Wednesday , 23 September 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Heracles Almelo
0 – 3
Full Time
AFC Ajax
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Erve Asito 12,103 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Mika Godts
0–2 17' Steven Berghuis
0–3 47' Steven Berghuis
Walid Ould-Chikh 74' Y
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck 76' Y
R 79' Takehiro Tomiyasu

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
  • Assistant 1 Richard Polman
  • Assistant 2 Rob van de Ven
3 games this season 🟨 1.7/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AZ 7 19
2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 7 17
3 PSV 7 16
4 FC Twente '65 7 16
5 AFC Ajax 7 14
6 Fortuna Sittard 7 13
7 SBV Excelsior 7 11
8 FC Groningen 7 11
9 Go Ahead Eagles 7 10
10 SC Heerenveen 7 9
11 NEC 7 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 5
13 Telstar 1963 7 5
14 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 7 5
15 FC Utrecht 7 5
16 PEC Zwolle 7 4
17 ADO Den Haag 7 2
18 Willem II Tilburg 7 2

Head-to-Head

2
2
10
Heracles Almelo 14 games · Avg 3.3 goals AFC Ajax
Last 5 meetings
2026-04-11 Heracles Almelo 0–3 AFC Ajax 2025-08-24 AFC Ajax 2–0 Heracles Almelo 2025-02-16 AFC Ajax 4–0 Heracles Almelo 2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax 2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

Heracles Almelo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr AFC Ajax H 0–3 L
05 Apr SC Heerenveen A 1–4 L
20 Mar SBV Excelsior H 1–1 D
15 Mar AZ A 0–4 L
06 Mar FC Utrecht H 0–0 D
28 Feb PSV H 1–3 L
AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Heracles Almelo A 3–0 W
04 Apr FC Twente '65 H 1–2 L
22 Mar Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–1 D
14 Mar Sparta Rotterdam H 4–0 W
07 Mar FC Groningen A 1–3 L
01 Mar PEC Zwolle A 0–0 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax
Julian Brandt 4 G
Toluwalas Arokodare 3 G 1 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A
Jorthy Mokio 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Erve Asito as Heracles Almelo face off against AFC Ajax in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Óscar García will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Walid Ould-Chikh made 102 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Thomas Bruns, a Netherlands , has 25 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 16' Mika Godts does the damage! The net is bulging and AFC Ajax surge ahead!
  • 17' Steven Berghuis makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and AFC Ajax are in front.
  • 22' AFC Ajax come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 27' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 42' It’s high time Óscar García made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Thomas Bruns as he leaves the pitch. Sava Cestic steps in for Heracles Almelo.
  • 47' Brilliant from the ! Steven Berghuis makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 47.
  • 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 54' Time for substitution for Heracles Almelo. Naci Unuvar is replaced by Luka Kulenovic.
  • 55' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 55 minute. Jannes Wieckhoff leaves to be changed by Djevencio van der Kust.
  • 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 65' Walid Ould-Chikh has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ivan Mesik on 65 minute.
  • 66' Another substitution for AFC Ajax to replace Ko Itakura by Takehiro Tomiyasu on 66 minute.
  • 71' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 74' Walid Ould-Chikh is having his name booked by the referee on 74.
  • 76' The referee shows Heracles Almelo player a card on 76.
  • 79' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Takehiro Tomiyasu on 79 minutes.
  • 84' AFC Ajax make a change. Oscar Gloukh trudges off to be replaced by Sean Steur on 84 minutes.
  • 87' Aaron Bouwman gets the nod from AFC Ajax. He replaces Mika Godts and will look to change the dynamic.
  • With this win, AFC Ajax is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ernest Faber

AFC Ajax Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Óscar García

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Davy Klaassen 4
Brian Brobbey 3
Zakaria Labyad 3
Mario Engels 3
Steven Berghuis 3
Sebastien Haller 2
Wout Weghorst 2
Luka Kulenovic 2

Head to Head

2026-04-11 Heracles Almelo 0–3 AFC Ajax 2025-08-24 AFC Ajax 2–0 Heracles Almelo 2025-02-16 AFC Ajax 4–0 Heracles Almelo 2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax 2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax

Heracles Almelo Form

2026-04-11 Heracles Almelo 0–3 AFC Ajax L 2026-04-05 SC Heerenveen 4–1 Heracles Almelo L 2026-03-20 Heracles Almelo 1–1 SBV Excelsior D 2026-03-15 AZ 4–0 Heracles Almelo L 2026-03-06 Heracles Almelo 0–0 FC Utrecht D 2026-02-28 Heracles Almelo 1–3 PSV L

AFC Ajax Form

2026-04-11 Heracles Almelo 0–3 AFC Ajax W 2026-04-04 AFC Ajax 1–2 FC Twente '65 L 2026-03-22 Feyenoord Rotterdam 1–1 AFC Ajax D 2026-03-14 AFC Ajax 4–0 Sparta Rotterdam W 2026-03-07 FC Groningen 3–1 AFC Ajax L 2026-03-01 PEC Zwolle 0–0 AFC Ajax D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo23% Draw26% AFC Ajax51%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
49%
Draw or AFC Ajax
77%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo18% Draw45% AFC Ajax37%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 23% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.