Monday , 17 August 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 16 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
Abdoulie Ceesay 57' 1–1
1–2 64' Nikola Vasilj og
1–3 80' Dzenan Pejcinovic

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Benedikt Kempkes
12 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 5.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May VfL Wolfsburg H 1–3 L
09 May RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
03 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
25 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
17 Apr 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
11 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–1 W
09 May FC Bayern München H 0–1 L
03 May SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
25 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D
18 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–1 W
11 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 VfL Wolfsburg
#3 Position #1
26 Points 29
34 Played 34
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
29 Scored 45
60 Conceded 69
-31 GD -24
0.76 PPG 0.85
18% Win % 21%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Millerntor-Stadion as FC St. Pauli 1910 face off against VfL Wolfsburg in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Arkadiusz Pyrka, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' VfL Wolfsburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 18' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a card on 18.
  • 23' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 28' Denis Vavro has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 33' Poor challenge from Adam Daghim. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 37' Konstantinos Koulierakis is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 42' It looks like no one’s ball. FC St. Pauli 1910 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 47' VfL Wolfsburg is showing some good football. However, VfL Wolfsburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 52' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dieter Hecking might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 57' What a strike from Abdoulie Ceesay! The score is 1-1.
  • 62' Adam Daghim needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 64' Nikola Vasilj doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 69' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and VfL Wolfsburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 74' VfL Wolfsburg have won 479 goals from 471 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 79' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 80' GOAL! Dzenan Pejcinovic fires home to make it 2-2!
  • 85' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 88' Abdoulie Ceesay has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 88.
  • 90' Kento Shiogai picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • FC St. Pauli 1910 will have plenty to reflect on. VfL Wolfsburg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.48 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.24 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191026% Draw23% VfL Wolfsburg51%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
50%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
74%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or VfL Wolfsburg
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191021% Draw39% VfL Wolfsburg40%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
4.4%
0 – 0
3.7%
1 – 4
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 13% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 47% 53%
+1 47% 20% 33%
+1.5 67% 33%
+2 67% 16% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
12%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.