Wednesday , 30 September 2026

KV Mechelen vs KAA Gent, Jupiler League 2025-26 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

Jupiler Pro League · 2025-26
1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 3 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne HT 45' · FT 45'
Bouke Boersma 16' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

KV Mechelen vs KAA Gent — Jupiler League at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne.

Match Details

  • Referee Simon Bourdeaud'hui (Belgium)
  • Assistant 1 Bryan Bijnens (Belgium)
  • Assistant 2 Jonas Van Dyck (Belgium)
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May KAA Gent H 1–0 W
26 Apr K. Sint-Truidense VV H 1–4 L
22 Apr Club Brugge KV A 1–6 L
18 Apr RSC Anderlecht H 1–2 L
12 Apr Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 0–1 L
06 Apr KAA Gent A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May KV Mechelen A 0–1 L
26 Apr Club Brugge KV H 0–2 L
22 Apr Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 0–0 D
19 Apr K. Sint-Truidense VV H 0–0 D
12 Apr RSC Anderlecht A 1–3 L
06 Apr KV Mechelen H 1–1 D

Season Stats

KV Mechelen KAA Gent
#17 Position #2
3 Points 19
7 Played 7
0 / 3 / 4 W / D / L 6 / 1 / 0
5 Scored 13
14 Conceded 4
-9 GD +9
0.43 PPG 2.71
0% Win % 86%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
KV Mechelen this season
43% Clean Sheets
KAA Gent this season

KV Mechelen are 17th (3 pts). KAA Gent are 2nd (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

KV Mechelen
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/5
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
KAA Gent
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/–
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

KV Mechelen
Myron van Brederode 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. KAA Gent get us underway at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne.
  • 5' KAA Gent are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Abdelkahar Kadri made 238 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 16' What composure from Bouke Boersma! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 21' KV Mechelen are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against KAA Gent's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. KV Mechelen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 36' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Frédéric Vanderbiest will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' Nacho Miras is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for KV Mechelen so far.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 53' A moment of madness from Mathis Servais on 53 minutes earns him a card. KV Mechelen will be frustrated.
  • 58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' Abdelkahar Kadri is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
  • 66' The energy levels are beginning to show. Frédéric Vanderbiest might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 71' Tiago Araujo, a Portugal , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 76' KAA Gent have won 459 goals from 306 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 79' A moment of madness from Leonardo Lopes on 79 minutes earns him a card. KAA Gent will be frustrated.
  • 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 89' The travelling KAA Gent supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Siebe Van der Heyden. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • With this win, KV Mechelen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.76 KV Mechelen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 KAA Gent xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
KV Mechelen25% Draw24% KAA Gent51%
Actual: KV Mechelen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

KV Mechelen or Draw
49%
Draw or KAA Gent
75%
KV Mechelen or KAA Gent
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
KV Mechelen12% Draw45% KAA Gent43%
Actual: KV Mechelen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13%
0 – 2
12.3%
1 – 1
11.1%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 3
7.4%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 4
3.5%
1 – 4
2.7%

Asian Handicap — KV Mechelen

Handicap KV Mechelen covers Push KAA Gent covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 9% 86%
-0.5 14% — 86%
+0.5 38% — 62%
+1 38% 25% 37%
+1.5 63% — 37%
+2 63% 19% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
17% ✗
KAA Gent keeps clean sheet
47% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.