Thursday , 2 July 2026

AZ vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
4 0
Full Time
Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AZ vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Robin Hensgens

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Heracles Almelo H 4–0 W
07 Mar PSV A 1–2 L
01 Mar FC Utrecht A 0–2 L
22 Feb Sparta Rotterdam H 3–1 W
14 Feb SBV Excelsior A 2–1 W
08 Feb AFC Ajax H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar AZ A 0–4 L
06 Mar FC Utrecht H 0–0 D
28 Feb PSV H 1–3 L
22 Feb Go Ahead Eagles A 0–4 L
14 Feb NAC Breda H 0–1 L
07 Feb NEC A 1–4 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against AZ and Heracles Almelo has kicked off!
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AZ players.

Lineups

AZ Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.05 AZ xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: AZ to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AZ62% Draw22% Heracles Almelo16%
Actual: AZ win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

AZ or Draw
84%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
38%
AZ or Heracles Almelo
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AZ44% Draw42% Heracles Almelo14%
Actual: AZ win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
3 – 0
7%
0 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — AZ

Handicap AZ covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 19% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 23% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AZ keeps clean sheet
40%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.