Heracles Almelo vs FC Groningen, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2025-26

Heracles Almelo

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Groningen

Sun 17 May 2026 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito 11,311 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 4' David van der Werff

Tristan van Gilst 17' 1–1

1–2 56' Tygo Land

Jan Zamburek 87' Y

Y 90' Travis Hernes

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs FC Groningen — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
FC Groningen 7 games · 11 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AZ	7	19
2	Feyenoord Rotterdam	7	17
3	PSV	7	16
4	FC Twente '65	7	16
5	AFC Ajax	7	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	13
7	SBV Excelsior	7	11
8	FC Groningen	7	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	10
10	SC Heerenveen	7	9
11	NEC	7	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5
13	Telstar 1963	7	5
14	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	7	5
15	FC Utrecht	7	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	2
18	Willem II Tilburg	7	2

Head-to-Head

Heracles Almelo 11 games · Avg 3.1 goals FC Groningen

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-17 Heracles Almelo 1–2 FC Groningen 2025-08-29 FC Groningen 4–0 Heracles Almelo 2025-04-23 FC Groningen 4–1 Heracles Almelo 2025-01-28 Heracles Almelo 1–1 FC Groningen 2022-04-24 FC Groningen 0–1 Heracles Almelo

Recent Form

Heracles Almelo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	FC Groningen	H	1–2	L
10 May	Telstar 1963	A	0–3	L
03 May	PEC Zwolle	A	0–1	L
26 Apr	FC Volendam	H	0–2	L
11 Apr	AFC Ajax	H	0–3	L
05 Apr	SC Heerenveen	A	1–4	L

FC Groningen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	Heracles Almelo	A	2–1	W
10 May	NEC	H	2–1	W
02 May	SBV Excelsior	H	2–3	L
25 Apr	Feyenoord Rotterdam	A	1–3	L
11 Apr	Go Ahead Eagles	H	0–0	D
04 Apr	Telstar 1963	A	2–0	W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
FC Groningen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Groningen

0-15

3/2

16-30

5/1

31-45

3/3

46-60

1/3

61-75

1/1

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Groningen

Thom van Bergen	4 G	2 A
Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson	4 G
David van der Werff	2 G	3 A
Tygo Land	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Heracles Almelo and FC Groningen is underway.
4' What a moment for David van der Werff! That strike on 4 puts his side firmly in control.
9' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heracles Almelo and FC Groningen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
14' Netherlands international Tristan van Gilst has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
17' Tristan van Gilst doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
22' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jan Zamburek, as he is very good at scoring at Erve Asito with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
27' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
32' FC Groningen have won 258 goals from 314 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
37' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
47' Etienne Vaessen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
52' Jorg Schreuders has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 314 appearances.
56' The deadlock is broken! Tygo Land gets on the scoresheet on 56 minutes.
61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Groningen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
66' Over 66 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
71' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heracles Almelo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
76' It’s high time Ernest Faber made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
81' A quiet spell here at Erve Asito. FC Groningen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
86' FC Groningen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
87' Heracles Almelo receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
90' FC Groningen receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Heracles Almelo 1-2 FC Groningen.

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ernest Faber

FC Groningen Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Dick Lukkien

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Thomas Bruns	2
Jorgen Larsen	2
Romano Postema	2
Brandley Kuwas	2
Nikolai Laursen	2
Adrian Dalmau	2
Jorg Schreuders	1
Mimoun Mahi	1

Head to Head

Heracles Almelo Form

2026-05-17 Heracles Almelo 1–2 FC Groningen L 2026-05-10 Telstar 1963 3–0 Heracles Almelo L 2026-05-03 PEC Zwolle 1–0 Heracles Almelo L 2026-04-26 Heracles Almelo 0–2 FC Volendam L 2026-04-11 Heracles Almelo 0–3 AFC Ajax L 2026-04-05 SC Heerenveen 4–1 Heracles Almelo L

FC Groningen Form

2026-05-17 Heracles Almelo 1–2 FC Groningen W 2026-05-10 FC Groningen 2–1 NEC W 2026-05-02 FC Groningen 2–3 SBV Excelsior L 2026-04-25 Feyenoord Rotterdam 3–1 FC Groningen L 2026-04-11 FC Groningen 0–0 Go Ahead Eagles D 2026-04-04 Telstar 1963 0–2 FC Groningen W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.1 Heracles Almelo xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.6 FC Groningen xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Heracles Almelo26% Draw27% FC Groningen47%

Actual: FC Groningen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.7

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw

53%

Draw or FC Groningen

74%

Heracles Almelo or FC Groningen

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Heracles Almelo20% Draw46% FC Groningen34%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

0 – 1

9.8%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

8.6%

0 – 2

8.4%

1 – 0

6.4%

2 – 1

6.3%

2 – 2

5.1%

1 – 3

4.9%

0 – 3

4.4%

2 – 0

2 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap	Heracles Almelo covers	Push	FC Groningen covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	15%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	22%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	15%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

FC Groningen keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.