AZ vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2025-26

4 – 0

Full Time

Heracles Almelo

Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AZ vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie .

AZ 2 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Robin Hensgens

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AZ	2	6
2	Fortuna Sittard	2	4
3	PSV	2	4
4	SBV Excelsior	2	3
5	Go Ahead Eagles	1	3
6	NEC	2	3
7	AFC Ajax	1	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	2	3
9	FC Groningen	1	3
10	Feyenoord Rotterdam	1	3
11	SC Heerenveen	1	3
12	Telstar 1963	2	3
13	FC Twente '65	1	0
14	ADO Den Haag	1	0
15	PEC Zwolle	1	0
16	FC Utrecht	2	0
17	Willem II Tilburg	2	0
18	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	2	0

Head-to-Head

AZ 13 games · Avg 3.2 goals Heracles Almelo

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-15 AZ 4–0 Heracles Almelo 2025-09-14 Heracles Almelo 1–2 AZ 2025-04-13 Heracles Almelo 1–0 AZ 2024-12-01 AZ 1–0 Heracles Almelo 2024-04-03 Heracles Almelo 5–0 AZ

Recent Form

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Heracles Almelo	H	4–0	W
07 Mar	PSV	A	1–2	L
01 Mar	FC Utrecht	A	0–2	L
22 Feb	Sparta Rotterdam	H	3–1	W
14 Feb	SBV Excelsior	A	2–1	W
08 Feb	AFC Ajax	H	1–1	D

Heracles Almelo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	AZ	A	0–4	L
06 Mar	FC Utrecht	H	0–0	D
28 Feb	PSV	H	1–3	L
22 Feb	Go Ahead Eagles	A	0–4	L
14 Feb	NAC Breda	H	0–1	L
07 Feb	NEC	A	1–4	L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

2/1

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AZ to score. At the same time, Heracles Almelo does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Another three points for AZ.

Lineups

AZ Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Myron Boadu	4
Jizz Hornkamp	3
Tijani Reijnders	3
Jesper Karlsson	2
Delano Burgzorg	2
Calvin Stengs	2
Vangelis Pavlidis	2
Teun Koopmeiners	2

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.05 AZ xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.93 Heracles Almelo xG

I would bet for: AZ to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

AZ62% Draw22% Heracles Almelo16%

Actual: AZ win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.98

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

AZ or Draw

84%

Draw or Heracles Almelo

38%

AZ or Heracles Almelo

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

AZ44% Draw42% Heracles Almelo14%

Actual: AZ win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

10.5%

1 – 1

10.5%

1 – 0

9.8%

2 – 1

9.6%

3 – 0

0 – 0

6.7%

3 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

4.4%

1 – 2

4.3%

0 – 1

4 – 0

Actual

4 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — AZ

Handicap	AZ covers	Push	Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	19%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	23%	38%
-0.5	62%	—	38%
+0.5	85%	—	15%
+1	85%	10%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

AZ keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.