Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

Wed 14 Sep 2022 · 16:45 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs GNK Dinamo ZagrebChampions League at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez
  • Referee Diego Barbero
  • Referee Pol van Boekel
  • Referee Jesus Gil
  • Referee Angel Nevado
  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos

Head-to-Head

2
1
AC Milan 3 games · Avg 3.7 goals GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 3–1 W
10 Sep UC Sampdoria A 2–1 W
06 Sep FC Red Bull Salzburg A 1–1 D
03 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 3–2 W
30 Aug US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–0 D
27 Aug Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep AC Milan A 1–3 L
06 Sep Chelsea FC H 1–0 W
24 Aug FK Bodo/Glimt H 4–1 W
16 Aug FK Bodo/Glimt A 0–1 L
09 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 4–2 W
02 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AC Milan and GNK Dinamo Zagreb get this one started.
  • 5' Italy international Sandro Tonali has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' Dominik Livakovic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Stefano Pioli might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 30' The travelling GNK Dinamo Zagreb supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 35' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined GNK Dinamo Zagreb backline.
  • 40' AC Milan are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against GNK Dinamo Zagreb's shape.
  • 45' A stunning finish from Olivier Giroud — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 47' What composure from Alexis Saelemaekers! The Belgium international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 51' Stefano Pioli has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 51.
  • 56' What a strike from Mislav Orsic! The score is 2-1.
  • 61' GNK Dinamo Zagreb come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 63' Fresh legs for GNK Dinamo Zagreb! Dario Spikic comes on to replace Sadegh Moharrami.
  • 67' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tommaso Pobega is hanging Sandro Tonali on the field on 67 minute.
  • 68' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Olivier Giroud departs to be replaced by Charles De Ketelaere.
  • 73' It’s high time Stefano Pioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 75' Poor challenge from Mislav Orsic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 77' The deadlock is broken! Tommaso Pobega gets on the scoresheet on 77 minutes.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Junior Messias. He replaces Alexis Saelemaekers on 78 minute.
  • 83' GNK Dinamo Zagreb is showing some good football. However, GNK Dinamo Zagreb are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 84' Bruno Petkovic makes way for Martin Baturina at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from GNK Dinamo Zagreb.
  • 89' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 90' Antonio Marin was booked on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for GNK Dinamo Zagreb.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 GNK Dinamo Zagreb xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + AC Milan to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan58% Draw23% GNK Dinamo Zagreb19%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or GNK Dinamo Zagreb
42%
AC Milan or GNK Dinamo Zagreb
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan42% Draw42% GNK Dinamo Zagreb16%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.4%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push GNK Dinamo Zagreb covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 23% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
36%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.