Sunday , 13 September 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 16 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
Abdoulie Ceesay 57' 1–1
1–2 64' Nikola Vasilj og
1–3 80' Dzenan Pejcinovic

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Benedikt Kempkes
5 games this season 🟨 5.4/game 12.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May VfL Wolfsburg H 1–3 L
09 May RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
03 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
25 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
17 Apr 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D
11 Apr FC Bayern Munchen H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–1 W
09 May FC Bayern Munchen H 0–1 L
03 May SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
25 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–0 D
18 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–1 W
11 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–2 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Millerntor-Stadion as FC St. Pauli 1910 face off against VfL Wolfsburg in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Nikola Vasilj, a Bosnia-Herzegovina goalkeeper, has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 18' The referee has no hesitation. Vinicius Souza is booked for VfL Wolfsburg — card on 18.
  • 23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 28' FC St. Pauli 1910 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined VfL Wolfsburg backline.
  • 33' A meaty challenge results in booking for Adam Daghim on 33.
  • 37' Assisted by Christian Eriksen with the perfectly-timed delivery and Konstantinos Koulierakis makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 42' Denis Vavro has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 47' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 57' Abdoulie Ceesay adds to his 0 season tally! FC St. Pauli 1910 lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 62' VfL Wolfsburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 64' Nikola Vasilj puts FC St. Pauli 1910 on the lead.
  • 69' It looks like no one’s ball. VfL Wolfsburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 74' FC St. Pauli 1910 is showing some good football. However, FC St. Pauli 1910 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 79' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 80' Against the run of play, Dzenan Pejcinovic has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 85' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 85 minutes.
  • 88' FC St. Pauli 1910 receives a card for a hard tackle on 88.
  • 90' Kento Shiogai picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • FC St. Pauli 1910 will have plenty to reflect on. VfL Wolfsburg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191026% Draw28% VfL Wolfsburg46%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
54%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
74%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or VfL Wolfsburg
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191020% Draw47% VfL Wolfsburg33%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 22% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
21%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.