Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 14:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park 6,257 HT 45' · FT 45'
3–3 21' Louis Moult
David Watson 47' 4–2
David Watson 58' 4–2
Marley Watkins 64' 4–2
4–2 79' Craig Sibbald
3–3 90+9' Ross Graham pen

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Dundee United FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Napier
  • Assistant 1 Calum Spence
  • Assistant 2 David Dunne

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Dundee United FC H 3–3 D
14 Sep St. Mirren FC A 2–2 D
01 Sep Hibernian FC H 1–1 D
25 Aug Aberdeen FC A 0–2 L
11 Aug St. Johnstone FC H 0–3 L
04 Aug Celtic FC A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Kilmarnock FC A 3–3 D
15 Sep Rangers FC H 0–1 L
01 Sep Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–0 W
24 Aug St. Johnstone FC H 2–0 W
10 Aug Ross County FC A 1–1 D
04 Aug Dundee FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Dundee United FC
#12 Position #9
5 Points 8
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
6 Scored 9
15 Conceded 11
-9 GD -2
0.71 PPG 1.14
14% Win % 29%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
33% Clean Sheets
Dundee United FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Dundee United FC are 9th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Dundee United FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Dundee United FC
Jesse Randall 2 G 2 A
Will Ferry 1 G 1 A
Lachlan Rose 1 G
Zac Sapsford 1 G
Emmanuel Agyei 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Kilmarnock FC welcome Dundee United FC for this crunch clash at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park. Dundee United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Dundee United FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 20' Robbie Deas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Stuart Findlay on 20 minute.
  • 21' Against the run of play, Louis Moult has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 26' Dundee United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Dundee United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 41' Dundee United FC have won 182 goals from 188 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! David Watson comes on to replace Jack Burroughs.
  • 47' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. David Watson makes it 1-1.
  • 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 57' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 58' What a moment for David Watson! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Dundee United FC that had 188 games and scored 182 goals.
  • 64' Marley Watkins is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 69' Dundee United FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 74' Another change for Dundee United FC made on 74 minute. Ross Docherty leaves to be changed by Glenn Middleton.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Dundee United FC! Miller Thomson comes on to replace Declan Gallagher.
  • 79' Magnificent from Craig Sibbald! That is 8 goals in 251 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 83' It’s a booking for Dundee United FC player. Louis Moult gets a card.
  • 88' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Derek McInnes will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Danny Armstrong is booked for Kilmarnock FC — card on 90.
  • 90' Another change for Dundee United FC made on 90 minute. Louis Moult leaves to be changed by Kai Fotheringham.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.44 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03 Dundee United FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC 75% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC31% Draw25% Dundee United FC44%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Dundee United FC
69%
Kilmarnock FC or Dundee United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC22% Draw40% Dundee United FC38%
Actual: Dundee United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.8%
2 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Dundee United FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 14% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 20% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 15% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Dundee United FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.