Saturday , 15 August 2026

Jubilo Iwata vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
2 1
Full Time
Sat 30 Nov 2024 · 05:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Jubilo Iwata vs FC TokyoJ. League at Yamaha Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov FC Tokyo H 2–1 W
16 Nov Yokohama F.Marinos H 3–4 L
09 Nov Gamba Osaka H 3–4 L
01 Nov Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
19 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–1 W
06 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Jubilo Iwata A 1–2 L
09 Nov FC Machida Zelvia A 0–3 L
03 Nov Shonan Bellmare H 0–2 L
18 Oct Vissel Kobe A 2–0 W
05 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
28 Sep Yokohama F.Marinos A 3–1 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tokyo
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/1
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Yamaha Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Jubilo Iwata have won 151 goals from 278 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Jubilo Iwata and FC Tōkyō are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' Hotaka Nakamura has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' The travelling FC Tōkyō supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Tōkyō needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' FC Tōkyō seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 35' Kei Koizumi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 39' Yasuki Kimoto has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
  • 44' Over 44 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' A tactical swap from FC TokyoTsuyoshi Ogashiwa on, Diego Oliveira off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Henrique Trevisan made 238 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 53' What a moment for Soma Anzai! That strike on 53 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 56' Fresh legs for Jubilo Iwata! Rikiya Uehara comes on to replace Shun Nakamura.
  • 61' Supporters expect more eagerness from Keita Takahata, as he is very good at scoring at Yamaha Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 63' Another substitution for Jubilo Iwata to replace Rei Hirakawa by Hiroki Yamada on 63 minute.
  • 66' A tactical swap from FC TokyoKota Tawaratsumida on, Ryotaro Araki off on 66 minutes.
  • 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 76' Takahiro Ko was booked on 76.
  • 77' Poor challenge from Yasuki Kimoto. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 79' The FC Tokyo bench stirs into life. Teruhito Nakagawa is withdrawn and Teppei Oka gets his opportunity.
  • 80' What a strike from Matheus Peixoto! The score is 1-1.
  • 85' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 89' Hiroki Yamada puts Jubilo Iwata on the lead.
  • 90' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 90 minute. Hotaka Nakamura leaves to be changed by Leon Nozawa.
  • FC Tōkyō will have plenty to reflect on. Jubilo Iwata were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.5 Jubilo Iwata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for: Jubilo Iwata or FC Tokyo 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Jubilo Iwata42% Draw27% FC Tokyo31%
Actual: Jubilo Iwata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Jubilo Iwata or Draw
68%
Draw or FC Tokyo
58%
Jubilo Iwata or FC Tokyo
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Jubilo Iwata29% Draw45% FC Tokyo26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Jubilo Iwata

Handicap Jubilo Iwata covers Push FC Tokyo covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Jubilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
25%
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.