Tuesday , 21 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC KölnBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
07 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
04 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
01 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–2 L
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Hamburger SV A 1–1 D
07 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
27 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–2 L
21 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–2 D
14 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
08 Feb RB Leipzig H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV 1. FC Köln
#13 Position #14
38 Points 32
34 Played 34
9 / 11 / 14 W / D / L 7 / 11 / 16
40 Scored 49
54 Conceded 63
-14 GD -14
1.12 PPG 0.94
26% Win % 21%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts). 1. FC Köln are 14th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Hamburger SV have kicked off against 1. FC Koln. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

1. FC Köln Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 1. FC Köln xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV or 1. FC Köln 73% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV44% Draw27% 1. FC Köln29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
71%
Draw or 1. FC Köln
56%
Hamburger SV or 1. FC Köln
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV30% Draw46% 1. FC Köln24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FC Köln covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
28%
1. FC Köln keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.