Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs FC Groningen, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Sun 17 May 2026 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito 11,311 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tristan van Gilst 17' 1–1
1–2 56' Tygo Land

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs FC GroningenEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May FC Groningen H 1–2 L
10 May Telstar 1963 A 0–3 L
03 May PEC Zwolle A 0–1 L
26 Apr FC Volendam H 0–2 L
11 Apr AFC Ajax H 0–3 L
05 Apr SC Heerenveen A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Heracles Almelo A 2–1 W
10 May NEC H 2–1 W
02 May SBV Excelsior H 2–3 L
25 Apr Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–3 L
11 Apr Go Ahead Eagles H 0–0 D
04 Apr Telstar 1963 A 2–0 W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Heracles Almelo to score. At the same time, FC Groningen does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 4' David van der Werff puts FC Groningen on the lead.
  • 9' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tijmen Blokzijl suffering a number of foals already.
  • 14' Heracles Almelo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 17' What an equalizer from Tristan van Gilst!
  • 22' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 32' Etienne Vaessen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 37' It looks like no one’s ball. Heracles Almelo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 42' It’s high time Dick Lukkien made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 47' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 52' Jorg Schreuders has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' What a strike from Tygo Land! The score is 1-2.
  • 61' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mike te Wierik, as he is very good at scoring at Erve Asito with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 66' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Younes Taha has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 71' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heracles Almelo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 76' Heracles Almelo is showing some good football. However, Heracles Almelo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Groningen that had 307 games and scored 243 goals.
  • 86' Heracles Almelo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 87' The referee shows Heracles Almelo player a card on 87.
  • 90' The referee shows FC Groningen player a card on 90.
  • With this win, FC Groningen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6 FC Groningen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo26% Draw27% FC Groningen47%
Actual: FC Groningen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Groningen
74%
Heracles Almelo or FC Groningen
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo20% Draw46% FC Groningen34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push FC Groningen covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 22% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
21%
FC Groningen keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.