Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Heracles Almelo
3 – 4
Full Time
AFC Ajax
Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito 12,161 HT 45' · FT 45'
Luka Kulenovic 12' 1–0
1–1 25' Davy Klaassen
Mario Engels 28' 2–1
2–2 34' Bertrand Traore
2–3 63' Wout Weghorst
Luka Kulenovic 76' 3–3
3–4 82' Wout Weghorst pen
Brian De Keersmaecker 14' Y
Y 34' Jorrel Hato
Y 36' Brian Brobbey
Y 37' Jordan Henderson
Brian De Keersmaecker 84' YR
Y 88' Christian Rasmussen

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Edwin van de Graaf
  • Assistant 1 Kevin Bodde
  • Assistant 2 Michael Osseweijer

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 ADO Den Haag 0 0
2 AFC Ajax 0 0
3 AZ 0 0
4 FC Groningen 0 0
5 FC Twente '65 0 0
6 FC Utrecht 0 0
7 Feyenoord Rotterdam 0 0
8 Fortuna Sittard 0 0
9 Go Ahead Eagles 0 0
10 NEC 0 0
11 PEC Zwolle 0 0
12 PSV 0 0
13 SBV Excelsior 0 0
14 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 0 0
15 SC Heerenveen 0 0
16 Sparta Rotterdam 0 0
17 Telstar 1963 0 0
18 Willem II Tilburg 0 0

Head-to-Head

2
2
10
Heracles Almelo 14 games · Avg 3.3 goals AFC Ajax
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax 2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax 2023-08-12 AFC Ajax 4–1 Heracles Almelo 2022-02-06 AFC Ajax 3–0 Heracles Almelo 2021-10-30 Heracles Almelo 0–0 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

Heracles Almelo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct AFC Ajax H 3–4 L
06 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 1–4 L
27 Sep SC Heerenveen H 2–1 W
21 Sep NEC A 2–1 W
15 Sep Almere City FC H 0–0 D
01 Sep PEC Zwolle A 0–3 L
AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct Heracles Almelo A 4–3 W
06 Oct FC Groningen H 3–1 W
03 Oct SK Slavia Praha A 1–1 D
29 Sep RKC Waalwijk A 2–0 W
26 Sep Besiktas JK H 4–0 W
21 Sep Go Ahead Eagles A 1–1 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Heracles Almelo launch into their encounter with AFC Ajax.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ivan Mesik, as he is very good at scoring at Erve Asito with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 10' Heracles Almelo is showing some good football. However, Heracles Almelo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 12' Against the run of play, Luka Kulenovic has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 14' Controversy at the stadium! Brian De Keersmaecker argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 19' Heracles Almelo currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 24' Kian Fitz-Jim is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Heracles Almelo so far.
  • 25' GOAL! Davy Klaassen scores on 25.
  • 28' Against the run of play, Mario Engels has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 34' A stunning finish from Bertrand Traore — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 34' Jorrel Hato catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 34.
  • 36' Brian Brobbey picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 37' The referee has no hesitation. Jordan Henderson is booked for AFC Ajax — card on 37.
  • 42' Wout Weghorst, a Netherlands , has 40 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 47' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heracles Almelo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 52' Anton Gaaei needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 57' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 58' Kian Fitz-Jim gets the nod from AFC Ajax. He replaces Kenneth Taylor and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 63' Against the run of play, Wout Weghorst has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 64' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Mimeirhel Benita is withdrawn and Jannes Wieckhoff gets his opportunity.
  • 69' Heracles Almelo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 73' AFC Ajax make a change. Mika Godts trudges off to be replaced by Christian Rasmussen on 73 minutes.
  • 76' The deadlock is broken! Luka Kulenovic gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
  • 81' Daniel van Kaam has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 307 appearances.
  • 82' Brilliant from the ! Wout Weghorst makes it 3-4 with a superb finish on 82.
  • 83' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 83 minute. Mario Engels leaves to be changed by Jizz Hornkamp.
  • 84' Poor challenge from Brian De Keersmaecker. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Daniele Rugani. He replaces Jorrel Hato on 87 minute.
  • 88' It’s gonna be a card for Christian Rasmussen.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. AFC Ajax take all three points.

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Erwin van de Looi

AFC Ajax Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Francesco Farioli

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Davy Klaassen 4
Zakaria Labyad 3
Mario Engels 3
Steven Berghuis 3
Brian Brobbey 3
Sebastien Haller 2
Wout Weghorst 2
Luka Kulenovic 2

Head to Head

2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax 2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax 2023-08-12 AFC Ajax 4–1 Heracles Almelo 2022-02-06 AFC Ajax 3–0 Heracles Almelo 2021-10-30 Heracles Almelo 0–0 AFC Ajax

Heracles Almelo Form

2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax L 2024-10-06 Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 Heracles Almelo L 2024-09-27 Heracles Almelo 2–1 SC Heerenveen W 2024-09-21 NEC 1–2 Heracles Almelo W 2024-09-15 Heracles Almelo 0–0 Almere City FC D 2024-09-01 PEC Zwolle 3–0 Heracles Almelo L

AFC Ajax Form

2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax W 2024-10-06 AFC Ajax 3–1 FC Groningen W 2024-10-03 SK Slavia Praha 1–1 AFC Ajax D 2024-09-29 RKC Waalwijk 0–2 AFC Ajax W 2024-09-26 AFC Ajax 4–0 Besiktas JK W 2024-09-21 Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 AFC Ajax D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo29% Draw25% AFC Ajax46%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
54%
Draw or AFC Ajax
71%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo24% Draw42% AFC Ajax34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
7%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 20% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.