Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 14:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 6,257 HT 45' · FT 45'
3–3 21' Louis Moult
David Watson 47' 4–2
David Watson 58' 4–2
Marley Watkins 64' 4–2
4–2 79' Craig Sibbald
3–3 90+9' Ross Graham pen

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FCPremier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Napier
  • Assistant 1 Calum Spence
  • Assistant 2 David Dunne

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Dundee United FC H 3–3 D
14 Sep St. Mirren FC A 2–2 D
01 Sep Hibernian FC H 1–1 D
25 Aug Aberdeen FC A 0–2 L
11 Aug St. Johnstone FC H 0–3 L
04 Aug Celtic FC A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Kilmarnock FC A 3–3 D
15 Sep Rangers FC H 0–1 L
01 Sep Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–0 W
24 Aug St. Johnstone FC H 2–0 W
10 Aug Ross County FC A 1–1 D
04 Aug Dundee FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Dundee United FC
#11 Position #7
28 Points 40
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 9 / 13 / 11
37 Scored 45
65 Conceded 54
-28 GD -9
0.85 PPG 1.21
18% Win % 27%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Dundee United FC are 7th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Dundee United FC gets underway.
  • 5' Dundee United FC is showing some good football. However, Dundee United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' England international Sam Dalby has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' Dundee United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Stuart Findlay trudges off to be replaced by Robbie Deas on 20 minutes.
  • 21' Against the run of play, Louis Moult has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 26' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kilmarnock FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 36' A quiet spell here at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park. Kilmarnock FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 41' Kilmarnock FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' The whistle greets Jack Burroughs as he departs to be replaced by David Watson.
  • 47' David Watson doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 52' The travelling Dundee United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 57' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kilmarnock FC that had 260 games and scored 271 goals.
  • 58' David Watson doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 63' It’s high time Jim Goodwin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 64' Marley Watkins doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 69' Ross Docherty has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 69.
  • 74' The crowd applauds Ross Docherty as he leaves the pitch. Glenn Middleton steps in for Dundee United FC.
  • 75' Miller Thomson gets the nod from Dundee United FC. He replaces Declan Gallagher and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' A goal from the Scotland international Craig Sibbald! He fires home on 79 to make it 3-2!
  • 83' Dundee United FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 88' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Danny Armstrong. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' Dundee United FC ring the changes. Louis Moult has done his job and it is now time for Kai Fotheringham to step up.
  • It finishes all square. Kilmarnock FC and Dundee United FC share the spoils 3-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94 Dundee United FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC35% Draw25% Dundee United FC40%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Dundee United FC
65%
Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC25% Draw40% Dundee United FC35%
Actual: Dundee United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
5.4%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 0
4.3%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Dundee United FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 19% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 14% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
15%
Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.