Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Heracles Almelo
0 – 3
Full Time
AFC Ajax
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Erve Asito 12,103 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Mika Godts
0–2 17' Steven Berghuis
0–3 47' Steven Berghuis
Walid Ould-Chikh 74' Y
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck 76' Y
R 79' Takehiro Tomiyasu

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
  • Assistant 1 Richard Polman
  • Assistant 2 Rob van de Ven
3 games this season 🟨 1.7/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AZ 7 19
2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 7 17
3 PSV 7 16
4 FC Twente '65 7 16
5 AFC Ajax 7 14
6 Fortuna Sittard 7 13
7 SBV Excelsior 7 11
8 FC Groningen 7 11
9 Go Ahead Eagles 7 10
10 SC Heerenveen 7 9
11 NEC 7 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 5
13 Telstar 1963 7 5
14 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 7 5
15 FC Utrecht 7 5
16 PEC Zwolle 7 4
17 ADO Den Haag 7 2
18 Willem II Tilburg 7 2

Head-to-Head

2
2
10
Heracles Almelo 14 games · Avg 3.3 goals AFC Ajax
Last 5 meetings
2026-04-11 Heracles Almelo 0–3 AFC Ajax 2025-08-24 AFC Ajax 2–0 Heracles Almelo 2025-02-16 AFC Ajax 4–0 Heracles Almelo 2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax 2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

Heracles Almelo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr AFC Ajax H 0–3 L
05 Apr SC Heerenveen A 1–4 L
20 Mar SBV Excelsior H 1–1 D
15 Mar AZ A 0–4 L
06 Mar FC Utrecht H 0–0 D
28 Feb PSV H 1–3 L
AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Heracles Almelo A 3–0 W
04 Apr FC Twente '65 H 1–2 L
22 Mar Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–1 D
14 Mar Sparta Rotterdam H 4–0 W
07 Mar FC Groningen A 1–3 L
01 Mar PEC Zwolle A 0–0 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax
Julian Brandt 4 G
Toluwalas Arokodare 3 G 1 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A
Jorthy Mokio 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Erve Asito. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' AFC Ajax fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' Heracles Almelo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 16' A goal from the Belgium international Mika Godts! He fires home on 16 to make it 0-1!
  • 17' Magnificent from Steven Berghuis! That is 86 goals in 330 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 22' It looks like no one’s ball. Heracles Almelo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 27' Thomas Bruns has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 32' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 37' AFC Ajax is showing some good football. However, AFC Ajax are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 42' Heracles Almelo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AFC Ajax backline.
  • 46' Thomas Bruns makes way for Sava Cestic at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heracles Almelo.
  • 47' What a strike from Steven Berghuis! The score is 0-3.
  • 52' Naci Unuvar, a Turkey , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 54' Heracles Almelo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luka Kulenovic is hanging Naci Unuvar on the field on 54 minute.
  • 55' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Jannes Wieckhoff is replaced by Djevencio van der Kust on 55 minute.
  • 60' AFC Ajax are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 65' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 65 minute. Ivan Mesik leaves to be changed by Walid Ould-Chikh.
  • 66' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Takehiro Tomiyasu on, Ko Itakura off on 66 minutes.
  • 71' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 74' Walid Ould-Chikh was booked on 74.
  • 76' Alec Van Hoorenbeeck picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Takehiro Tomiyasu on 79.
  • 84' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 84 minute. Oscar Gloukh leaves to be changed by Sean Steur.
  • 87' The crowd applauds Mika Godts as he leaves the pitch. Aaron Bouwman steps in for AFC Ajax.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AFC Ajax to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ernest Faber

AFC Ajax Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Óscar García

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Davy Klaassen 4
Zakaria Labyad 3
Mario Engels 3
Steven Berghuis 3
Brian Brobbey 3
Sebastien Haller 2
Wout Weghorst 2
Luka Kulenovic 2

Head to Head

2026-04-11 Heracles Almelo 0–3 AFC Ajax 2025-08-24 AFC Ajax 2–0 Heracles Almelo 2025-02-16 AFC Ajax 4–0 Heracles Almelo 2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax 2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax

Heracles Almelo Form

2026-04-11 Heracles Almelo 0–3 AFC Ajax L 2026-04-05 SC Heerenveen 4–1 Heracles Almelo L 2026-03-20 Heracles Almelo 1–1 SBV Excelsior D 2026-03-15 AZ 4–0 Heracles Almelo L 2026-03-06 Heracles Almelo 0–0 FC Utrecht D 2026-02-28 Heracles Almelo 1–3 PSV L

AFC Ajax Form

2026-04-11 Heracles Almelo 0–3 AFC Ajax W 2026-04-04 AFC Ajax 1–2 FC Twente '65 L 2026-03-22 Feyenoord Rotterdam 1–1 AFC Ajax D 2026-03-14 AFC Ajax 4–0 Sparta Rotterdam W 2026-03-07 FC Groningen 3–1 AFC Ajax L 2026-03-01 PEC Zwolle 0–0 AFC Ajax D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo23% Draw26% AFC Ajax51%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
49%
Draw or AFC Ajax
77%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo18% Draw45% AFC Ajax37%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 23% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.