AC Milan vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs GNK Dinamo Zagreb — Champions League at San Siro.
- AC Milan 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Juan Martinez
- Referee Diego Barbero
- Referee Pol van Boekel
- Referee Jesus Gil
- Referee Angel Nevado
- Referee Ricardo de Burgos
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Sep | UC Sampdoria | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Sep | FC Red Bull Salzburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Sep | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Aug | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | AC Milan | A | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Sep | Chelsea FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | FK Bodø/Glimt | H | 4–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | FK Bodø/Glimt | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Aug | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | H | 4–2 | W |
| 02 Aug | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against AC Milan and GNK Dinamo Zagreb has kicked off!
- 5' USA international Sergino Dest has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Stefano Pioli might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' GNK Dinamo Zagreb is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 40' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 45' What a strike from Olivier Giroud! The score is 1-0.
- 47' Goal! Alexis Saelemaekers scores his 25 goal in 398 matches.
- 51' Stefano Pioli was booked on 51.
- 56' The Croatia Mislav Orsic breaks the deadlock on 56 minutes. 2-1!
- 61' It looks surprising GNK Dinamo Zagreb does not make any changes. Dominik Livakovic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 63' The GNK Dinamo Zagreb manager makes a substitution. Sadegh Moharrami departs to be replaced by Dario Spikic.
- 67' Tommaso Pobega gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Sandro Tonali and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Olivier Giroud by Charles De Ketelaere on 68 minute.
- 73' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined GNK Dinamo Zagreb backline.
- 75' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Mislav Orsic.
- 77' Tommaso Pobega makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and AC Milan are in front.
- 78' Junior Messias gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Alexis Saelemaekers and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Martin Baturina. He replaces Bruno Petkovic on 84 minute.
- 89' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 90' The referee shows GNK Dinamo Zagreb player a Yellow card on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AC Milan to claim maximum points.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
10
Brahim Diaz ↓ Sergino Dest 78'
- 23
- 16
- 17
- 19
- 2
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Tommaso Pobega 67'
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Rade Krunic 78'
- 56
- 20
Bench
- 5
- 24
- 83
-
33
Rade Krunic ↑ 78'
-
21
Sergino Dest ↑ 78'
- 46
-
90
Charles De Ketelaere ↑ 68'
-
30
Junior Messias ↑ 78'
-
32
Tommaso Pobega ↑ 67'
- 96
Coach
Stefano Pioli
GNK Dinamo Zagreb Lineups
Starting XI
-
13
Stefan Ristovski ↓ Josip Drmic 78'
- 27
- 9
- 40
- 55
- 5
-
2
Sadegh Moharrami ↓ Dario Spikic 63'
-
99
Mislav Orsic ↓ Antonio Marin 84'
- 7
- 37
- 14
Bench
-
18
Josip Drmic ↑ 78'
- 11
- 28
- 1
-
20
Antonio Marin ↑ 84'
- 66
- 12
-
77
Dario Spikic ↑ 63'
- 6
- 3
-
10
Martin Baturina ↑ 84'
- 31
Coach
Ante Cacic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Matteo Gabbia | 2 |
| Mislav Orsic | 1 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 1 |
| Tommaso Pobega | 1 |
| Robert Ljubicic | 1 |
| Marko Pjaca | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
GNK Dinamo Zagreb Form
2022-09-14
AC Milan
3–1
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
L
2022-09-06
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
1–0
Chelsea FC
W
2022-08-24
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
4–1
FK Bodø/Glimt
W
2022-08-16
FK Bodø/Glimt
1–0
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
L
2022-08-09
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
4–2
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad
W
2022-08-02
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad
1–2
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
GNK Dinamo Zagreb xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 58% + AC Milan to win 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or GNK Dinamo Zagreb
42%
AC Milan or GNK Dinamo Zagreb
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.4%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | GNK Dinamo Zagreb covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 23% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
GNK Dinamo Zagreb keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.