Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Erve Asito 12,103 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Mika Godts
0–2 17' Steven Berghuis
0–3 47' Steven Berghuis

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC AjaxEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
  • Assistant 1 Richard Polman
  • Assistant 2 Rob van de Ven

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr AFC Ajax H 0–3 L
05 Apr SC Heerenveen A 1–4 L
20 Mar SBV Excelsior H 1–1 D
15 Mar AZ A 0–4 L
06 Mar FC Utrecht H 0–0 D
28 Feb PSV H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Heracles Almelo A 3–0 W
04 Apr FC Twente '65 H 1–2 L
22 Mar Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–1 D
14 Mar Sparta Rotterdam H 4–0 W
07 Mar FC Groningen A 1–3 L
01 Mar PEC Zwolle A 0–0 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Erve Asito that hosts another battle between Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ivan Mesik suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heracles Almelo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 16' AFC Ajax is taking the lead after the goal scored by Mika Godts on 16.
  • 17' GOAL! Steven Berghuis scores on 17. Assisted by Wout Weghorst
  • 22' Heracles Almelo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 27' Heracles Almelo is showing some good football. However, Heracles Almelo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 32' The travelling AFC Ajax supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 37' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
  • 42' Heracles Almelo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 46' Sava Cestic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thomas Bruns on 46 minute.
  • 47' GOAL! Steven Berghuis scores on 47. Assisted by Oscar Gloukh
  • 52' Takehiro Tomiyasu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 40 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 54' Time for substitution for Heracles Almelo. Naci Unuvar is replaced by Luka Kulenovic.
  • 55' Time for substitution for Heracles Almelo. Jannes Wieckhoff is replaced by Djevencio van der Kust.
  • 60' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 65' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 65 minute. Ivan Mesik leaves to be changed by Walid Ould-Chikh.
  • 66' It is a substitution in AFC Ajax team. Ko Itakura is replaced by Takehiro Tomiyasu on 66 minute.
  • 71' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 74' That looks like a foul for a card for Walid Ould-Chikh.
  • 76' Heracles Almelo player sees a card in front of him.
  • 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Takehiro Tomiyasu on 79.
  • 84' The whistle greets Oscar Gloukh as he departs to be replaced by Sean Steur.
  • 87' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 87 minute. Mika Godts leaves to be changed by Aaron Bouwman.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo23% Draw26% AFC Ajax51%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
49%
Draw or AFC Ajax
77%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo18% Draw45% AFC Ajax37%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 23% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
18%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.