Mechelen	A	3–1	W
28 Sep	KRC Genk	H	1–2	L
21 Sep	Club Brugge KV	A	0–2	L
14 Sep	KVC Westerlo	H	0–3	L
29 Aug	Cercle Brugge KSV	A	1–1	D
23 Aug	SV Zulte-Waregem	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

KV Mechelen		K. Sint-Truidense VV
#5	Position	#3
45	Points	57
30	Played	30
12 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	18 / 3 / 9
39	Scored	47
37	Conceded	35
+2	GD	+12
1.50	PPG	1.90
40%	Win %	60%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts). K. Sint-Truidense VV are 3rd (57 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and KV Mechelen launch into their encounter with K. Sint-Truidense VV.
1-3 the final result. KV Mechelen will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

KV Mechelen Lineups

K. Sint-Truidense VV Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ryotaro Ito	3
Gianni Bruno	3
Geoffry Hairemans	2
Aster Vranckx	2
Ryan Merlen	2
Yuma Suzuki	2
Andres Ferrari	2
Benito Raman	1

Head to Head

KV Mechelen Form

2025-10-04 KV Mechelen 1–3 K. Sint-Truidense VV L 2025-09-28 Sporting du Pays de Charleroi 0–2 KV Mechelen W 2025-09-21 KV Mechelen 0–0 Cercle Brugge KSV D 2025-09-12 Royal Standard de Liege 1–1 KV Mechelen D 2025-08-30 KV Mechelen 3–2 UR La Louviere Centre W 2025-08-24 Royal Antwerp FC 2–1 KV Mechelen L

K. Sint-Truidense VV Form

2025-10-04 KV Mechelen 1–3 K. Sint-Truidense VV W 2025-09-28 K. Sint-Truidense VV 1–2 KRC Genk L 2025-09-21 Club Brugge KV 2–0 K. Sint-Truidense VV L 2025-09-14 K. Sint-Truidense VV 0–3 KVC Westerlo L 2025-08-29 Cercle Brugge KSV 1–1 K. Sint-Truidense VV D 2025-08-23 SV Zulte-Waregem 0–2 K. Sint-Truidense VV W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.15 KV Mechelen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.66 K. Sint-Truidense VV xG

I would bet for: KV Mechelen or K. Sint-Truidense VV 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

KV Mechelen28% Draw28% K. Sint-Truidense VV44%

Actual: K. Sint-Truidense VV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.81

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

KV Mechelen or Draw

55%

Draw or K. Sint-Truidense VV

72%

KV Mechelen or K. Sint-Truidense VV

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

KV Mechelen20% Draw45% K. Sint-Truidense VV35%

Actual: KV Mechelen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.4%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 1

9.2%

0 – 2

8.1%

0 – 0

7.9%

2 – 1

6.4%

1 – 0

2 – 2

5.3%

1 – 3

Actual

0 – 3

4.4%

2 – 0

3.9%

2 – 3

Asian Handicap — KV Mechelen

Handicap	KV Mechelen covers	Push	K. Sint-Truidense VV covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	15%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	22%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	15%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

K. Sint-Truidense VV keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.