Monday , 12 October 2026

K. Sint-Truidense VV vs KV Mechelen, Jupiler League 2025-26 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

Jupiler Pro League · 2025-26
Sun 24 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC Staaien HT 45' · FT 45'
Arbnor Muja 24' 1–0
Taiga Hata 45+3' 2–0
Ryan Merlen 71' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

K. Sint-Truidense VV vs KV Mechelen — Jupiler League at Staaien.

Match Details

  • Referee Jasper Vergoote
  • Assistant 1 Michael Geerolf
  • Assistant 2 Michele Seeldraeyers
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 8.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May KV Mechelen H 3–0 W
21 May RSC Anderlecht A 1–3 L
16 May KAA Gent H 1–1 D
09 May Club Brugge KV A 0–2 L
02 May Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 2–1 W
26 Apr KV Mechelen A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May K. Sint-Truidense VV A 0–3 L
21 May Club Brugge KV H 2–2 D
17 May RSC Anderlecht A 2–2 D
10 May Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 0–3 L
03 May KAA Gent H 1–0 W
26 Apr K. Sint-Truidense VV H 1–4 L

Season Stats

K. Sint-Truidense VV KV Mechelen
#12 Position #14
8 Points 6
8 Played 8
2 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 1 / 3 / 4
15 Scored 9
16 Conceded 17
-1 GD -8
1.00 PPG 0.75
25% Win % 13%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
K. Sint-Truidense VV this season
13% Clean Sheets
KV Mechelen this season

K. Sint-Truidense VV are 12th (8 pts). KV Mechelen are 14th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

K. Sint-Truidense VV
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
KV Mechelen
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

K. Sint-Truidense VV
Samed Bazdar 5 G
Ryan Merlen 3 G 4 A
Ilias Sebaoui 2 G 3 A
Nelson Ishiwatari 1 G 1 A
KV Mechelen
Myron van Brederode 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Staaien. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Staaien. K. Sint-Truidense VV seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' It’s high time Frédéric Vanderbiest made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 24' A goal from the Kosovo international Arbnor Muja! He fires home on 24 to make it 1-0!
  • 29' K. Sint-Truidense VV currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 34' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 40' A meaty challenge results in booking for Massimo Decoene on 40.
  • 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 48' What composure from Taiga Hata! The Japan international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 48' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Redouane Halhal on 48 minutes.
  • 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
  • 58' The 24-year-old Jose Marsa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 63' It is a cagey affair so far. K. Sint-Truidense VV in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past KV Mechelen's compact 3-4-1-2.
  • 68' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 69' Controversy at the stadium! Robert-Jan Vanwesemael argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 71' Goal! Ryan Merlen scores his 6 goal in 270 matches.
  • 76' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Frédéric Vanderbiest will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dikeni Salifou is clearly more than just a goal scorer for K. Sint-Truidense VV.
  • 86' Massimo Decoene has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 87' Controversy at the stadium! Ryan Merlen argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 3-0 the final result. KV Mechelen will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.76 K. Sint-Truidense VV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 KV Mechelen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + K. Sint-Truidense VV to win 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
K. Sint-Truidense VV70% Draw17% KV Mechelen13%
Actual: K. Sint-Truidense VV win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

K. Sint-Truidense VV or Draw
88%
Draw or KV Mechelen
30%
K. Sint-Truidense VV or KV Mechelen
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
K. Sint-Truidense VV54% Draw34% KV Mechelen12%
Actual: K. Sint-Truidense VV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 1
7.8%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
7.2%
1 – 0
6.1%
4 – 1
5.4%
4 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.4%
1 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — K. Sint-Truidense VV

Handicap K. Sint-Truidense VV covers Push KV Mechelen covers
-2.5 32% — 68%
-2 32% 20% 48%
-1.5 52% — 48%
-1 52% 20% 28%
-0.5 72% — 28%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

K. Sint-Truidense VV keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.