Saturday , 14 November 2026

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 16 Feb 2025 · 15:45 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena 54,439 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mika Godts 17' 1–0
Brian Brobbey 42' 2–0
Oliver Edvardsen 56' 3–0
Davy Klaassen 66' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Nagtegaal
  • Assistant 1 Freek Vandeursen
  • Assistant 2 Franca Overtoom (Netherlands)
3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb Heracles Almelo H 4–0 W
13 Feb Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 2–0 W
09 Feb Fortuna Sittard A 2–0 W
02 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam H 2–1 W
30 Jan Galatasaray SK H 2–1 W
23 Jan FK Rigas Futbola Skola A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb AFC Ajax A 0–4 L
08 Feb Go Ahead Eagles H 4–2 W
31 Jan NAC Breda A 1–1 D
28 Jan FC Groningen H 1–1 D
24 Jan FC Utrecht H 1–1 D
19 Jan Almere City FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax
Toluwalas Arokodare 7 G 1 A
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo get this one started.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Ajax and Heracles Almelo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 17' What a moment for Mika Godts! That strike on 17 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 22' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 32' Fabian de Keijzer is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heracles Almelo tonight.
  • 37' It looks surprising AFC Ajax does not make any changes. Dies Janse has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 42' Goal! Brian Brobbey scores his 63 goal in 492 matches.
  • 47' A change in the AFC Ajax ranks — Mika Godts exits the field as Oliver Edvardsen enters on 47.
  • 52' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mimeirhel Benita is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Ajax.
  • 56' GOAL! Oliver Edvardsen scores on 56. Assisted by Jorrel Hato
  • 61' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 64' The whistle greets Thomas Bruns as he departs to be replaced by Daniel van Kaam.
  • 66' A goal from the Netherlands international Davy Klaassen! He fires home on 66 to make it 4-0!
  • 68' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jorthy Mokio is hanging Kian Fitz-Jim on the field on 68 minute.
  • 73' Heracles Almelo come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 74' Another substitution for Heracles Almelo to replace Ivan Mesik by Justin Hoogma on 74 minute.
  • 77' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Rayane Bounida comes on to replace Brian Brobbey.
  • 82' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 83' It is a substitution in AFC Ajax team. Steven Berghuis is replaced by Sean Steur on 83 minute.
  • 88' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AFC Ajax to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.22 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax65% Draw21% Heracles Almelo14%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
85%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
35%
AFC Ajax or Heracles Almelo
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax46% Draw40% Heracles Almelo14%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 19% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 22% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.