Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

Wed 14 Sep 2022 · 16:45 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb — Champions League at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez
  • Referee Diego Barbero
  • Referee Pol van Boekel
  • Referee Jesus Gil
  • Referee Angel Nevado
  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos

Head-to-Head

2
1
AC Milan 3 games · Avg 3.7 goals GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 3–1 W
10 Sep UC Sampdoria A 2–1 W
06 Sep FC Red Bull Salzburg A 1–1 D
03 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 3–2 W
30 Aug US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–0 D
27 Aug Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep AC Milan A 1–3 L
06 Sep Chelsea FC H 1–0 W
24 Aug FK Bodø/Glimt H 4–1 W
16 Aug FK Bodø/Glimt A 0–1 L
09 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 4–2 W
02 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: GNK Dinamo Zagreb gets underway.
  • 5' GNK Dinamo Zagreb have won 149 goals from 194 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and GNK Dinamo Zagreb are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and GNK Dinamo Zagreb are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and GNK Dinamo Zagreb are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Brahim Diaz made 449 appearances and scored 38 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' Brilliant from the ! Olivier Giroud makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 47' A stunning finish from Alexis Saelemaekers — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 51' Stefano Pioli catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 51.
  • 56' What a moment for Mislav Orsic! That strike on 56 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 61' Josip Drmic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Dario Spikic. He replaces Sadegh Moharrami on 63 minute.
  • 67' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Sandro Tonali is replaced by Tommaso Pobega on 67 minute.
  • 68' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Olivier Giroud departs to be replaced by Charles De Ketelaere.
  • 73' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 75' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Mislav Orsic.
  • 77' What a strike from Tommaso Pobega! The score is 3-1.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Junior Messias. He replaces Alexis Saelemaekers on 78 minute.
  • 83' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 84' Time for substitution for GNK Dinamo Zagreb. Bruno Petkovic is replaced by Martin Baturina.
  • 89' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Antonio Marin on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. GNK Dinamo Zagreb will be frustrated.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 GNK Dinamo Zagreb xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + AC Milan to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan58% Draw23% GNK Dinamo Zagreb19%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or GNK Dinamo Zagreb
42%
AC Milan or GNK Dinamo Zagreb
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan42% Draw42% GNK Dinamo Zagreb16%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.4%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push GNK Dinamo Zagreb covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 23% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
GNK Dinamo Zagreb keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.