Wednesday , 30 September 2026

St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 14:00 UTC The SMISA Stadium 6,957 HT 45' · FT 45'
Toyosi Olusanya 7' 1–0
1–1 11' Marley Watkins
Mark O'Hara pen 41' 2–1
2–2 71' Jonah Ayunga og

Overview

Match Preview

St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at The SMISA Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew McDermid (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 Dougie Potter
  • Assistant 2 Scott Anderson (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Kilmarnock FC H 2–2 D
31 Aug Dundee FC A 2–2 D
25 Aug Celtic FC H 0–3 L
11 Aug Aberdeen FC A 1–3 L
04 Aug Hibernian FC H 3–0 W
18 May Celtic FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep St. Mirren FC A 2–2 D
01 Sep Hibernian FC H 1–1 D
25 Aug Aberdeen FC A 0–2 L
11 Aug St. Johnstone FC H 0–3 L
04 Aug Celtic FC A 0–4 L
18 May Dundee FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

St. Mirren FC Kilmarnock FC
#5 Position #12
10 Points 5
7 Played 7
3 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 4
8 Scored 6
9 Conceded 15
-1 GD -9
1.43 PPG 0.71
43% Win % 14%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

St. Mirren FC are 5th (10 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G
Paul Nsio 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.92 St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
St. Mirren FC48% Draw26% Kilmarnock FC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

St. Mirren FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
52%
St. Mirren FC or Kilmarnock FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
St. Mirren FC38% Draw42% Kilmarnock FC20%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
5.8%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC

Handicap St. Mirren FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 21% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.