Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

Wed 14 Sep 2022 · 16:45 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs GNK Dinamo ZagrebChampions League at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez
  • Referee Diego Barbero
  • Referee Pol van Boekel
  • Referee Jesus Gil
  • Referee Angel Nevado
  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos

Head-to-Head

2
1
AC Milan 3 games · Avg 3.7 goals GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 3–1 W
10 Sep UC Sampdoria A 2–1 W
06 Sep FC Red Bull Salzburg A 1–1 D
03 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 3–2 W
30 Aug US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–0 D
27 Aug Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep AC Milan A 1–3 L
06 Sep Chelsea FC H 1–0 W
24 Aug FK Bodø/Glimt H 4–1 W
16 Aug FK Bodø/Glimt A 0–1 L
09 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad H 4–2 W
02 Aug PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AC Milan is hosting GNK Dinamo Zagreb for another epic battle.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' Martin Baturina needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 20' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' It’s high time Ante Cacic made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. GNK Dinamo Zagreb needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 45' Goal! Olivier Giroud scores his 97 goal in 409 matches.
  • 47' Goal! Alexis Saelemaekers scores his 24 goal in 390 matches.
  • 51' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 51.
  • 56' Goal! Mislav Orsic scores his 32 goal in 188 matches.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 63' Dario Spikic is replacing Sadegh Moharrami for the GNK Dinamo Zagreb side.
  • 67' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tommaso Pobega is hanging Sandro Tonali on the field on 67 minute.
  • 68' Charles De Ketelaere has so much to prove this time. He replaces Olivier Giroud on 68 minute.
  • 73' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 75' It’s a booking for GNK Dinamo Zagreb player. Mislav Orsic gets a Yellow card.
  • 77' GOAL! Tommaso Pobega scores on 77. Assisted by Theo Hernandez
  • 78' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Junior Messias is hanging Alexis Saelemaekers on the field on 78 minute.
  • 83' Supporters expect more eagerness from Stefan Ristovski, as he is very good at scoring at San Siro with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 84' The GNK Dinamo Zagreb manager makes a substitution. Bruno Petkovic departs to be replaced by Martin Baturina.
  • 89' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
  • 90' GNK Dinamo Zagreb receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • Full Time. AC Milan beats GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 GNK Dinamo Zagreb xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + AC Milan to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan58% Draw23% GNK Dinamo Zagreb19%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or GNK Dinamo Zagreb
42%
AC Milan or GNK Dinamo Zagreb
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan42% Draw42% GNK Dinamo Zagreb16%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.4%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push GNK Dinamo Zagreb covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 23% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
36%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.