Saturday , 14 November 2026

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Heracles Almelo
3 – 4
Full Time
AFC Ajax
Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito 12,161 HT 45' · FT 45'
Luka Kulenovic 12' 1–0
1–1 25' Davy Klaassen
Mario Engels 28' 2–1
2–2 34' Bertrand Traore
2–3 63' Wout Weghorst
Luka Kulenovic 76' 3–3
3–4 82' Wout Weghorst pen
Brian De Keersmaecker 14' Y
Y 34' Jorrel Hato
Y 36' Brian Brobbey
Y 37' Jordan Henderson
Brian De Keersmaecker 84' YR
Y 88' Christian Rasmussen

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Edwin van de Graaf
  • Assistant 1 Kevin Bodde
  • Assistant 2 Michael Osseweijer

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 PSV 12 26
2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 12 25
3 AFC Ajax 12 25
4 FC Twente '65 12 24
5 AZ 12 23
6 SC Heerenveen 12 21
7 Fortuna Sittard 12 20
8 Go Ahead Eagles 12 17
9 FC Groningen 12 15
10 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 12 15
11 NEC 12 14
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12 12
13 PEC Zwolle 12 12
14 FC Utrecht 12 12
15 SBV Excelsior 12 11
16 Telstar 1963 12 10
17 ADO Den Haag 12 9
18 Willem II Tilburg 12 3

Head-to-Head

2
2
10
Heracles Almelo 14 games · Avg 3.3 goals AFC Ajax
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax 2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax 2023-08-12 AFC Ajax 4–1 Heracles Almelo 2022-02-06 AFC Ajax 3–0 Heracles Almelo 2021-10-30 Heracles Almelo 0–0 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

Heracles Almelo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct AFC Ajax H 3–4 L
06 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 1–4 L
27 Sep SC Heerenveen H 2–1 W
21 Sep NEC A 2–1 W
15 Sep Almere City FC H 0–0 D
01 Sep PEC Zwolle A 0–3 L
AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct Heracles Almelo A 4–3 W
06 Oct FC Groningen H 3–1 W
03 Oct SK Slavia Praha A 1–1 D
29 Sep RKC Waalwijk A 2–0 W
26 Sep Beşiktaş JK H 4–0 W
21 Sep Go Ahead Eagles A 1–1 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax
Toluwalas Arokodare 7 G 1 A
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax has kicked off!
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erwin van de Looi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 12' The Bosnia-Herzegovina Luka Kulenovic breaks the deadlock on 12 minutes. 1-0!
  • 14' A moment of madness from Brian De Keersmaecker on 14 minutes earns him a card. Heracles Almelo will be frustrated.
  • 19' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mimeirhel Benita suffering a number of foals already.
  • 24' It’s high time Francesco Farioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' Magnificent from Davy Klaassen! That is 69 goals in 425 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 28' GOAL! Mario Engels fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 33' AFC Ajax fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 34' What composure from Bertrand Traore! The Burkina Faso international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 34' That looks like a foul for a card for Jorrel Hato.
  • 36' AFC Ajax player sees a card in front of him.
  • 37' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jordan Henderson on 37 minutes.
  • 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Damon Mirani made 69 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 47' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 57' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 58' The whistle greets Kenneth Taylor as he departs to be replaced by Kian Fitz-Jim.
  • 63' GOAL! Wout Weghorst fires home to make it 2-3!
  • 64' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Mimeirhel Benita is replaced by Jannes Wieckhoff on 64 minute.
  • 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Josip Sutalo, as he is very good at scoring at Erve Asito with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 73' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Christian Rasmussen is hanging Mika Godts on the field on 73 minute.
  • 76' Luka Kulenovic doubles the advantage! 3-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 81' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 82' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Wout Weghorst makes it 3-4.
  • 83' A change in the Heracles Almelo ranks — Mario Engels exits the field as Jizz Hornkamp enters on 83.
  • 84' It’s gonna be a card for Brian De Keersmaecker.
  • 87' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Daniele Rugani comes on to replace Jorrel Hato.
  • 88' That looks like a foul for a card for Christian Rasmussen.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-4.

Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Erwin van de Looi

AFC Ajax Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Francesco Farioli

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Davy Klaassen 4
Zakaria Labyad 3
Mario Engels 3
Steven Berghuis 3
Brian Brobbey 3
Sebastien Haller 2
Wout Weghorst 2
Luka Kulenovic 2

Head to Head

2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax 2024-01-27 Heracles Almelo 2–4 AFC Ajax 2023-08-12 AFC Ajax 4–1 Heracles Almelo 2022-02-06 AFC Ajax 3–0 Heracles Almelo 2021-10-30 Heracles Almelo 0–0 AFC Ajax

Heracles Almelo Form

2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax L 2024-10-06 Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 Heracles Almelo L 2024-09-27 Heracles Almelo 2–1 SC Heerenveen W 2024-09-21 NEC 1–2 Heracles Almelo W 2024-09-15 Heracles Almelo 0–0 Almere City FC D 2024-09-01 PEC Zwolle 3–0 Heracles Almelo L

AFC Ajax Form

2024-10-20 Heracles Almelo 3–4 AFC Ajax W 2024-10-06 AFC Ajax 3–1 FC Groningen W 2024-10-03 SK Slavia Praha 1–1 AFC Ajax D 2024-09-29 RKC Waalwijk 0–2 AFC Ajax W 2024-09-26 AFC Ajax 4–0 Beşiktaş JK W 2024-09-21 Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 AFC Ajax D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo29% Draw25% AFC Ajax46%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
54%
Draw or AFC Ajax
71%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo24% Draw42% AFC Ajax34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
7%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 20% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.