FC Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | FC Tokyo | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | Vissel Kobe | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #12 |
| 37 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 42 | Scored | 55 |
| 33 | Conceded | 42 |
| +9 | GD | +13 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 72% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
71%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 5 G | 2 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 G | 2 A |
| Soma Anzai | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Machida Zelvia have kicked off against FC Tokyo. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' Leon Nozawa is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Machida Zelvia tonight.
- 15' Ryohei Shirasaki puts FC Machida Zelvia on the lead.
- 20' Se-hun Oh is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Tokyo so far.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Machida Zelvia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 35' FC Tokyo fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Machida Zelvia and FC Tokyo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Machida Zelvia must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 49' Goal! Se-hun Oh scores his 14 goal in 98 matches.
- 54' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 59' Ryotaro Araki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 23 goals in his last 451 appearances.
- 64' FC Tokyo make a change. Kanta Doi trudges off to be replaced by Kosuke Shirai on 64 minutes.
- 65' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Hiroki Mochizuki is replaced by Daiki Sugioka on 65 minute.
- 70' FC Machida Zelvia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Tokyo backline.
- 75' FC Machida Zelvia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Tokyo's shape.
- 77' FC Machida Zelvia ring the changes. Se-hun Oh has done his job and it is now time for Mitchell Duke to step up.
- 79' Against the run of play, Yuki Soma has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 84' FC Machida Zelvia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 85' Keiya Sento has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hokuto Shimoda on 85 minute.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Leon Nozawa. He replaces Keigo Higashi on 87 minute.
- FC Machida Zelvia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Erik ↓ Yuki Nakashima 77'
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↓ Keiya Sento 85'
- 1
- 3
- 23
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Kazuki Fujimoto 85'
- 5
- 26
- 33
- 14
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Mitchell Duke 77'
Bench
-
25
Daiki Sugioka ↑ 65'
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 85'
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↑ 85'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 77'
- 42
-
30
Yuki Nakashima ↑ 77'
- 37
Coach
Go Kuroda
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Keigo Higashi ↓ Leon Nozawa 87'
- 9
- 22
- 37
- 4
- 30
- 41
-
2
Hotaka Nakamura ↓ Takahiro Ko 77'
-
71
Ryotaro Araki ↓ Everton 77'
-
32
Kanta Doi ↓ Kosuke Shirai 64'
- 38
Bench
-
99
Kosuke Shirai ↑ 64'
-
8
Takahiro Ko ↑ 77'
- 13
- 44
-
14
Keita Yamashita ↑ 87'
-
98
Everton ↑ 77'
-
28
Leon Nozawa ↑ 87'
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kein Sato | 2 |
| Se-hun Oh | 2 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 1 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
| Soma Anzai | 1 |
| Keita Endo | 1 |
| Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa | 1 |
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2024-11-09
FC Machida Zelvia
3–0
FC Tokyo
W
2024-11-03
Sagan Tosu FC
2–1
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2024-10-19
Kashiwa Reysol
1–1
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2024-10-05
FC Machida Zelvia
1–4
Kawasaki Frontale
L
2024-09-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2024-09-21
FC Machida Zelvia
0–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.42
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Tokyo
48%
FC Machida Zelvia or FC Tokyo
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
3.9%
4 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | FC Tokyo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 19% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 14% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
18%
✗
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

