Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Heracles Almelo
3 – 4
Full Time
AFC Ajax
Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito 12,161 HT 45' · FT 45'
Luka Kulenovic 12' 1–0
1–1 25' Davy Klaassen
Mario Engels 28' 2–1
2–2 34' Bertrand Traore
2–3 63' Wout Weghorst
Luka Kulenovic 76' 3–3
3–4 82' Wout Weghorst pen
Brian De Keersmaecker 14' Y
Y 34' Jorrel Hato
Y 36' Brian Brobbey
Y 37' Jordan Henderson
Brian De Keersmaecker 84' YR
Y 88' Christian Rasmussen

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Edwin van de Graaf
  • Assistant 1 Kevin Bodde
  • Assistant 2 Michael Osseweijer

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AZ 7 19
2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 7 17
3 PSV 7 16
4 FC Twente '65 7 16
5 AFC Ajax 7 14
6 Fortuna Sittard 7 13
7 SBV Excelsior 7 11
8 FC Groningen 7 11
9 Go Ahead Eagles 7 10
10 SC Heerenveen 7 9
11 NEC 7 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 5
13 Telstar 1963 7 5
14 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 7 5
15 FC Utrecht 7 5
16 PEC Zwolle 7 4
17 ADO Den Haag 7 2
18 Willem II Tilburg 7 2

Head-to-Head

2
2
10
Heracles Almelo 14 games · Avg 3.3 goals AFC Ajax
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax 2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax 2023-08-12 AFC Ajax 4–1 Heracles Almelo 2022-02-06 AFC Ajax 3–0 Heracles Almelo 2021-10-30 Heracles Almelo 0–0 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

Heracles Almelo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct AFC Ajax H 3–4 L
06 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 1–4 L
27 Sep SC Heerenveen H 2–1 W
21 Sep NEC A 2–1 W
15 Sep Almere City FC H 0–0 D
01 Sep PEC Zwolle A 0–3 L
AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct Heracles Almelo A 4–3 W
06 Oct FC Groningen H 3–1 W
03 Oct SK Slavia Praha A 1–1 D
29 Sep RKC Waalwijk A 2–0 W
26 Sep Beşiktaş JK H 4–0 W
21 Sep Go Ahead Eagles A 1–1 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax
Julian Brandt 4 G
Toluwalas Arokodare 3 G 1 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A
Jorthy Mokio 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Erve Asito. Heracles Almelo are looking to make home advantage count against AFC Ajax.
  • 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heracles Almelo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 12' A stunning finish from Luka Kulenovic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 14' It’s a booking for Heracles Almelo player. Brian De Keersmaecker gets a card.
  • 19' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heracles Almelo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 24' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Josip Sutalo made 191 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' A stunning finish from Davy Klaassen — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 28' The Germany Mario Engels breaks the deadlock on 28 minutes. 2-1!
  • 33' Shiloh 't Zand needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 34' The Burkina Faso right winger Bertrand Traore breaks the deadlock on 34 minutes. 2-2!
  • 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jorrel Hato on 34.
  • 36' The referee has no hesitation. Brian Brobbey is booked for AFC Ajax — card on 36.
  • 37' AFC Ajax player sees a card in front of him.
  • 42' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 47' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 52' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 58' A change in the AFC Ajax ranks — Kenneth Taylor exits the field as Kian Fitz-Jim enters on 58.
  • 63' GOAL! Wout Weghorst fires home to make it 2-3!
  • 64' Jannes Wieckhoff is replacing Mimeirhel Benita for the Heracles Almelo side.
  • 69' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fabian de Keijzer suffering a number of foals already.
  • 73' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Mika Godts departs to be replaced by Christian Rasmussen.
  • 76' The Bosnia-Herzegovina Luka Kulenovic breaks the deadlock on 76 minutes. 3-3!
  • 81' Ivan Mesik is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Heracles Almelo so far.
  • 82' What a moment for Wout Weghorst! That strike on 82 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Heracles Almelo! Jizz Hornkamp comes on to replace Mario Engels.
  • 84' Controversy at the stadium! Brian De Keersmaecker argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 87' AFC Ajax ring the changes. Jorrel Hato has done his job and it is now time for Daniele Rugani to step up.
  • 88' Christian Rasmussen catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-4.

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Erwin van de Looi

AFC Ajax Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Francesco Farioli

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Davy Klaassen 4
Zakaria Labyad 3
Mario Engels 3
Steven Berghuis 3
Brian Brobbey 3
Sebastien Haller 2
Wout Weghorst 2
Luka Kulenovic 2

Head to Head

2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax 2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax 2023-08-12 AFC Ajax 4–1 Heracles Almelo 2022-02-06 AFC Ajax 3–0 Heracles Almelo 2021-10-30 Heracles Almelo 0–0 AFC Ajax

Heracles Almelo Form

2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax L 2024-10-06 Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 Heracles Almelo L 2024-09-27 Heracles Almelo 2–1 SC Heerenveen W 2024-09-21 NEC 1–2 Heracles Almelo W 2024-09-15 Heracles Almelo 0–0 Almere City FC D 2024-09-01 PEC Zwolle 3–0 Heracles Almelo L

AFC Ajax Form

2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax W 2024-10-06 AFC Ajax 3–1 FC Groningen W 2024-10-03 SK Slavia Praha 1–1 AFC Ajax D 2024-09-29 RKC Waalwijk 0–2 AFC Ajax W 2024-09-26 AFC Ajax 4–0 Beşiktaş JK W 2024-09-21 Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 AFC Ajax D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo29% Draw25% AFC Ajax46%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
54%
Draw or AFC Ajax
71%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo24% Draw42% AFC Ajax34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
7%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 20% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.