Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2023-24

Heracles Almelo

2 – 4

Full Time

AFC Ajax

Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 20:00 UTC Erve Asito HT 45' · FT 45'

Jizz Hornkamp 12' 1–0

1–1 16' Brian Brobbey

1–2 55' Steven Berghuis

1–3 57' Brian Brobbey

Mario Engels 60' 2–3

2–4 84' Kristian Hlynsson

Brian De Keersmaecker 15' Y

Y 81' Kenneth Taylor

Sava Cestic 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
AFC Ajax 7 games · 14 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Dennis Higler
Assistant 1 Joost van Zuilen
Assistant 2 Nils van Kampen

4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 4.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AZ	7	19
2	Feyenoord Rotterdam	7	17
3	PSV	7	16
4	FC Twente '65	7	16
5	AFC Ajax	7	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	13
7	SBV Excelsior	7	11
8	FC Groningen	7	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	10
10	SC Heerenveen	7	9
11	NEC	7	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5
13	Telstar 1963	7	5
14	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	7	5
15	FC Utrecht	7	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	2
18	Willem II Tilburg	7	2

Head-to-Head

Heracles Almelo 14 games · Avg 3.3 goals AFC Ajax

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax 2023-08-12 AFC Ajax 4–1 Heracles Almelo 2022-02-06 AFC Ajax 3–0 Heracles Almelo 2021-10-30 Heracles Almelo 0–0 AFC Ajax 2021-02-13 Heracles Almelo 0–2 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

Heracles Almelo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Jan	AFC Ajax	H	2–4	L
20 Jan	FC Volendam	H	1–1	D
12 Jan	RKC Waalwijk	A	2–1	W
17 Dec	Feyenoord Rotterdam	H	0–4	L
10 Dec	SBV Vitesse	A	0–2	L
02 Dec	Sparta Rotterdam	H	0–1	L

AFC Ajax

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Jan	Heracles Almelo	A	4–2	W
21 Jan	RKC Waalwijk	H	4–1	W
14 Jan	Go Ahead Eagles	A	3–2	W
17 Dec	PEC Zwolle	H	2–2	D
14 Dec	PAE AEK	H	3–1	W
09 Dec	Sparta Rotterdam	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

6/3

46-60

2/1

61-75

5/1

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax

Julian Brandt	4 G
Toluwalas Arokodare	3 G	1 A
Davy Klaassen	3 G
Kasper Dolberg	2 G	2 A
Jorthy Mokio	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Heracles Almelo have kicked off against AFC Ajax. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
10' It is a cagey affair so far. Heracles Almelo in their 5-4-1 trying to find a way past AFC Ajax's compact 4-2-3-1.
12' Goal! Jizz Hornkamp scores his 28 goal in 373 matches.
15' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Brian De Keersmaecker.
16' GOAL! Brian Brobbey scores on 16. Assisted by Benjamin Tahirovic
21' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
26' Heracles Almelo are deployed in a 5-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's 4-2-3-1 shape.
31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
36' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jannes Wieckhoff is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Ajax.
41' Michael Brouwer has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
46' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 46 minute. Marko Vejinovic leaves to be changed by Thomas Bruns.
51' Kristian Hlynsson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
55' Steven Berghuis makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and AFC Ajax are in front.
56' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Emil Hansson departs to be replaced by Bryan Limbombe.
57' Against the run of play, Brian Brobbey has scored! This game has turned on its head.
60' Goal! Mario Engels scores his 16 goal in 154 matches.
65' Marko Vejinovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
70' It looks surprising AFC Ajax does not make any changes. Justin Hoogma has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
75' Devyne Rensch has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
79' Jizz Hornkamp makes way for Mohamed Sankoh at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heracles Almelo.
81' Kenneth Taylor was booked on 81.
83' AFC Ajax ring the changes. Tristan Gooijer has done his job and it is now time for Anton Gaaei to step up.
84' What composure from Kristian Hlynsson! The Iceland international strokes it home. 2-4.
84' Anton Gaaei gets the nod from AFC Ajax. He replaces Tristan Gooijer and will look to change the dynamic.
89' Sava Cestic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 89.
90' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 90 minute. Forbs leaves to be changed by Jaydon Banel.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AFC Ajax players.

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

17
Thomas Bruns ↑ 46'
8
Mario Engels ↑ 56'
19
Navajo Bakboord ↑ 90'
16
Fabian de Keijzer
7
Bryan Limbombe ↑ 56'
44
Mohamed Sankoh ↑ 79'
36
Timo Jansink
32
Sem Scheperman

AFC Ajax Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Davy Klaassen	4
Zakaria Labyad	3
Mario Engels	3
Steven Berghuis	3
Brian Brobbey	3
Sebastien Haller	2
Wout Weghorst	2
Luka Kulenovic	2

Head to Head

Heracles Almelo Form

2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax L 2024-01-20 Heracles Almelo 1–1 FC Volendam D 2024-01-12 RKC Waalwijk 1–2 Heracles Almelo W 2023-12-17 Heracles Almelo 0–4 Feyenoord Rotterdam L 2023-12-10 SBV Vitesse 2–0 Heracles Almelo L 2023-12-02 Heracles Almelo 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam L

AFC Ajax Form

2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax W 2024-01-21 AFC Ajax 4–1 RKC Waalwijk W 2024-01-14 Go Ahead Eagles 2–3 AFC Ajax W 2023-12-17 AFC Ajax 2–2 PEC Zwolle D 2023-12-14 AFC Ajax 3–1 PAE AEK W 2023-12-09 AFC Ajax 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.24 Heracles Almelo xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.04 AFC Ajax xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Heracles Almelo23% Draw24% AFC Ajax53%

Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.28

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw

47%

Draw or AFC Ajax

77%

Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Heracles Almelo19% Draw41% AFC Ajax40%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted

2 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

10.3%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

7.8%

0 – 1

1 – 3

6.3%

2 – 2

5.8%

2 – 1

5.7%

0 – 0

5.3%

0 – 3

5.2%

2 – 3

1 – 0

1 – 4

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap	Heracles Almelo covers	Push	AFC Ajax covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	13%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	45%	—	55%
+1	45%	21%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	17%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.