Wednesday , 2 September 2026

Heracles Almelo vs FC Groningen, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Sun 17 May 2026 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito 11,311 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tristan van Gilst 17' 1–1
1–2 56' Tygo Land

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs FC GroningenEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FC Groningen H 1–2 L
10 May Telstar 1963 A 0–3 L
03 May PEC Zwolle A 0–1 L
26 Apr FC Volendam H 0–2 L
11 Apr AFC Ajax H 0–3 L
05 Apr SC Heerenveen A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Heracles Almelo A 2–1 W
10 May NEC H 2–1 W
02 May SBV Excelsior H 2–3 L
25 Apr Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–3 L
11 Apr Go Ahead Eagles H 0–0 D
04 Apr Telstar 1963 A 2–0 W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FC Groningen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Groningen
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Erve Asito. Heracles Almelo are looking to make home advantage count against FC Groningen.
  • 4' David van der Werff doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 9' FC Groningen come into this ranked 9 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 14' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 17' What composure from Tristan van Gilst! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 22' The travelling FC Groningen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 27' FC Groningen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 32' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heracles Almelo and FC Groningen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heracles Almelo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 42' Timo Jansink has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 233 appearances.
  • 47' Heracles Almelo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Groningen backline.
  • 52' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heracles Almelo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' What a strike from Tygo Land! The score is 1-2.
  • 61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 66' FC Groningen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 71' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dick Lukkien might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 76' A quiet spell here at Erve Asito. Heracles Almelo seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 81' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 86' It looks like no one’s ball. Heracles Almelo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 87' Controversy at the stadium! Jan Zamburek argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Travis Hernes on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6 FC Groningen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo26% Draw27% FC Groningen47%
Actual: FC Groningen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Groningen
74%
Heracles Almelo or FC Groningen
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo20% Draw46% FC Groningen34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push FC Groningen covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 22% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
21%
FC Groningen keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.