45 - Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910, 2. Bundesliga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 2 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
- FC St. Pauli 1910 2 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Max Burda
- Assistant 1 Julius Martenstein
- Assistant 2 Tobias Endriss
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Energie Cottbus | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Karlsruher SC | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | VfL Osnabrück | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 May | SG Dynamo Dresden | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 May | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 May | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Apr | Hertha BSC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 May | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–3 | L |
| 09 May | RB Leipzig | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Apr | 1. FC Köln | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Holstein Kiel | FC St. Pauli 1910 | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #1 |
| 1 | Points | 4 |
| 2 | Played | 2 |
| 0 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 0 |
| 2 | Scored | 2 |
| 3 | Conceded | 1 |
| -1 | GD | +1 |
| 0.50 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 0% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
0%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
Holstein Kiel are 13th (1 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 1st (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Holstein Kiel to score. At the same time, FC St. Pauli 1910 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Holstein Kiel is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC St. Pauli 1910 that had 274 games and scored 145 goals.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' The 23-year-old Arkadiusz Pyrka has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Holstein Kiel in their 4-5-1 trying to find a way past FC St. Pauli 1910's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 32' GOAL! Martijn Kaars fires home to make it 0-1!
- 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli 1910 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. Holstein Kiel must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 45' Mathias Rasmussen picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
4-5-1Starting XI
- 28
- 1
- 20
- 8
- 19
- 32
- 11
- 26
- 13
- 15
- 40
Bench
- 47
- 17
- 6
- 41
- 3
- 10
- 27
- 30
- 22
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 10
- 18
- 20
- 1
- 16
- 11
- 4
- 23
- 6
- 19
- 15
Bench
- 33
- 21
- 25
- 8
- 17
- 26
- 22
- 14
- 2
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oladapo Afolayan | 3 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 2 |
| Marcel Hartel | 2 |
| Connor Metcalfe | 2 |
| Shuto Machino | 1 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | 1 |
| Manolis Saliakas | 1 |
| Danel Sinani | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2026-08-09
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
D
2026-05-16
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–3
VfL Wolfsburg
L
2026-05-09
RB Leipzig
2–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2026-05-03
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2026-04-25
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2026-04-17
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
1. FC Köln
D
Predictions
1.11
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for:
Holstein Kiel or FC St. Pauli 1910 72%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
61%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
67%
Holstein Kiel or FC St. Pauli 1910
72%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
10.2%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
8%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.6%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
24%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
34%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.