St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at The SMISA Stadium.
- St. Mirren FC 33 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthew McDermid (Scotland)
- Assistant 1 Dougie Potter
- Assistant 2 Scott Anderson (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | Kilmarnock FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | Dundee FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Aug | Celtic FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Aug | Aberdeen FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Aug | Hibernian FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 May | Celtic FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | St. Mirren FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Sep | Hibernian FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | St. Johnstone FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Aug | Celtic FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 18 May | Dundee FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| St. Mirren FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #11 |
| 30 | Points | 28 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 7 / 9 / 17 | W / D / L | 6 / 10 / 17 |
| 27 | Scored | 37 |
| 48 | Conceded | 65 |
| -21 | GD | -28 |
| 0.91 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 21% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
39%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! St. Mirren FC welcome Kilmarnock FC for this crunch clash at The SMISA Stadium.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Liam Polworth suffering a number of foals already.
- 7' Against the run of play, Toyosi Olusanya has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 11' What composure from Marley Watkins! The Wales international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 16' It’s gonna be a card for Mikael Mandron.
- 20' St. Mirren FC ring the changes. Mikael Mandron has done his job and it is now time for Jonah Ayunga to step up.
- 21' Corrie Ndaba picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 26' Kilmarnock FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 31' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 36' Mark O'Hara needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
- 41' Mark O'Hara makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and St. Mirren FC are in front.
- 45' A moment of madness from Joe Wright on 45 minutes earns him a card. Kilmarnock FC will be frustrated.
- 46' The whistle greets Toyosi Olusanya as he departs to be replaced by James Scott.
- 47' It’s a booking for St. Mirren FC player. Richard Taylor gets a card.
- 52' St. Mirren FC currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 57' Over 57 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 58' St. Mirren FC make a change. Richard Taylor trudges off to be replaced by Elvis Bwomono on 58 minutes.
- 63' Matty Kennedy, a Northern Ireland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 65' Poor challenge from Liam Polworth. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 70' St. Mirren FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 71' Jonah Ayunga is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 73' It is a substitution in St. Mirren FC team. Roland Idowu is replaced by Kevin van Veen on 73 minute.
- 74' A tactical swap from St. Mirren FC — Dennis Adeniran on, Caolan Boyd Munce off on 74 minutes.
- 79' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 84' David Watson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 85' Fraser Murray is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matty Kennedy at the 85 minute mark.
- 90' Danny Armstrong picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
St. Mirren FC Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 1
- 6
-
9
Mikael Mandron ↓ Jonah Ayunga 20'
- 13
- 21
- 19
- 22
- 15
-
5
Richard Taylor ↓ Elvis Bwomono 58'
-
20
Toyosi Olusanya ↓ James Scott 46'
-
12
Roland Idowu ↓ Kevin van Veen 73'
Bench
-
42
Elvis Bwomono ↑ 58'
-
99
Kevin van Veen ↑ 73'
-
7
Jonah Ayunga ↑ 20'
- 3
-
14
James Scott ↑ 46'
- 27
-
23
Dennis Adeniran ↑ 74'
- 8
- 26
Coach
Steve Robinson
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 23
- 4
- 9
- 17
- 2
- 1
- 3
- 31
- 11
- 12
-
10
Matty Kennedy ↓ Fraser Murray 85'
Bench
- 14
- 19
- 7
-
15
Fraser Murray ↑ 85'
- 20
- 18
- 6
- 24
- 51
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kyle Vassell | 3 |
| Bruce Anderson | 3 |
| Marley Watkins | 3 |
| Greg Kiltie | 2 |
| Kyle Lafferty | 2 |
| Mark O'Hara | 2 |
| Christian Doidge | 2 |
| Findlay Curtis | 2 |
Head to Head
St. Mirren FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.49
St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
St. Mirren FC or Kilmarnock FC 72% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
St. Mirren FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
62%
St. Mirren FC or Kilmarnock FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: St. Mirren FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC
| Handicap | St. Mirren FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

