Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2025-26

Heracles Almelo

0 – 3

Full Time

AFC Ajax

Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Erve Asito 12,103 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 16' Mika Godts

0–2 17' Steven Berghuis

0–3 47' Steven Berghuis

Walid Ould-Chikh 74' Y

Alec Van Hoorenbeeck 76' Y

R 79' Takehiro Tomiyasu

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
Assistant 1 Richard Polman
Assistant 2 Rob van de Ven

5 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 8.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	PSV	12	26
2	Feyenoord Rotterdam	12	25
3	AFC Ajax	12	25
4	FC Twente '65	12	24
5	AZ	12	23
6	SC Heerenveen	12	21
7	Fortuna Sittard	12	20
8	Go Ahead Eagles	12	17
9	FC Groningen	12	15
10	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	12	15
11	NEC	12	14
12	Sparta Rotterdam	12	12
13	PEC Zwolle	12	12
14	FC Utrecht	12	12
15	SBV Excelsior	12	11
16	Telstar 1963	12	10
17	ADO Den Haag	12	9
18	Willem II Tilburg	12	3

Head-to-Head

Heracles Almelo 14 games · Avg 3.3 goals AFC Ajax

Last 5 meetings

2026-04-11 Heracles Almelo 0–3 AFC Ajax 2025-08-24 AFC Ajax 2–0 Heracles Almelo 2025-02-16 AFC Ajax 4–0 Heracles Almelo 2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax 2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

Heracles Almelo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Apr	AFC Ajax	H	0–3	L
05 Apr	SC Heerenveen	A	1–4	L
20 Mar	SBV Excelsior	H	1–1	D
15 Mar	AZ	A	0–4	L
06 Mar	FC Utrecht	H	0–0	D
28 Feb	PSV	H	1–3	L

AFC Ajax

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Apr	Heracles Almelo	A	3–0	W
04 Apr	FC Twente '65	H	1–2	L
22 Mar	Feyenoord Rotterdam	A	1–1	D
14 Mar	Sparta Rotterdam	H	4–0	W
07 Mar	FC Groningen	A	1–3	L
01 Mar	PEC Zwolle	A	0–0	D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax

0-15

3/1

16-30

3/1

31-45

8/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

8/1

76+

6/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax

Toluwalas Arokodare	7 G	1 A
Julian Brandt	6 G	2 A
Davy Klaassen	3 G	1 A
Jorthy Mokio	3 G	1 A
Kasper Dolberg	2 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax has kicked off!
5' Heracles Almelo are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
10' Heracles Almelo currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
15' Germany international Mario Engels has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
16' Mika Godts makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and AFC Ajax are in front.
17' A stunning finish from Steven Berghuis — that came from absolutely nowhere!
22' Heracles Almelo are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's 4-3-3 shape.
27' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
32' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
37' The home supporters are growing impatient. Heracles Almelo must find a spark to ignite this game.
42' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
46' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 46 minute. Thomas Bruns leaves to be changed by Sava Cestic.
47' Goal! Steven Berghuis scores his 86 goal in 335 matches.
52' AFC Ajax come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
54' The crowd applauds Naci Unuvar as he leaves the pitch. Luka Kulenovic steps in for Heracles Almelo.
55' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Jannes Wieckhoff is replaced by Djevencio van der Kust on 55 minute.
60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
65' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Ivan Mesik is withdrawn and Walid Ould-Chikh gets his opportunity.
66' AFC Ajax make a change. Ko Itakura trudges off to be replaced by Takehiro Tomiyasu on 66 minutes.
71' Alec Van Hoorenbeeck is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Ajax tonight.
74' The referee shows Heracles Almelo player a card on 74.
76' It’s gonna be a card for Alec Van Hoorenbeeck.
79' Controversy at the stadium! Takehiro Tomiyasu argues furiously but the card stands.
84' Another substitution for AFC Ajax to replace Oscar Gloukh by Sean Steur on 84 minute.
87' Aaron Bouwman is replacing Mika Godts for the AFC Ajax side.
The referee brings this contest to a close. AFC Ajax take all three points.

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

22
Remko Pasveer
10
Thomas Bruns ↓ Sava Cestic 46'
8
Mario Engels
24
Ivan Mesik ↓ Walid Ould-Chikh 65'
4
Damon Mirani
9
Naci Unuvar ↓ Luka Kulenovic 54'
3
Jannes Wieckhoff ↓ Djevencio van der Kust 55'
32
Sem Scheperman
17
Tristan van Gilst ↓ Erik Ahlstrand 55'
25
Lequincio Zeefuik
18
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck

Bench

Coach Ernest Faber

AFC Ajax Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

26
Maarten Paes
23
Steven Berghuis ↓ Oliver Edvardsen 84'
25
Wout Weghorst
4
Ko Itakura ↓ Takehiro Tomiyasu 66'
37
Josip Sutalo
15
Youri Baas
2
Lucas Rosa
11
Mika Godts ↓ Aaron Bouwman 87'
10
Oscar Gloukh ↓ Sean Steur 84'
3
Anton Gaaei
24
Jorthy Mokio

Bench

Coach Óscar García

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Davy Klaassen	4
Steven Berghuis	3
Brian Brobbey	3
Zakaria Labyad	3
Mario Engels	3
Sebastien Haller	2
Wout Weghorst	2
Luka Kulenovic	2

Head to Head

Heracles Almelo Form

2026-04-11 Heracles Almelo 0–3 AFC Ajax L 2026-04-05 SC Heerenveen 4–1 Heracles Almelo L 2026-03-20 Heracles Almelo 1–1 SBV Excelsior D 2026-03-15 AZ 4–0 Heracles Almelo L 2026-03-06 Heracles Almelo 0–0 FC Utrecht D 2026-02-28 Heracles Almelo 1–3 PSV L

AFC Ajax Form

2026-04-11 Heracles Almelo 0–3 AFC Ajax W 2026-04-04 AFC Ajax 1–2 FC Twente '65 L 2026-03-22 Feyenoord Rotterdam 1–1 AFC Ajax D 2026-03-14 AFC Ajax 4–0 Sparta Rotterdam W 2026-03-07 FC Groningen 3–1 AFC Ajax L 2026-03-01 PEC Zwolle 0–0 AFC Ajax D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.06 Heracles Almelo xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.76 AFC Ajax xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Heracles Almelo23% Draw26% AFC Ajax51%

Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.82

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw

49%

Draw or AFC Ajax

77%

Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Heracles Almelo18% Draw45% AFC Ajax37%

Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12%

0 – 1

9.7%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

9.1%

0 – 0

7.8%

2 – 1

5.7%

1 – 3

5.5%

1 – 0

5.4%

0 – 3

Actual

2 – 2

2 – 0

3.3%

2 – 3

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap	Heracles Almelo covers	Push	AFC Ajax covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	13%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	23%	30%
+1.5	70%	—	30%
+2	70%	16%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet

35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.