Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 16 Feb 2025 · 15:45 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena 54,439 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mika Godts 17' 1–0
Brian Brobbey 42' 2–0
Oliver Edvardsen 56' 3–0
Davy Klaassen 66' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Nagtegaal
  • Assistant 1 Freek Vandeursen
  • Assistant 2 Franca Overtoom (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb Heracles Almelo H 4–0 W
13 Feb Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 2–0 W
09 Feb Fortuna Sittard A 2–0 W
02 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam H 2–1 W
30 Jan Galatasaray SK H 2–1 W
23 Jan FK Rigas Futbola Skola A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb AFC Ajax A 0–4 L
08 Feb Go Ahead Eagles H 4–2 W
31 Jan NAC Breda A 1–1 D
28 Jan FC Groningen H 1–1 D
24 Jan FC Utrecht H 1–1 D
19 Jan Almere City FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Johan Cruijff Arena. AFC Ajax are looking to make home advantage count against Heracles Almelo.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Remko Pasveer suffering a number of foals already.
  • 17' What a moment for Mika Godts! That strike on 17 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 22' Damon Mirani is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AFC Ajax so far.
  • 27' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 32' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 42' GOAL! Brian Brobbey scores on 42. Assisted by Bertrand Traore
  • 47' A tactical swap from AFC AjaxOliver Edvardsen on, Mika Godts off on 47 minutes.
  • 52' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 56' Against the run of play, Oliver Edvardsen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 61' Mats Rots, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Thomas Bruns as he leaves the pitch. Daniel van Kaam steps in for Heracles Almelo.
  • 66' Davy Klaassen is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 68' Jorthy Mokio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kian Fitz-Jim on 68 minute.
  • 73' AFC Ajax are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Heracles Almelo's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 74' Heracles Almelo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Justin Hoogma is hanging Ivan Mesik on the field on 74 minute.
  • 77' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Brian Brobbey departs to be replaced by Rayane Bounida.
  • 82' Over 82 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 83' Sean Steur is replacing Steven Berghuis for the AFC Ajax side.
  • 88' Heracles Almelo is showing some good football. However, Heracles Almelo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • The points are shared — AFC Ajax 4-0 Heracles Almelo. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.22 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax65% Draw21% Heracles Almelo14%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
85%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
35%
AFC Ajax or Heracles Almelo
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax46% Draw40% Heracles Almelo14%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 19% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 22% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
38%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.