Friday , 3 July 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 16 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
Abdoulie Ceesay 57' 1–1
1–2 64' Nikola Vasilj og
1–3 80' Dzenan Pejcinovic

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Benedikt Kempkes
12 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 4.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May VfL Wolfsburg H 1–3 L
09 May RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
03 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
25 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
17 Apr 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D
11 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–1 W
09 May FC Bayern München H 0–1 L
03 May SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
25 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–0 D
18 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–1 W
11 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 VfL Wolfsburg
#18 Position #16
26 Points 29
34 Played 34
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
29 Scored 45
60 Conceded 69
-31 GD -24
0.76 PPG 0.85
18% Win % 21%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Millerntor-Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Martijn Kaars, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' VfL Wolfsburg is showing some good football. However, VfL Wolfsburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. VfL Wolfsburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 18' VfL Wolfsburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 18.
  • 23' The travelling VfL Wolfsburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 28' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 33' The referee calls foul for Adam Daghim. He receives a card.
  • 37' Goal! Konstantinos Koulierakis scores his 5 goal in 471 matches.
  • 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfL Wolfsburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 47' Tomoya Ando has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 52' It looks surprising FC St. Pauli 1910 does not make any changes. Arkadiusz Pyrka has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 57' Goal! Abdoulie Ceesay scores his 3 goal in 273 matches.
  • 62' VfL Wolfsburg looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Dzenan Pejcinovic scoring 1 goals.
  • 64' What a strike from Nikola Vasilj! The score is 2-1.
  • 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC St. Pauli 1910 that had 273 games and scored 143 goals.
  • 74' Jackson Irvine needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 32 Yellow cards this season.
  • 79' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Connor Metcalfe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 80' What a strike from Dzenan Pejcinovic! The score is 2-2.
  • 85' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 85 minutes.
  • 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Abdoulie Ceesay on 88.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Kento Shiogai.
  • Another three points for VfL Wolfsburg.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191024% Draw26% VfL Wolfsburg50%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
51%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
76%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or VfL Wolfsburg
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191018% Draw45% VfL Wolfsburg37%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5.4%
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 23% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
18%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.