FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
- Assistant 2 Benedikt Kempkes
12 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 4.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–3 | L |
| 09 May | RB Leipzig | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Apr | 1. FC Koln | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 0–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 09 May | FC Bayern München | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | SC Freiburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | VfL Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #16 |
| 26 | Points | 29 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 6 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 19 |
| 29 | Scored | 45 |
| 60 | Conceded | 69 |
| -31 | GD | -24 |
| 0.76 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 18% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Millerntor-Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Martijn Kaars, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' VfL Wolfsburg is showing some good football. However, VfL Wolfsburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. VfL Wolfsburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 18' VfL Wolfsburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 18.
- 23' The travelling VfL Wolfsburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 28' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 33' The referee calls foul for Adam Daghim. He receives a card.
- 37' Goal! Konstantinos Koulierakis scores his 5 goal in 471 matches.
- 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfL Wolfsburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 47' Tomoya Ando has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 52' It looks surprising FC St. Pauli 1910 does not make any changes. Arkadiusz Pyrka has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 57' Goal! Abdoulie Ceesay scores his 3 goal in 273 matches.
- 62' VfL Wolfsburg looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Dzenan Pejcinovic scoring 1 goals.
- 64' What a strike from Nikola Vasilj! The score is 2-1.
- 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC St. Pauli 1910 that had 273 games and scored 143 goals.
- 74' Jackson Irvine needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 32 Yellow cards this season.
- 79' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Connor Metcalfe suffering a number of foals already.
- 80' What a strike from Dzenan Pejcinovic! The score is 2-2.
- 85' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 85 minutes.
- 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Abdoulie Ceesay on 88.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Kento Shiogai.
- Another three points for VfL Wolfsburg.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 5
- 7
- 25
- 24
- 22
- 16
- 27
- 11
- 23
- 19
- 15
Bench
- 3
- 21
- 18
- 10
- 20
- 1
- 26
- 14
- 9
Coach
Alexander Blessin
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
3-3-2-2Starting XI
- 1
- 24
- 32
- 21
- 3
- 5
- 6
- 26
- 11
- 17
- 4
Bench
- 31
- 12
- 10
- 19
- 40
- 15
- 25
- 9
- 7
Coach
Dieter Hecking
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dzenan Pejcinovic | 1 |
| Konstantinos Koulierakis | 1 |
| Siebe Van der Heyden | 1 |
| Mohammed Amoura | 1 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2026-05-16
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–3
VfL Wolfsburg
L
2026-05-09
RB Leipzig
2–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2026-05-03
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2026-04-25
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2026-04-17
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
1. FC Koln
D
2026-04-11
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–5
FC Bayern München
L
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfL Wolfsburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
51%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
76%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or VfL Wolfsburg
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5.4%
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | VfL Wolfsburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 23% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

