Sunday , 16 August 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Heracles Almelo
2 – 4
Full Time
AFC Ajax
Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 20:00 UTC Erve Asito HT 45' · FT 45'
Jizz Hornkamp 12' 1–0
1–1 16' Brian Brobbey
1–2 55' Steven Berghuis
1–3 57' Brian Brobbey
Mario Engels 60' 2–3
2–4 84' Kristian Hlynsson
Brian De Keersmaecker 15' Y
Y 81' Kenneth Taylor
Sava Cestic 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Assistant 1 Joost van Zuilen
  • Assistant 2 Nils van Kampen

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AZ 2 6
2 Fortuna Sittard 2 4
3 PSV 2 4
4 SBV Excelsior 2 3
5 Go Ahead Eagles 1 3
6 NEC 2 3
7 AFC Ajax 1 3
8 Sparta Rotterdam 2 3
9 FC Groningen 1 3
10 Feyenoord Rotterdam 1 3
11 SC Heerenveen 1 3
12 Telstar 1963 2 3
13 FC Twente '65 1 0
14 ADO Den Haag 1 0
15 PEC Zwolle 1 0
16 FC Utrecht 2 0
17 Willem II Tilburg 2 0
18 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 0

Head-to-Head

2
2
10
Heracles Almelo 14 games · Avg 3.3 goals AFC Ajax
Last 5 meetings
2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax 2023-08-12 AFC Ajax 4–1 Heracles Almelo 2022-02-06 AFC Ajax 3–0 Heracles Almelo 2021-10-30 Heracles Almelo 0–0 AFC Ajax 2021-02-13 Heracles Almelo 0–2 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

Heracles Almelo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan AFC Ajax H 2–4 L
20 Jan FC Volendam H 1–1 D
12 Jan RKC Waalwijk A 2–1 W
17 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–4 L
10 Dec SBV Vitesse A 0–2 L
02 Dec Sparta Rotterdam H 0–1 L
AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Heracles Almelo A 4–2 W
21 Jan RKC Waalwijk H 4–1 W
14 Jan Go Ahead Eagles A 3–2 W
17 Dec PEC Zwolle H 2–2 D
14 Dec PAE AEK H 3–1 W
09 Dec Sparta Rotterdam H 2–1 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. AFC Ajax get us underway at Erve Asito.
  • 5' AFC Ajax seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 12' A goal from the Netherlands international Jizz Hornkamp! He fires home on 12 to make it 1-0!
  • 15' A moment of madness from Brian De Keersmaecker on 15 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Heracles Almelo will be frustrated.
  • 16' GOAL! Brian Brobbey scores on 16. Assisted by Benjamin Tahirovic
  • 21' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 26' Heracles Almelo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AFC Ajax backline.
  • 31' Heracles Almelo are deployed in a 5-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 36' It is a cagey affair so far. Heracles Almelo in their 5-4-1 trying to find a way past AFC Ajax's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 41' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 46' Heracles Almelo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Thomas Bruns is hanging Marko Vejinovic on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Heracles Almelo have won 284 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 55' Steven Berghuis doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 56' Emil Hansson makes way for Bryan Limbombe at the 56 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heracles Almelo.
  • 57' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Brian Brobbey makes no mistake. 1-3!
  • 60' A stunning finish from Mario Engels — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 65' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Justin Hoogma has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 70' AFC Ajax fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 75' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heracles Almelo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Jizz Hornkamp is replaced by Mohamed Sankoh on 79 minute.
  • 81' That is a Yellow card for AFC Ajax. Kenneth Taylor will be fuming at that decision.
  • 83' AFC Ajax ring the changes. Tristan Gooijer has done his job and it is now time for Anton Gaaei to step up.
  • 84' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kristian Hlynsson makes no mistake. 2-4!
  • 84' AFC Ajax make a change. Tristan Gooijer trudges off to be replaced by Anton Gaaei on 84 minutes.
  • 89' The referee has no hesitation. Sava Cestic is booked for Heracles Almelo — Yellow card on 89.
  • 90' AFC Ajax make a change. Forbs trudges off to be replaced by Jaydon Banel on 90 minutes.
  • It finishes all square. Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax share the spoils 2-4.

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

AFC Ajax Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Davy Klaassen 4
Mario Engels 3
Steven Berghuis 3
Brian Brobbey 3
Zakaria Labyad 3
Mika Godts 2
Quincy Promes 2
Cyriel Dessers 2

Head to Head

2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax 2023-08-12 AFC Ajax 4–1 Heracles Almelo 2022-02-06 AFC Ajax 3–0 Heracles Almelo 2021-10-30 Heracles Almelo 0–0 AFC Ajax 2021-02-13 Heracles Almelo 0–2 AFC Ajax

Heracles Almelo Form

2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax L 2024-01-20 Heracles Almelo 1–1 FC Volendam D 2024-01-12 RKC Waalwijk 1–2 Heracles Almelo W 2023-12-17 Heracles Almelo 0–4 Feyenoord Rotterdam L 2023-12-10 SBV Vitesse 2–0 Heracles Almelo L 2023-12-02 Heracles Almelo 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam L

AFC Ajax Form

2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax W 2024-01-21 AFC Ajax 4–1 RKC Waalwijk W 2024-01-14 Go Ahead Eagles 2–3 AFC Ajax W 2023-12-17 AFC Ajax 2–2 PEC Zwolle D 2023-12-14 AFC Ajax 3–1 PAE AEK W 2023-12-09 AFC Ajax 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.24 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo23% Draw24% AFC Ajax53%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
47%
Draw or AFC Ajax
77%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo19% Draw41% AFC Ajax40%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
4%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 21% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.