Thursday , 2 July 2026

KV Mechelen vs KAA Gent, Jupiler League 2025-26 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

Jupiler Pro League · 2025-26
1 0
Full Time
Sun 3 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne HT 45' · FT 45'
Bouke Boersma 16' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

KV Mechelen vs KAA GentJupiler League at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne.

Match Details

  • Referee Simon Bourdeaud'hui (Belgium)
  • Assistant 1 Bryan Bijnens (Belgium)
  • Assistant 2 Jonas Van Dyck (Belgium)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May KAA Gent H 1–0 W
26 Apr K. Sint-Truidense VV H 1–4 L
22 Apr Club Brugge KV A 1–6 L
18 Apr RSC Anderlecht H 1–2 L
12 Apr Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 0–1 L
06 Apr KAA Gent A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May KV Mechelen A 0–1 L
26 Apr Club Brugge KV H 0–2 L
22 Apr Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 0–0 D
19 Apr K. Sint-Truidense VV H 0–0 D
12 Apr RSC Anderlecht A 1–3 L
06 Apr KV Mechelen H 1–1 D

Season Stats

KV Mechelen KAA Gent
#5 Position #4
45 Points 45
30 Played 30
12 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 13 / 6 / 11
39 Scored 49
37 Conceded 43
+2 GD +6
1.50 PPG 1.50
40% Win % 43%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts). KAA Gent are 4th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne will turn into a battlefield for KV Mechelen and KAA Gent.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 4 times this season with KAA Gent winning 25% of all matches.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Abdelkahar Kadri, as he is very good at scoring at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 16' Bouke Boersma puts KV Mechelen on the lead.
  • 21' Fredrik Hammar has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 26' KAA Gent seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. KV Mechelen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
  • 41' It’s high time Frédéric Vanderbiest made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' Nacho Miras needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 51' It looks surprising KAA Gent does not make any changes. Therence Koudou has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 53' That looks like a foul for a card for Mathis Servais.
  • 58' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 61' KAA Gent player sees a card in front of him.
  • 66' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 71' KV Mechelen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 76' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kerim Mrabti suffering a number of foals already.
  • 79' It’s gonna be a card for Leonardo Lopes.
  • 84' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering KAA Gent that had 299 games and scored 447 goals.
  • 89' KAA Gent looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 4 matches with its main striker Max Dean scoring 1 goals.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Siebe Van der Heyden. He receives a card.
  • Another three points for KV Mechelen.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.42 KV Mechelen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 KAA Gent xG
I would bet for: KV Mechelen or KAA Gent 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KV Mechelen41% Draw27% KAA Gent32%
Actual: KV Mechelen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

KV Mechelen or Draw
68%
Draw or KAA Gent
59%
KV Mechelen or KAA Gent
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
KV Mechelen28% Draw46% KAA Gent26%
Actual: KV Mechelen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — KV Mechelen

Handicap KV Mechelen covers Push KAA Gent covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
26%
KAA Gent keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.