AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- AFC Ajax 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marc Nagtegaal
- Assistant 1 Freek Vandeursen
- Assistant 2 Franca Overtoom (Netherlands)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO Den Haag | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AFC Ajax | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | AZ | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Groningen | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Twente '65 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Utrecht | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | NEC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | PSV | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SBV Excelsior | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Heerenveen | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Telstar 1963 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | Heracles Almelo | H | 4–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | A | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Feb | Fortuna Sittard | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jan | Galatasaray SK | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jan | FK Rigas Futbola Skola | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | AFC Ajax | A | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Feb | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 4–2 | W |
| 31 Jan | NAC Breda | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jan | FC Groningen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jan | FC Utrecht | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jan | Almere City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Johan Cruijff Arena. AFC Ajax are looking to make home advantage count against Heracles Almelo.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Remko Pasveer suffering a number of foals already.
- 17' What a moment for Mika Godts! That strike on 17 puts his side firmly in control.
- 22' Damon Mirani is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AFC Ajax so far.
- 27' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 32' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 42' GOAL! Brian Brobbey scores on 42. Assisted by Bertrand Traore
- 47' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Oliver Edvardsen on, Mika Godts off on 47 minutes.
- 52' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 56' Against the run of play, Oliver Edvardsen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 61' Mats Rots, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 64' The crowd applauds Thomas Bruns as he leaves the pitch. Daniel van Kaam steps in for Heracles Almelo.
- 66' Davy Klaassen is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 68' Jorthy Mokio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kian Fitz-Jim on 68 minute.
- 73' AFC Ajax are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Heracles Almelo's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 74' Heracles Almelo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Justin Hoogma is hanging Ivan Mesik on the field on 74 minute.
- 77' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Brian Brobbey departs to be replaced by Rayane Bounida.
- 82' Over 82 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 83' Sean Steur is replacing Steven Berghuis for the AFC Ajax side.
- 88' Heracles Almelo is showing some good football. However, Heracles Almelo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- The points are shared — AFC Ajax 4-0 Heracles Almelo. Honours even.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 22
-
23
Steven Berghuis ↓ Sean Steur 83'
- 20
- 37
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Rayane Bounida 77'
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↓ Jorthy Mokio 68'
- 4
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Oliver Edvardsen 47'
- 3
- 36
Bench
- 24
- 12
- 16
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 47'
- 2
-
29
Christian Rasmussen ↑ 68'
-
31
Jorthy Mokio ↑ 68'
- 59
- 45
- 42
-
64
Rayane Bounida ↑ 77'
-
63
Sean Steur ↑ 83'
Coach
Francesco Farioli
Heracles Almelo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Thomas Bruns ↓ Daniel van Kaam 64'
- 14
-
24
Ivan Mesik ↓ Justin Hoogma 74'
- 4
- 1
-
29
Suf Podgoreanu ↓ Bryan Limbombe 74'
- 3
- 32
- 39
- 23
- 19
Bench
-
26
Daniel van Kaam ↑ 64'
- 5
-
21
Justin Hoogma ↑ 74'
- 18
-
7
Bryan Limbombe ↑ 74'
-
2
Mimeirhel Benita ↑ 64'
- 16
- 35
- 20
- 22
- 36
Coach
Erwin van de Looi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Davy Klaassen | 4 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 3 |
| Mario Engels | 3 |
| Steven Berghuis | 3 |
| Brian Brobbey | 3 |
| Steven Bergwijn | 2 |
| Mika Godts | 2 |
| Quincy Promes | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.22
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
85%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
35%
AFC Ajax or Heracles Almelo
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | Heracles Almelo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 19% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 22% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

