AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- AFC Ajax 7 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
- Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marc Nagtegaal
- Assistant 1 Freek Vandeursen
- Assistant 2 Franca Overtoom (Netherlands)
3 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 7.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | Heracles Almelo | H | 4–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | A | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Feb | Fortuna Sittard | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jan | Galatasaray SK | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jan | FK Rigas Futbola Skola | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | AFC Ajax | A | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Feb | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 4–2 | W |
| 31 Jan | NAC Breda | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jan | FC Groningen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jan | FC Utrecht | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jan | Almere City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Johan Cruijff Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 15' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Ajax in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Heracles Almelo's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 17' GOAL! Mika Godts scores on 17. Assisted by Steven Berghuis
- 22' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 27' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 32' Brian Brobbey has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
- 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 42' What composure from Brian Brobbey! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 47' The crowd applauds Mika Godts as he leaves the pitch. Oliver Edvardsen steps in for AFC Ajax.
- 52' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 56' A stunning finish from Oliver Edvardsen — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 61' The travelling Heracles Almelo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 64' Fresh legs for Heracles Almelo! Daniel van Kaam comes on to replace Thomas Bruns.
- 66' Brilliant from the ! Davy Klaassen makes it 4-0 with a superb finish on 66.
- 68' Jorthy Mokio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kian Fitz-Jim at the 68 minute mark.
- 73' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 74' Another substitution for Heracles Almelo to replace Ivan Mesik by Justin Hoogma on 74 minute.
- 77' The whistle greets Brian Brobbey as he departs to be replaced by Rayane Bounida.
- 82' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 83' The whistle greets Steven Berghuis as he departs to be replaced by Sean Steur.
- 88' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sean Steur suffering a number of foals already.
- With this win, AFC Ajax is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 22
-
23
Steven Berghuis ↓ Sean Steur 83'
- 20
- 37
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Rayane Bounida 77'
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↓ Jorthy Mokio 68'
- 4
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Oliver Edvardsen 47'
- 3
- 36
Bench
- 24
- 12
- 16
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 47'
- 2
-
29
Christian Rasmussen ↑ 68'
-
31
Jorthy Mokio ↑ 68'
- 59
- 45
- 42
-
64
Rayane Bounida ↑ 77'
-
63
Sean Steur ↑ 83'
Coach
Francesco Farioli
Heracles Almelo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Thomas Bruns ↓ Daniel van Kaam 64'
- 14
-
24
Ivan Mesik ↓ Justin Hoogma 74'
- 4
- 1
-
29
Suf Podgoreanu ↓ Bryan Limbombe 74'
- 3
- 32
- 39
- 23
- 19
Bench
-
26
Daniel van Kaam ↑ 64'
- 5
-
21
Justin Hoogma ↑ 74'
- 18
-
7
Bryan Limbombe ↑ 74'
-
2
Mimeirhel Benita ↑ 64'
- 16
- 35
- 20
- 22
- 36
Coach
Erwin van de Looi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Davy Klaassen | 4 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 3 |
| Mario Engels | 3 |
| Steven Berghuis | 3 |
| Brian Brobbey | 3 |
| Luka Kulenovic | 2 |
| Steven Bergwijn | 2 |
| Mika Godts | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.22
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
85%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
35%
AFC Ajax or Heracles Almelo
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | Heracles Almelo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 19% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 22% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

