Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910, 2. Bundesliga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 6 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- FC St. Pauli 1910 6 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Max Burda
- Assistant 1 Julius Martenstein
- Assistant 2 Tobias Endriss
3 games this season
🟨 4.7/game
⚽ 12.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Energie Cottbus | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Aug | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 May | SG Dynamo Dresden | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 May | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 May | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Apr | Hertha BSC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 May | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–3 | L |
| 09 May | RB Leipzig | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Holstein Kiel | FC St. Pauli 1910 | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #8 |
| 4 | Points | 7 |
| 6 | Played | 6 |
| 0 / 4 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 4 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 8 |
| 10 | Conceded | 8 |
| -3 | GD | +0 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 0% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
17%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
Holstein Kiel are 16th (4 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 8th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 4 G | 2 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G | |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 1 G |
FC St. Pauli 1910
| Taichi Hara | 2 G | 1 A |
| Martijn Kaars | 2 G | |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 2 G | |
| Marcus Mathisen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Holstein-Stadion that hosts another battle between Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli 1910.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with FC St. Pauli 1910 winning 0% of all matches.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Adrian Kapralik, a Slovakia , has 4 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' Phil Harres needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Holstein Kiel in their 4-5-1 trying to find a way past FC St. Pauli 1910's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 30' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Scott Banks has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 32' Martijn Kaars has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 32 minutes.
- 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 42' Louis Oppie has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Mathias Rasmussen is booked for FC St. Pauli 1910 — card on 45.
- 47' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Guillermo Balzi on 47 minutes.
- 48' Goal! Taichi Hara scores his 30 goal in 443 matches.
- 49' Poor challenge from Joel Fujita. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 54' FC St. Pauli 1910 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' What a moment for Phil Harres! That strike on 56 puts his side firmly in control.
- 61' FC St. Pauli 1910 looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Taichi Hara scoring 1 goals.
- 64' Fresh legs for FC St. Pauli 1910! Ricky Jade-Jones comes on to replace Taichi Hara.
- 69' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joel Fujita suffering a number of foals already.
- 72' Poor challenge from Kasper Davidsen. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 73' The referee has no hesitation. Ricky Jade-Jones is booked for FC St. Pauli 1910 — card on 73.
- 74' Jonas Therkelsen is replacing Guillermo Balzi for the Holstein Kiel side.
- 79' Arkadiusz Pyrka is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Holstein Kiel so far.
- 80' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Branimir Hrgota trudges off to be replaced by Scott Banks on 80 minutes.
- 85' The FC St. Pauli 1910 bench stirs into life. Martijn Kaars is withdrawn and Samuel Klein gets his opportunity.
- 86' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Leon Parduzi departs to be replaced by Faride Alidou.
- 88' GOAL! Jonas Therkelsen fires home to make it 2-2!
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
4-5-1Starting XI
- 28
- 1
- 20
- 8
- 19
- 32
- 11
- 26
- 13
- 15
-
40
Leon Parduzi ↓ Faride Alidou 86'
Bench
- 47
-
17
Faride Alidou ↑ 86'
- 6
- 41
- 3
-
10
Jonas Therkelsen ↑ 74'
- 27
- 30
- 22
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
10
Branimir Hrgota ↓ Scott Banks 80'
-
18
Taichi Hara ↓ Ricky Jade-Jones 64'
- 20
- 1
-
16
Joel Fujita ↓ Eric Smith 64'
- 11
- 4
- 23
- 6
-
19
Martijn Kaars ↓ Samuel Klein 85'
- 15
Bench
- 33
- 21
- 25
-
8
Eric Smith ↑ 64'
-
17
Scott Banks ↑ 80'
-
26
Ricky Jade-Jones ↑ 64'
-
22
Samuel Klein ↑ 85'
- 14
- 2
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oladapo Afolayan | 3 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 2 |
| Phil Harres | 2 |
| Marcel Hartel | 2 |
| Connor Metcalfe | 2 |
| Lewis Holtby | 1 |
| Joshua Mees | 1 |
| Johannes Eggestein | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2026-08-14
Holstein Kiel
2–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
2026-08-09
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
D
2026-05-16
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–3
VfL Wolfsburg
L
2026-05-09
RB Leipzig
2–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2026-05-03
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2026-04-25
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.45
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for:
Holstein Kiel or FC St. Pauli 1910 74% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
60%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
66%
Holstein Kiel or FC St. Pauli 1910
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5.1%
1 – 0
5%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 20% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

