Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs PSV, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
1 3
Full Time
Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs PSVEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Erwin Blank

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb PSV H 1–3 L
22 Feb Go Ahead Eagles A 0–4 L
14 Feb NAC Breda H 0–1 L
07 Feb NEC A 1–4 L
01 Feb Fortuna Sittard H 2–1 W
25 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Heracles Almelo A 3–1 W
21 Feb SC Heerenveen H 3–1 W
13 Feb FC Volendam A 1–2 L
08 Feb FC Groningen A 2–1 W
01 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam H 3–0 W
28 Jan FC Bayern München H 1–2 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • With this win, PSV is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

PSV Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 PSV xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo26% Draw25% PSV49%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
51%
Draw or PSV
74%
Heracles Almelo or PSV
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo21% Draw43% PSV36%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
7.6%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push PSV covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
17%
PSV keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.