Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Dundee United FC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Craig Napier
- Assistant 1 Calum Spence
- Assistant 2 David Dunne
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren FC | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen FC | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Motherwell FC | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Dundee United FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk FC | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Dundee United FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 14 Sep | St. Mirren FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Sep | Hibernian FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | St. Johnstone FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Aug | Celtic FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Kilmarnock FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 15 Sep | Rangers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Sep | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | St. Johnstone FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Ross County FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Aug | Dundee FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Dundee United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #9 |
| 5 | Points | 8 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 1 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 3 |
| 6 | Scored | 9 |
| 15 | Conceded | 11 |
| -9 | GD | -2 |
| 0.71 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 14% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Dundee United FC this season
Dundee United FC this season
Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Dundee United FC are 9th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Dundee United FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
| Greg Kiltie | 1 G |
| Joe Hugill | 1 G |
Dundee United FC
| Jesse Randall | 2 G | 2 A |
| Will Ferry | 1 G | 1 A |
| Lachlan Rose | 1 G | |
| Zac Sapsford | 1 G | |
| Emmanuel Agyei | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Kilmarnock FC welcome Dundee United FC for this crunch clash at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.
- 5' A quiet spell here at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park. Dundee United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Dundee United FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 20' Robbie Deas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Stuart Findlay on 20 minute.
- 21' Against the run of play, Louis Moult has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 26' Dundee United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Dundee United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 41' Dundee United FC have won 182 goals from 188 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 46' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! David Watson comes on to replace Jack Burroughs.
- 47' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. David Watson makes it 1-1.
- 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 57' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 58' What a moment for David Watson! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
- 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Dundee United FC that had 188 games and scored 182 goals.
- 64' Marley Watkins is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 69' Dundee United FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 74' Another change for Dundee United FC made on 74 minute. Ross Docherty leaves to be changed by Glenn Middleton.
- 75' Fresh legs for Dundee United FC! Miller Thomson comes on to replace Declan Gallagher.
- 79' Magnificent from Craig Sibbald! That is 8 goals in 251 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 83' It’s a booking for Dundee United FC player. Louis Moult gets a card.
- 88' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Derek McInnes will be considering his options from the bench.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Danny Armstrong is booked for Kilmarnock FC — card on 90.
- 90' Another change for Dundee United FC made on 90 minute. Louis Moult leaves to be changed by Kai Fotheringham.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Fraser Murray 90'
- 8
- 9
-
17
Stuart Findlay ↓ Robbie Deas 20'
-
2
Jack Burroughs ↓ David Watson 46'
- 1
- 3
- 31
- 5
- 11
- 10
Bench
- 19
- 7
- 22
-
15
Fraser Murray ↑ 90'
- 20
-
6
Robbie Deas ↑ 20'
- 24
-
12
David Watson ↑ 46'
- 51
Coach
Derek McInnes
Dundee United FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
-
9
Louis Moult ↓ Kai Fotheringham 90'
- 31
- 14
- 10
-
23
Ross Docherty ↓ Glenn Middleton 74'
- 6
- 11
- 19
- 17
- 16
Bench
- 25
-
15
Glenn Middleton ↑ 74'
- 20
-
18
Kai Fotheringham ↑ 90'
- 5
-
29
Miller Thomson ↑ 75'
- 12
- 4
- 70
Coach
Jim Goodwin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kyle Lafferty | 3 |
| Dylan Levitt | 3 |
| Marley Watkins | 2 |
| David Watson | 2 |
| Nicke Kabamba | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Kyle Vassell | 2 |
| Zechariah Medley | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Dundee United FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.44
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03
Dundee United FC xG
I would bet for:
Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC 75% + Over 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Dundee United FC
69%
Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Dundee United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.8%
2 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Dundee United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 20% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

