Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Heracles Almelo
2 – 4
Full Time
AFC Ajax
Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 20:00 UTC Erve Asito HT 45' · FT 45'
Jizz Hornkamp 12' 1–0
1–1 16' Brian Brobbey
1–2 55' Steven Berghuis
1–3 57' Brian Brobbey
Mario Engels 60' 2–3
2–4 84' Kristian Hlynsson
Brian De Keersmaecker 15' Y
Y 81' Kenneth Taylor
Sava Cestic 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Assistant 1 Joost van Zuilen
  • Assistant 2 Nils van Kampen

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 ADO Den Haag 0 0
2 AFC Ajax 0 0
3 AZ 0 0
4 FC Groningen 0 0
5 FC Twente '65 0 0
6 FC Utrecht 0 0
7 Feyenoord Rotterdam 0 0
8 Fortuna Sittard 0 0
9 Go Ahead Eagles 0 0
10 NEC 0 0
11 PEC Zwolle 0 0
12 PSV 0 0
13 SBV Excelsior 0 0
14 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 0 0
15 SC Heerenveen 0 0
16 Sparta Rotterdam 0 0
17 Telstar 1963 0 0
18 Willem II Tilburg 0 0

Head-to-Head

2
2
10
Heracles Almelo 14 games · Avg 3.3 goals AFC Ajax
Last 5 meetings
2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax 2023-08-12 AFC Ajax 4–1 Heracles Almelo 2022-02-06 AFC Ajax 3–0 Heracles Almelo 2021-10-30 Heracles Almelo 0–0 AFC Ajax 2021-02-13 Heracles Almelo 0–2 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

Heracles Almelo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan AFC Ajax H 2–4 L
20 Jan FC Volendam H 1–1 D
12 Jan RKC Waalwijk A 2–1 W
17 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–4 L
10 Dec SBV Vitesse A 0–2 L
02 Dec Sparta Rotterdam H 0–1 L
AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Heracles Almelo A 4–2 W
21 Jan RKC Waalwijk H 4–1 W
14 Jan Go Ahead Eagles A 3–2 W
17 Dec PEC Zwolle H 2–2 D
14 Dec PAE AEK H 3–1 W
09 Dec Sparta Rotterdam H 2–1 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Heracles Almelo launch into their encounter with AFC Ajax.
  • 5' Anton Gaaei has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 480 appearances.
  • 10' AFC Ajax fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 12' Against the run of play, Jizz Hornkamp has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 15' A moment of madness from Brian De Keersmaecker on 15 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Heracles Almelo will be frustrated.
  • 16' Goal! Brian Brobbey scores his 60 goal in 480 matches.
  • 21' Tristan Gooijer has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 26' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 31' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 36' Mario Engels has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 41' The 23-year-old Devyne Rensch has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Marko Vejinovic departs to be replaced by Thomas Bruns.
  • 51' named a 5-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 55' Steven Berghuis doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 56' Time for substitution for Heracles Almelo. Emil Hansson is replaced by Bryan Limbombe.
  • 57' Brian Brobbey with the second goal in the match!
  • 60' A goal from the Germany international Mario Engels! He fires home on 60 to make it 2-3!
  • 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mohamed Sankoh made 438 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 75' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 79' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Jizz Hornkamp is withdrawn and Mohamed Sankoh gets his opportunity.
  • 81' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Kenneth Taylor on 81 minutes.
  • 83' Anton Gaaei gets the nod from AFC Ajax. He replaces Tristan Gooijer and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Kristian Hlynsson is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 84' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Anton Gaaei is hanging Tristan Gooijer on the field on 84 minute.
  • 89' Heracles Almelo player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 90' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 90 minute. Forbs leaves to be changed by Jaydon Banel.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Heracles Almelo 2-4 AFC Ajax.

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

AFC Ajax Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Davy Klaassen 4
Zakaria Labyad 3
Mario Engels 3
Steven Berghuis 3
Brian Brobbey 3
Luka Kulenovic 2
Steven Bergwijn 2
Mika Godts 2

Head to Head

2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax 2023-08-12 AFC Ajax 4–1 Heracles Almelo 2022-02-06 AFC Ajax 3–0 Heracles Almelo 2021-10-30 Heracles Almelo 0–0 AFC Ajax 2021-02-13 Heracles Almelo 0–2 AFC Ajax

Heracles Almelo Form

2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax L 2024-01-20 Heracles Almelo 1–1 FC Volendam D 2024-01-12 RKC Waalwijk 1–2 Heracles Almelo W 2023-12-17 Heracles Almelo 0–4 Feyenoord Rotterdam L 2023-12-10 SBV Vitesse 2–0 Heracles Almelo L 2023-12-02 Heracles Almelo 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam L

AFC Ajax Form

2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax W 2024-01-21 AFC Ajax 4–1 RKC Waalwijk W 2024-01-14 Go Ahead Eagles 2–3 AFC Ajax W 2023-12-17 AFC Ajax 2–2 PEC Zwolle D 2023-12-14 AFC Ajax 3–1 PAE AEK W 2023-12-09 AFC Ajax 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.24 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo23% Draw24% AFC Ajax53%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
47%
Draw or AFC Ajax
77%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo19% Draw41% AFC Ajax40%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
4%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 21% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.