Saturday , 14 November 2026

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs AC Milan, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 29 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Maksimir 18,856 HT 45' · FT 45'
Martin Baturina 19' 1–0
1–1 53' Christian Pulisic
Marko Pjaca 60' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs AC Milan — Champions League at Maksimir.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
  • Assistant 2 Mehdi Rahmouni
18 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan AC Milan H 2–1 W
22 Jan Arsenal FC A 0–3 L
10 Dec Celtic FC H 0–0 D
27 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 0–3 L
05 Nov SK Slovan Bratislava A 4–1 W
23 Oct FC Red Bull Salzburg A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 1–2 L
26 Jan Parma Calcio 1913 H 3–2 W
22 Jan Girona FC H 1–0 W
18 Jan Juventus FC A 0–2 L
14 Jan Como 1907 A 2–1 W
11 Jan Cagliari Calcio H 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Maksimir that hosts another battle between GNK Dinamo Zagreb and AC Milan.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matteo Gabbia suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 19' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Martin Baturina makes it 1-0.
  • 24' The energy levels are beginning to show. Fabio Cannavaro might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 26' Christian Pulisic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 26.
  • 31' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yunus Musah on 31 minutes.
  • 34' Marko Pjaca has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 34.
  • 39' The referee has no hesitation. Yunus Musah is booked for AC Milan — card on 39.
  • 44' Rafael Leao, a Portugal , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 46' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Matteo Gabbia exits the field as Filippo Terracciano enters on 46.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 53' Goal! Christian Pulisic scores his 70 goal in 532 matches.
  • 58' GNK Dinamo Zagreb is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 60' What a strike from Marko Pjaca! The score is 2-1.
  • 65' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 65 minutes.
  • 70' The GNK Dinamo Zagreb manager makes a substitution. Marko Pjaca departs to be replaced by Stefan Ristovski.
  • 74' Juan Cordoba has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luka Stojkovic on 74 minute.
  • 79' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 82' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Noah Okafor on, Rafael Leao off on 82 minutes.
  • 87' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ivan Nevistic on 90 minutes.
  • 90' A change in the GNK Dinamo Zagreb ranks — Ronael Pierre-Gabriel exits the field as Leon Jakirovic enters on 90.
  • With this win, GNK Dinamo Zagreb is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 GNK Dinamo Zagreb xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: GNK Dinamo Zagreb or AC Milan 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
GNK Dinamo Zagreb37% Draw28% AC Milan35%
Actual: GNK Dinamo Zagreb win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

GNK Dinamo Zagreb or Draw
65%
Draw or AC Milan
63%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb or AC Milan
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
GNK Dinamo Zagreb24% Draw47% AC Milan29%
Actual: GNK Dinamo Zagreb win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Handicap GNK Dinamo Zagreb covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

GNK Dinamo Zagreb keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.