Sunday , 1 November 2026

Heracles Almelo vs FC Groningen, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Sun 17 May 2026 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito 11,311 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tristan van Gilst 17' 1–1
1–2 56' Tygo Land

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs FC Groningen — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FC Groningen H 1–2 L
10 May Telstar 1963 A 0–3 L
03 May PEC Zwolle A 0–1 L
26 Apr FC Volendam H 0–2 L
11 Apr AFC Ajax H 0–3 L
05 Apr SC Heerenveen A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Heracles Almelo A 2–1 W
10 May NEC H 2–1 W
02 May SBV Excelsior H 2–3 L
25 Apr Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–3 L
11 Apr Go Ahead Eagles H 0–0 D
04 Apr Telstar 1963 A 2–0 W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
10% Clean Sheets
FC Groningen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Groningen
0-15
5/2
16-30
5/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
2/5
61-75
3/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Heracles Almelo host FC Groningen — let the battle begin!
  • 4' David van der Werff puts FC Groningen on the lead.
  • 9' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heracles Almelo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 14' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Heracles Almelo that had 233 games and scored 284 goals.
  • 17' GOAL! Tristan van Gilst scores on 17.
  • 22' FC Groningen come into this ranked 9 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 27' Netherlands international Mimeirhel Benita has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 32' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heracles Almelo and FC Groningen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 37' Heracles Almelo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Groningen backline.
  • 42' Thomas Bruns has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
  • 52' Heracles Almelo is showing some good football. However, Heracles Almelo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' What a moment for Tygo Land! That strike on 56 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 61' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 66' FC Groningen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 71' Jan Zamburek has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 352 appearances.
  • 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tijmen Blokzijl, as he is very good at scoring at Erve Asito with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 81' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 86' The 26-year-old Walid Ould-Chikh has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 87' It’s a booking for Heracles Almelo player. Jan Zamburek gets a card.
  • 90' Travis Hernes catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • Heracles Almelo will have plenty to reflect on. FC Groningen were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6 FC Groningen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo26% Draw27% FC Groningen47%
Actual: FC Groningen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Groningen
74%
Heracles Almelo or FC Groningen
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo20% Draw46% FC Groningen34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push FC Groningen covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 22% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
FC Groningen keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.