Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 16 Feb 2025 · 15:45 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena 54,439 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mika Godts 17' 1–0
Brian Brobbey 42' 2–0
Oliver Edvardsen 56' 3–0
Davy Klaassen 66' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Nagtegaal
  • Assistant 1 Freek Vandeursen
  • Assistant 2 Franca Overtoom (Netherlands)
3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb Heracles Almelo H 4–0 W
13 Feb Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 2–0 W
09 Feb Fortuna Sittard A 2–0 W
02 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam H 2–1 W
30 Jan Galatasaray SK H 2–1 W
23 Jan FK Rigas Futbola Skola A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb AFC Ajax A 0–4 L
08 Feb Go Ahead Eagles H 4–2 W
31 Jan NAC Breda A 1–1 D
28 Jan FC Groningen H 1–1 D
24 Jan FC Utrecht H 1–1 D
19 Jan Almere City FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Johan Cruijff Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Ajax in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Heracles Almelo's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 17' GOAL! Mika Godts scores on 17. Assisted by Steven Berghuis
  • 22' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 27' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 32' Brian Brobbey has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 42' What composure from Brian Brobbey! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 47' The crowd applauds Mika Godts as he leaves the pitch. Oliver Edvardsen steps in for AFC Ajax.
  • 52' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 56' A stunning finish from Oliver Edvardsen — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 61' The travelling Heracles Almelo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 64' Fresh legs for Heracles Almelo! Daniel van Kaam comes on to replace Thomas Bruns.
  • 66' Brilliant from the ! Davy Klaassen makes it 4-0 with a superb finish on 66.
  • 68' Jorthy Mokio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kian Fitz-Jim at the 68 minute mark.
  • 73' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 74' Another substitution for Heracles Almelo to replace Ivan Mesik by Justin Hoogma on 74 minute.
  • 77' The whistle greets Brian Brobbey as he departs to be replaced by Rayane Bounida.
  • 82' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 83' The whistle greets Steven Berghuis as he departs to be replaced by Sean Steur.
  • 88' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sean Steur suffering a number of foals already.
  • With this win, AFC Ajax is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.22 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax65% Draw21% Heracles Almelo14%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
85%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
35%
AFC Ajax or Heracles Almelo
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax46% Draw40% Heracles Almelo14%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 19% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 22% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.