Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park.
- Dundee FC 33 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Grant Irvine
- Assistant 1 Ross MacLeod
- Assistant 2 Sean Carr
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Kilmarnock FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Aberdeen FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Ross County FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | St. Mirren FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Aug | Hibernian FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Aug | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Dundee FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 28 Sep | Dundee United FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 14 Sep | St. Mirren FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Sep | Hibernian FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | St. Johnstone FC | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Dundee FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #11 |
| 33 | Points | 28 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 8 / 9 / 16 | W / D / L | 6 / 10 / 17 |
| 34 | Scored | 37 |
| 53 | Conceded | 65 |
| -19 | GD | -28 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 24% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
93%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Dundee FC are 9th (33 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Dundee FC to score. At the same time, Kilmarnock FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' Kilmarnock FC come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 24' GOAL! Ziyad Larkeche scores on 24. Assisted by Lyall Cameron
- 29' Billy Koumetio has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 30' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Mo Sylla.
- 35' Kilmarnock FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 38' Simon Murray catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
- 43' Mo Sylla was booked on 43.
- 46' Dundee FC ring the changes. Curtis Main has done his job and it is now time for Scott Fraser to step up.
- 51' Corrie Ndaba is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Dundee FC tonight.
- 56' Matty Kennedy has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 60' Lewis Mayo was booked on 60.
- 63' The Kilmarnock FC bench stirs into life. Liam Donnelly is withdrawn and Bruce Anderson gets his opportunity.
- 66' Time for substitution for Dundee FC. Simon Murray is replaced by Seb Palmer-Houlden.
- 67' Oluwaseun Adewumi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Scott Tiffoney at the 67 minute mark.
- 72' Marley Watkins has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 387 appearances.
- 76' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Jack Burroughs comes on to replace Lewis Mayo.
- 81' Oluwaseun Adewumi adds to his 0 season tally! Dundee FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 86' GOAL! Matty Kennedy scores on 86. Assisted by Rory McKenzie
- 87' Bobby Wales has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kyle Vassell on 87 minute.
- 88' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Bruce Anderson makes it 2-2.
- 89' The Dundee FC manager makes a substitution. Ethan Ingram departs to be replaced by Ryan Astley.
- Full Time. Kilmarnock FC beats Dundee FC
Lineups
Dundee FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 3
-
9
Curtis Main ↓ Scott Fraser 46'
- 15
- 7
- 10
- 20
- 1
-
2
Ethan Ingram ↓ Ryan Astley 89'
- 21
- 28
- 29
Bench
-
26
Scott Fraser ↑ 46'
- 31
- 19
- 8
-
4
Ryan Astley ↑ 89'
- 22
- 47
-
23
Seb Palmer-Houlden ↑ 66'
-
11
Oluwaseun Adewumi ↑ 67'
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 23
- 8
-
9
Kyle Vassell ↓ Bobby Wales 87'
-
22
Liam Donnelly ↓ Bruce Anderson 63'
- 20
- 3
-
5
Lewis Mayo ↓ Jack Burroughs 76'
- 6
- 11
-
12
David Watson ↓ Rory McKenzie 63'
- 10
Bench
-
14
Gary Mackay-Steven ↑ 76'
-
19
Bruce Anderson ↑ 63'
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 63'
- 15
-
2
Jack Burroughs ↑ 76'
- 1
- 18
-
24
Bobby Wales ↑ 87'
- 51
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Danny Armstrong | 3 |
| Lyall Cameron | 3 |
| Luke McCowan | 3 |
| Joe Hugill | 3 |
| Bruce Anderson | 2 |
| Matty Kennedy | 2 |
| Andrew Nelson | 2 |
| Robbie Deas | 2 |
Head to Head
Dundee FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.83
Dundee FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Dundee FC or Kilmarnock FC 74% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Dundee FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
61%
Dundee FC or Kilmarnock FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Dundee FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.9%
1 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
4.2%
Asian Handicap — Dundee FC
| Handicap | Dundee FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Dundee FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.