Wednesday , 4 November 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln, Bundesliga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2026-27
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nicolas Capaldo 44' 1–0
Yussuf Poulsen 50' 2–0
2–1 90' Ragnar Ache

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln — Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Jonas Weickenmeier
4 games this season 🟨 5.5/game ⚽ 28.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep 1. FC Koln H 2–1 W
13 Sep RB Leipzig A 0–5 L
06 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–5 L
29 Aug Borussia Dortmund A 0–2 L
24 Aug SC Verl A 3–0 W
16 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Hamburger SV A 1–2 L
12 Sep SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D
04 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 1–4 L
29 Aug TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–2 W
24 Aug FC Würzburger Kickers A 2–1 W
16 May FC Bayern Munchen A 1–5 L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV 1. FC Koln
#15 Position #13
9 Points 9
8 Played 8
3 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 3
7 Scored 9
19 Conceded 12
-12 GD -3
1.13 PPG 1.13
38% Win % 25%

Key Stats

86% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
13% Clean Sheets
1. FC Koln this season

Hamburger SV are 15th (9 pts). 1. FC Koln are 13th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
–/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Koln
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Hamburger SV
Miro Muheim 2 G 1 A
Yussuf Poulsen 2 G
1. FC Koln
Thijs Dallinga 2 G
Said El Mala 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln get this one started.
  • 5' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Albert Gronbaek Erlykke has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 10.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Daniel Fernandes is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FC Köln tonight.
  • 25' 1. FC Köln are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Hamburger SV is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' Mikey Moore is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Hamburger SV so far.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. René Wagner will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 44' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nicolas Capaldo makes it 1-0.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Hamburger SV — Yussuf Poulsen on, Terem Moffi off on 46 minutes.
  • 49' GOAL! Yussuf Poulsen fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 50' Goal! Yussuf Poulsen scores his 72 goal in 522 matches.
  • 54' 1. FC Koln player sees a card in front of him.
  • 59' Hamburger SV seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 64' 1. FC Koln make a change. Gideon Mensah trudges off to be replaced by Borna Sosa on 64 minutes.
  • 67' The crowd applauds Albert Gronbaek Erlykke as he leaves the pitch. Patson Daka steps in for Hamburger SV.
  • 72' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Isak Johannesson.
  • 77' Louis Lemke gets the nod from Hamburger SV. He replaces David Wolfe and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' 1. FC Koln ring the changes. Tom Krauss has done his job and it is now time for Gian-Luca Waldschmidt to step up.
  • 84' The referee has no hesitation. Ellyes Skhiri is booked for 1. FC Koln — card on 84.
  • 89' It looks surprising 1. FC Köln does not make any changes. Jahmai Simpson-Pusey has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' The Hamburger SV bench stirs into life. Albert Sambi Lokonga is withdrawn and Martin Adeline gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Ragnar Ache does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FC Koln surge ahead!
  • It finishes all square. Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 1. FC Köln xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV or 1. FC Köln 75% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV38% Draw25% 1. FC Köln37%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
63%
Draw or 1. FC Köln
62%
Hamburger SV or 1. FC Köln
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV24% Draw44% 1. FC Köln32%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
3.6%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FC Köln covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
1. FC Köln keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.