AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
- Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marc Nagtegaal
- Assistant 1 Freek Vandeursen
- Assistant 2 Franca Overtoom (Netherlands)
3 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 7.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | Heracles Almelo | H | 4–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | A | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Feb | Fortuna Sittard | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jan | Galatasaray SK | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jan | FK Rigas Futbola Skola | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | AFC Ajax | A | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Feb | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 4–2 | W |
| 31 Jan | NAC Breda | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jan | FC Groningen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jan | FC Utrecht | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jan | Almere City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo get this one started.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 17' What a moment for Mika Godts! That strike on 17 puts his side firmly in control.
- 22' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 32' Fabian de Keijzer is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heracles Almelo tonight.
- 37' It looks surprising AFC Ajax does not make any changes. Dies Janse has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 42' Goal! Brian Brobbey scores his 63 goal in 492 matches.
- 47' A change in the AFC Ajax ranks — Mika Godts exits the field as Oliver Edvardsen enters on 47.
- 52' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mimeirhel Benita is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Ajax.
- 56' GOAL! Oliver Edvardsen scores on 56. Assisted by Jorrel Hato
- 61' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 64' The whistle greets Thomas Bruns as he departs to be replaced by Daniel van Kaam.
- 66' A goal from the Netherlands international Davy Klaassen! He fires home on 66 to make it 4-0!
- 68' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jorthy Mokio is hanging Kian Fitz-Jim on the field on 68 minute.
- 73' Heracles Almelo come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 74' Another substitution for Heracles Almelo to replace Ivan Mesik by Justin Hoogma on 74 minute.
- 77' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Rayane Bounida comes on to replace Brian Brobbey.
- 82' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 83' It is a substitution in AFC Ajax team. Steven Berghuis is replaced by Sean Steur on 83 minute.
- 88' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AFC Ajax to claim maximum points.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 22
-
23
Steven Berghuis ↓ Sean Steur 83'
- 20
- 37
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Rayane Bounida 77'
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↓ Jorthy Mokio 68'
- 4
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Oliver Edvardsen 47'
- 3
- 36
Bench
- 24
- 12
- 16
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 47'
- 2
-
29
Christian Rasmussen ↑ 68'
-
31
Jorthy Mokio ↑ 68'
- 59
- 45
- 42
-
64
Rayane Bounida ↑ 77'
-
63
Sean Steur ↑ 83'
Coach
Francesco Farioli
Heracles Almelo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Thomas Bruns ↓ Daniel van Kaam 64'
- 14
-
24
Ivan Mesik ↓ Justin Hoogma 74'
- 4
- 1
-
29
Suf Podgoreanu ↓ Bryan Limbombe 74'
- 3
- 32
- 39
- 23
- 19
Bench
-
26
Daniel van Kaam ↑ 64'
- 5
-
21
Justin Hoogma ↑ 74'
- 18
-
7
Bryan Limbombe ↑ 74'
-
2
Mimeirhel Benita ↑ 64'
- 16
- 35
- 20
- 22
- 36
Coach
Erwin van de Looi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Davy Klaassen | 4 |
| Brian Brobbey | 3 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 3 |
| Mario Engels | 3 |
| Steven Berghuis | 3 |
| Sebastien Haller | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Luka Kulenovic | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.22
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
85%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
35%
AFC Ajax or Heracles Almelo
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | Heracles Almelo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 19% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 22% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

