Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Benjamin Brand
- Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
- Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern Munchen 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 12 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L 05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D 29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L 16 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L 08 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D 02 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 12 Apr Holstein Kiel A 2–1 W 06 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D 29 Mar FC Bayern Munchen A 2–3 L 14 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W 08 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D 01 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L Key Stats
100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this seasonGoal Timing (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 19100-15–/316-301/–31-45–/346-601/461-751/176+2/4■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Holstein-Stadion that hosts another battle between Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli 1910.
- 5' FC St. Pauli 1910 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Holstein Kiel seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' It’s high time Alexander Blessin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Oladapo Afolayan suffering a number of foals already.
- 21' Alexander Bernhardsson puts Holstein Kiel on the lead.
- 26' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 31' The travelling FC St. Pauli 1910 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 34' What an equalizer from Danel Sinani!
- 37' The referee shows FC St. Pauli 1910 player a card on 37.
- 42' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 46' The referee calls foul for Oladapo Afolayan. He receives a card.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Finn Porath. He replaces Timo Becker on 46 minute.
- 51' Holstein Kiel is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' Lasse Rosenboom needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 60' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
- 60' FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Noah Weisshaupt is hanging Oladapo Afolayan on the field on 60 minute.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Siebe Van der Heyden. He replaces Adam Dzwigala on 64 minute.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Max Geschwill. He replaces Marco Komenda on 68 minute.
- 73' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 75' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 75 minute. Magnus Knudsen leaves to be changed by Marvin Schulz.
- 77' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Phil Harres gets a card.
- 82' The referee calls foul for Hauke Finn Wahl. He receives a card.
- 83' Steven Skrzybski is replacing Armin Gigovic for the Holstein Kiel side.
- 86' That looks like a foul for a card for Marvin Schulz.
- 87' The whistle greets Danel Sinani as he departs to be replaced by Connor Metcalfe.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Morgan Guilavogui.
- The final score is 1-2.
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Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
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18
Shuto Machino ↓ Phil Harres 68'
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24
Magnus Knudsen ↓ Marvin Schulz 75'
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17
Timo Becker ↓ Finn Porath 46'
- 47
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3
Marco Komenda ↓ Max Geschwill 68'
- 21
- 37
- 22
- 23
- 6
- 11
Bench
- 20
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7
Steven Skrzybski ↑ 83'
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15
Marvin Schulz ↑ 75'
- 1
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8
Finn Porath ↑ 46'
- 33
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14
Max Geschwill ↑ 68'
- 5
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19
Phil Harres ↑ 68'
Coach Marcel RappFC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 5
- 7
- 25
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10
Danel Sinani ↓ Connor Metcalfe 87'
- 8
- 17
- 22
- 4
- 2
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26
Elias Saad ↓ Morgan Guilavogui 46'
- 23
Bench
- 11
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24
Connor Metcalfe ↑ 87'
- 1
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44
Siebe Van der Heyden ↑ 64'
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29
Morgan Guilavogui ↑ 46'
- 16
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13
Noah Weisshaupt ↑ 60'
- 20
- 9
Coach Alexander Blessin -
18
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Oladapo Afolayan 3 Alexander Bernhardsson 2 Marcel Hartel 2 Connor Metcalfe 2 Joshua Mees 1 Johannes Eggestein 1 Shuto Machino 1 Morgan Guilavogui 1 Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2025-04-12 Holstein Kiel 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-04-06 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 Borussia Monchengladbach D 2025-03-29 FC Bayern Munchen 3–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2025-03-14 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-03-08 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D 2025-03-01 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–2 Borussia Dortmund L -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 41.36 Holstein Kiel xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.88 FC St. Pauli 1910 xGI would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.24Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 95% 5% ± 1.5 83% 17% ± 2.5 62% 38% ± 3.5 40% 60% ± 4.5 23% 77% Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw 53%Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910 72%Holstein Kiel or FC St. Pauli 1910 75%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 10.9%1 – 2 Actual0 – 2 6.9%0 – 1 6.7%2 – 1 6.6%2 – 2 6.1%1 – 3 5.7%0 – 0 5.5%1 – 0 4.6%0 – 3 4.2%2 – 3 3.9%2 – 0 3.6%Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers -2.5 4% — 96% -2 4% 8% 88% -1.5 12% — 88% -1 12% 15% 73% -0.5 27% — 73% +0.5 52% — 48% +1 52% 21% 28% +1.5 72% — 28% +2 72% 15% 13% +2.5 87% — 13% Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet 16% ✓FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet 26% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

