FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
- Assistant 2 Benedikt Kempkes
12 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 5.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–3 | L |
| 09 May | RB Leipzig | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Apr | 1. FC Köln | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 0–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 09 May | FC Bayern München | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | SC Freiburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | VfL Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #1 |
| 26 | Points | 29 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 6 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 19 |
| 29 | Scored | 45 |
| 60 | Conceded | 69 |
| -31 | GD | -24 |
| 0.76 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 18% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Millerntor-Stadion as FC St. Pauli 1910 face off against VfL Wolfsburg in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Arkadiusz Pyrka, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 15' VfL Wolfsburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 18' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a card on 18.
- 23' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 28' Denis Vavro has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 33' Poor challenge from Adam Daghim. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 37' Konstantinos Koulierakis is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 42' It looks like no one’s ball. FC St. Pauli 1910 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 47' VfL Wolfsburg is showing some good football. However, VfL Wolfsburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 52' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dieter Hecking might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 57' What a strike from Abdoulie Ceesay! The score is 1-1.
- 62' Adam Daghim needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 64' Nikola Vasilj doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 69' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and VfL Wolfsburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 74' VfL Wolfsburg have won 479 goals from 471 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 79' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 80' GOAL! Dzenan Pejcinovic fires home to make it 2-2!
- 85' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 88' Abdoulie Ceesay has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 88.
- 90' Kento Shiogai picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 will have plenty to reflect on. VfL Wolfsburg were simply the better side today.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 5
- 7
- 25
- 24
- 22
- 16
- 27
- 11
- 23
- 19
- 15
Bench
- 3
- 21
- 18
- 10
- 20
- 1
- 26
- 14
- 9
Coach
Alexander Blessin
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
3-3-2-2Starting XI
- 1
- 24
- 32
- 21
- 3
- 5
- 6
- 26
- 11
- 17
- 4
Bench
- 31
- 12
- 10
- 19
- 40
- 15
- 25
- 9
- 7
Coach
Dieter Hecking
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Siebe Van der Heyden | 1 |
| Mohammed Amoura | 1 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 1 |
| Dzenan Pejcinovic | 1 |
| Konstantinos Koulierakis | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2026-05-16
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–3
VfL Wolfsburg
L
2026-05-09
RB Leipzig
2–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2026-05-03
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2026-04-25
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2026-04-17
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
1. FC Köln
D
2026-04-11
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–5
FC Bayern München
L
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.48
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.24
VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfL Wolfsburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
50%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
74%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or VfL Wolfsburg
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
4.4%
0 – 0
3.7%
1 – 4
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | VfL Wolfsburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 13% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 16% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

