Thursday , 2 July 2026

St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 14:00 UTC The SMISA Stadium 6,957 HT 45' · FT 45'
Toyosi Olusanya 7' 1–0
1–1 11' Marley Watkins
Mark O'Hara pen 41' 2–1
2–2 71' Jonah Ayunga og

Overview

Match Preview

St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League at The SMISA Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew McDermid (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 Dougie Potter
  • Assistant 2 Scott Anderson (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Kilmarnock FC H 2–2 D
31 Aug Dundee FC A 2–2 D
25 Aug Celtic FC H 0–3 L
11 Aug Aberdeen FC A 1–3 L
04 Aug Hibernian FC H 3–0 W
18 May Celtic FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep St. Mirren FC A 2–2 D
01 Sep Hibernian FC H 1–1 D
25 Aug Aberdeen FC A 0–2 L
11 Aug St. Johnstone FC H 0–3 L
04 Aug Celtic FC A 0–4 L
18 May Dundee FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

St. Mirren FC Kilmarnock FC
#10 Position #11
30 Points 28
33 Played 33
7 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 6 / 10 / 17
27 Scored 37
48 Conceded 65
-21 GD -28
0.91 PPG 0.85
21% Win % 18%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! St. Mirren FC welcome Kilmarnock FC for this crunch clash at The SMISA Stadium.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Liam Polworth suffering a number of foals already.
  • 7' Against the run of play, Toyosi Olusanya has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 11' What composure from Marley Watkins! The Wales international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 16' It’s gonna be a card for Mikael Mandron.
  • 20' St. Mirren FC ring the changes. Mikael Mandron has done his job and it is now time for Jonah Ayunga to step up.
  • 21' Corrie Ndaba picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 26' Kilmarnock FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 31' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 36' Mark O'Hara needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 41' Mark O'Hara makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and St. Mirren FC are in front.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Joe Wright on 45 minutes earns him a card. Kilmarnock FC will be frustrated.
  • 46' The whistle greets Toyosi Olusanya as he departs to be replaced by James Scott.
  • 47' It’s a booking for St. Mirren FC player. Richard Taylor gets a card.
  • 52' St. Mirren FC currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 57' Over 57 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 58' St. Mirren FC make a change. Richard Taylor trudges off to be replaced by Elvis Bwomono on 58 minutes.
  • 63' Matty Kennedy, a Northern Ireland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 65' Poor challenge from Liam Polworth. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 70' St. Mirren FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 71' Jonah Ayunga is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 73' It is a substitution in St. Mirren FC team. Roland Idowu is replaced by Kevin van Veen on 73 minute.
  • 74' A tactical swap from St. Mirren FCDennis Adeniran on, Caolan Boyd Munce off on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 84' David Watson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 85' Fraser Murray is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matty Kennedy at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' Danny Armstrong picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.49 St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: St. Mirren FC or Kilmarnock FC 72% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
St. Mirren FC38% Draw28% Kilmarnock FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

St. Mirren FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
62%
St. Mirren FC or Kilmarnock FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
St. Mirren FC29% Draw45% Kilmarnock FC26%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC

Handicap St. Mirren FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.