Saturday , 14 November 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Heracles Almelo
2 – 4
Full Time
AFC Ajax
Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 20:00 UTC Erve Asito HT 45' · FT 45'
Jizz Hornkamp 12' 1–0
1–1 16' Brian Brobbey
1–2 55' Steven Berghuis
1–3 57' Brian Brobbey
Mario Engels 60' 2–3
2–4 84' Kristian Hlynsson
Brian De Keersmaecker 15' Y
Y 81' Kenneth Taylor
Sava Cestic 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Assistant 1 Joost van Zuilen
  • Assistant 2 Nils van Kampen
7 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 10.1 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 PSV 12 26
2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 12 25
3 AFC Ajax 12 25
4 FC Twente '65 12 24
5 AZ 12 23
6 SC Heerenveen 12 21
7 Fortuna Sittard 12 20
8 Go Ahead Eagles 12 17
9 FC Groningen 12 15
10 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 12 15
11 NEC 12 14
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12 12
13 PEC Zwolle 12 12
14 FC Utrecht 12 12
15 SBV Excelsior 12 11
16 Telstar 1963 12 10
17 ADO Den Haag 12 9
18 Willem II Tilburg 12 3

Head-to-Head

2
2
10
Heracles Almelo 14 games · Avg 3.3 goals AFC Ajax
Last 5 meetings
2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax 2023-08-12 AFC Ajax 4–1 Heracles Almelo 2022-02-06 AFC Ajax 3–0 Heracles Almelo 2021-10-30 Heracles Almelo 0–0 AFC Ajax 2021-02-13 Heracles Almelo 0–2 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

Heracles Almelo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan AFC Ajax H 2–4 L
20 Jan FC Volendam H 1–1 D
12 Jan RKC Waalwijk A 2–1 W
17 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–4 L
10 Dec SBV Vitesse A 0–2 L
02 Dec Sparta Rotterdam H 0–1 L
AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Heracles Almelo A 4–2 W
21 Jan RKC Waalwijk H 4–1 W
14 Jan Go Ahead Eagles A 3–2 W
17 Dec PEC Zwolle H 2–2 D
14 Dec PAE AEK H 3–1 W
09 Dec Sparta Rotterdam H 2–1 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax
Toluwalas Arokodare 7 G 1 A
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AFC Ajax kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Heracles Almelo currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Heracles Almelo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 12' The Netherlands Jizz Hornkamp breaks the deadlock on 12 minutes. 1-0!
  • 15' Heracles Almelo receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 15.
  • 16' What a moment for Brian Brobbey! That strike on 16 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 21' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Navajo Bakboord suffering a number of foals already.
  • 26' Jaydon Banel, a Netherlands forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 31' Jordy Bruijn has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 380 appearances.
  • 36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Marko Vejinovic as he leaves the pitch. Thomas Bruns steps in for Heracles Almelo.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Heracles Almelo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 55' Steven Berghuis is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 56' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Emil Hansson departs to be replaced by Bryan Limbombe.
  • 57' Brian Brobbey does the damage! The net is bulging and AFC Ajax surge ahead!
  • 60' Brilliant from the ! Mario Engels makes it 2-3 with a superb finish on 60.
  • 65' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 65 minutes.
  • 70' Heracles Almelo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AFC Ajax backline.
  • 75' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 79' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 79 minute. Jizz Hornkamp leaves to be changed by Mohamed Sankoh.
  • 81' The referee shows AFC Ajax player a Yellow card on 81.
  • 83' Another substitution for AFC Ajax to replace Tristan Gooijer by Anton Gaaei on 83 minute.
  • 84' Kristian Hlynsson does the damage! The net is bulging and AFC Ajax surge ahead!
  • 84' AFC Ajax make a change. Tristan Gooijer trudges off to be replaced by Anton Gaaei on 84 minutes.
  • 89' Heracles Almelo player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 90' AFC Ajax ring the changes. Forbs has done his job and it is now time for Jaydon Banel to step up.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-4 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

AFC Ajax Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Davy Klaassen 4
Zakaria Labyad 3
Mario Engels 3
Steven Berghuis 3
Brian Brobbey 3
Sebastien Haller 2
Wout Weghorst 2
Luka Kulenovic 2

Head to Head

2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax 2023-08-12 AFC Ajax 4–1 Heracles Almelo 2022-02-06 AFC Ajax 3–0 Heracles Almelo 2021-10-30 Heracles Almelo 0–0 AFC Ajax 2021-02-13 Heracles Almelo 0–2 AFC Ajax

Heracles Almelo Form

2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax L 2024-01-20 Heracles Almelo 1–1 FC Volendam D 2024-01-12 RKC Waalwijk 1–2 Heracles Almelo W 2023-12-17 Heracles Almelo 0–4 Feyenoord Rotterdam L 2023-12-10 SBV Vitesse 2–0 Heracles Almelo L 2023-12-02 Heracles Almelo 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam L

AFC Ajax Form

2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax W 2024-01-21 AFC Ajax 4–1 RKC Waalwijk W 2024-01-14 Go Ahead Eagles 2–3 AFC Ajax W 2023-12-17 AFC Ajax 2–2 PEC Zwolle D 2023-12-14 AFC Ajax 3–1 PAE AEK W 2023-12-09 AFC Ajax 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.24 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo23% Draw24% AFC Ajax53%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
47%
Draw or AFC Ajax
77%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo19% Draw41% AFC Ajax40%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
4%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 21% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.