Sunday , 16 August 2026

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 16 Feb 2025 · 15:45 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena 54,439 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mika Godts 17' 1–0
Brian Brobbey 42' 2–0
Oliver Edvardsen 56' 3–0
Davy Klaassen 66' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Nagtegaal
  • Assistant 1 Freek Vandeursen
  • Assistant 2 Franca Overtoom (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb Heracles Almelo H 4–0 W
13 Feb Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 2–0 W
09 Feb Fortuna Sittard A 2–0 W
02 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam H 2–1 W
30 Jan Galatasaray SK H 2–1 W
23 Jan FK Rigas Futbola Skola A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb AFC Ajax A 0–4 L
08 Feb Go Ahead Eagles H 4–2 W
31 Jan NAC Breda A 1–1 D
28 Jan FC Groningen H 1–1 D
24 Jan FC Utrecht H 1–1 D
19 Jan Almere City FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Johan Cruijff Arena that hosts another battle between AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. AFC Ajax must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 17' What a moment for Mika Godts! That strike on 17 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 27' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 32' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 37' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 42' GOAL! Brian Brobbey fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 47' The supporters are chanting for Oliver Edvardsen. He replaces Mika Godts on 47 minute.
  • 52' AFC Ajax are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Heracles Almelo's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 56' The deadlock is broken! Oliver Edvardsen gets on the scoresheet on 56 minutes.
  • 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erwin van de Looi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Thomas Bruns is replaced by Daniel van Kaam on 64 minute.
  • 66' What a strike from Davy Klaassen! The score is 4-0.
  • 68' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Kian Fitz-Jim departs to be replaced by Jorthy Mokio.
  • 73' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Ajax side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 74' Heracles Almelo make a change. Ivan Mesik trudges off to be replaced by Justin Hoogma on 74 minutes.
  • 77' AFC Ajax make a change. Brian Brobbey trudges off to be replaced by Rayane Bounida on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Daniel van Kaam is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AFC Ajax so far.
  • 83' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Steven Berghuis is replaced by Sean Steur.
  • 88' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 88.
  • AFC Ajax celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.22 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax65% Draw21% Heracles Almelo14%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
85%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
35%
AFC Ajax or Heracles Almelo
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax46% Draw40% Heracles Almelo14%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 19% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 22% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
38%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.