Friday , 2 October 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 16 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
Abdoulie Ceesay 57' 1–1
1–2 64' Nikola Vasilj og
1–3 80' Dzenan Pejcinovic

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Benedikt Kempkes
5 games this season 🟨 5.4/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May VfL Wolfsburg H 1–3 L
09 May RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
03 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
25 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
17 Apr 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
11 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–1 W
09 May FC Bayern München H 0–1 L
03 May SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
25 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D
18 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–1 W
11 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–2 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC St. Pauli 1910 to score. At the same time, VfL Wolfsburg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' VfL Wolfsburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' The 27-year-old Kamil Grabara has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 18' Vinicius Souza was booked on 18.
  • 23' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 28' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 33' Adam Daghim is having his name booked by the referee on 33.
  • 37' The deadlock is broken! Konstantinos Koulierakis gets on the scoresheet on 37 minutes.
  • 42' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 47' A quiet spell here at Millerntor-Stadion. VfL Wolfsburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 52' Andreas Hountondji has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 57' The Gambia Abdoulie Ceesay breaks the deadlock on 57 minutes. 1-1!
  • 62' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC St. Pauli 1910 and VfL Wolfsburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 64' Nikola Vasilj adds to his 0 season tally! FC St. Pauli 1910 lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 69' It’s high time Alexander Blessin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 74' Hauke Finn Wahl needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 79' Jeanuel Belocian is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfL Wolfsburg so far.
  • 80' Dzenan Pejcinovic makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and VfL Wolfsburg are in front.
  • 85' VfL Wolfsburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 85.
  • 88' It’s a booking for FC St. Pauli 1910 player. Abdoulie Ceesay gets a card.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kento Shiogai on 90 minutes.
  • Full Time. VfL Wolfsburg beats FC St. Pauli 1910

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191026% Draw28% VfL Wolfsburg46%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
54%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
74%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or VfL Wolfsburg
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191020% Draw47% VfL Wolfsburg33%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 22% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.