Hamburger SV vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hamburger SV vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.
- Hamburger SV 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Schroder
6 games this season
🟨 4.8/game
⚽ 9.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 0–4 | L |
| 04 Apr | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | 1. FC Köln | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Hamburger SV | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Apr | FC Augsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 0–5 | L |
| 14 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Hamburger SV | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #9 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 4 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 4 / 0 / 5 |
| 10 | Scored | 16 |
| 20 | Conceded | 17 |
| -10 | GD | -1 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 44% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
Hamburger SV this season
11%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
Hamburger SV are 11th (12 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Hamburger SV
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Hamburger SV
| Miro Muheim | 3 G | 1 A |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 G |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Adam Daghim | 2 G | 2 A |
| Bambase Conte | 2 G | 2 A |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tim Lemperle | 2 G | |
| Ozan Kabak | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim gets underway.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering TSG 1899 Hoffenheim that had 417 games and scored 549 goals.
- 8' Controversy at the stadium! Robin Hranac argues furiously but the card stands.
- 13' Vladimir Coufal, a Czech Republic , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 18' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 19' GOAL! Fisnik Asllani scores on 19. Assisted by Vladimir Coufal
- 24' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 29' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 32' That is a card for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Oliver Baumann will be fuming at that decision.
- 34' What composure from Robert Glatzel! The Germany international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 39' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. Hamburger SV must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 45' Tim Lemperle makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are in front.
- 46' Time for substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Robin Hranac is replaced by Bernardo.
- 49' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicolai Remberg.
- 54' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 59' It looks surprising Hamburger SV does not make any changes. Albian Hajdari has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 64' It is a substitution in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim team. Fisnik Asllani is replaced by Grischa Promel on 64 minute.
- 68' Grischa Promel catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 68.
- 71' Poor challenge from Wouter Burger. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 74' Giorgi Gocholeishvili has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bakery Jatta on 74 minute.
- 75' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alexander Prass is hanging Andrej Kramaric on the field on 75 minute.
- 80' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Grischa Promel suffering a number of foals already.
- 85' It is a substitution in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim team. Tim Lemperle is replaced by Max Moerstedt on 85 minute.
- 86' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Bazoumana Toure has done his job and it is now time for Cole Campbell to step up.
- 88' Albert Gronbaek Erlykke makes way for Rayan Philippe at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Hamburger SV.
- 90' Albert Sambi Lokonga is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Hamburger SV Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 25
- 1
-
9
Robert Glatzel ↓ Otto Stange 64'
- 24
- 11
- 20
- 23
-
17
Warmed Omari ↓ Damion Downs 88'
- 2
- 21
Bench
-
6
Albert Sambi Lokonga ↑ 75'
- 3
-
14
Rayan Philippe ↑ 88'
-
16
Giorgi Gocholeishvili ↑ 74'
- 12
- 8
-
19
Damion Downs ↑ 88'
-
49
Otto Stange ↑ 64'
- 43
Coach
Merlin Polzin
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 27
- 5
- 34
-
19
Tim Lemperle ↓ Max Moerstedt 85'
- 21
-
11
Fisnik Asllani ↓ Grischa Promel 64'
- 7
-
29
Bazoumana Toure ↓ Cole Campbell 86'
-
2
Robin Hranac ↓ Bernardo 46'
Bench
-
13
Bernardo ↑ 46'
- 9
- 25
-
6
Grischa Promel ↑ 64'
- 37
-
22
Alexander Prass ↑ 75'
- 10
-
33
Max Moerstedt ↑ 85'
-
20
Cole Campbell ↑ 86'
Coach
Christian Ilzer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Fisnik Asllani | 1 |
| Robert Glatzel | 1 |
| Bambase Conte | 1 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 1 |
| Miro Muheim | 1 |
| Terem Moffi | 1 |
| Tim Lemperle | 1 |
Head to Head
Hamburger SV Form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2026-04-25
Hamburger SV
1–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2026-04-18
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–1
Borussia Dortmund
W
2026-04-10
FC Augsburg
2–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2026-04-04
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2026-03-20
RB Leipzig
5–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2026-03-14
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
VfL Wolfsburg
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.42
Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.17
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Hamburger SV or Draw
50%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
74%
Hamburger SV or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
5.9%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
1 – 4
3.5%
1 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV
| Handicap | Hamburger SV covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 16% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.