Thursday , 2 July 2026

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs AC Milan, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

Tue 25 Oct 2022 · 19:00 UTC Stadion Maksimir HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs AC MilanChampions League at Stadion Maksimir.

Match Details

  • Referee Tomasz Kwiatkowski
  • Referee Bartosz Frankowski
  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
  • Referee Tomasz Listkiewicz
  • Referee Pawel Sokolnicki
  • Referee Tomasz Musial

Head-to-Head

1
2
GNK Dinamo Zagreb 3 games · Avg 3.7 goals AC Milan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct AC Milan H 0–4 L
11 Oct FC Red Bull Salzburg H 1–1 D
05 Oct FC Red Bull Salzburg A 0–1 L
14 Sep AC Milan A 1–3 L
06 Sep Chelsea FC H 1–0 W
24 Aug FK Bodø/Glimt H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 4–0 W
22 Oct AC Monza H 4–1 W
16 Oct Hellas Verona FC A 2–1 W
11 Oct Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
08 Oct Juventus FC H 2–0 W
05 Oct Chelsea FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: AC Milan gets underway.
  • 5' Portugal international Rafael Leao has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dino Peric suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ante Rebic, as he is very good at scoring at Stadion Maksimir with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mislav Orsic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at Stadion Maksimir. GNK Dinamo Zagreb seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' AC Milan have won 600 goals from 515 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 35' The 35-year-old Junior Messias has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 39' Goal! Matteo Gabbia scores his 8 goal in 515 matches.
  • 40' A stunning finish from Matteo Gabbia — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 43' The referee calls foul for Arijan Ademi. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 46' The referee calls foul for Charles De Ketelaere. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 49' GOAL! Rafael Leao scores on 49.
  • 50' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Rafael Leao makes it 0-4.
  • 52' The crowd applauds Charles De Ketelaere as he leaves the pitch. Rade Krunic steps in for AC Milan.
  • 57' Another substitution for GNK Dinamo Zagreb to replace Arijan Ademi by Martin Baturina on 57 minute.
  • 58' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Robert Ljubicic.
  • 58' The crowd applauds Bruno Petkovic as he leaves the pitch. Josip Drmic steps in for GNK Dinamo Zagreb.
  • 59' Olivier Giroud adds to his 0 season tally! AC Milan lead 0-5 — and this changes everything.
  • 64' It looks surprising GNK Dinamo Zagreb does not make any changes. Tommaso Pobega has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 69' GOAL! Robert Ljubicic scores on 69.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Rafael Leao as he leaves the pitch. Junior Messias steps in for AC Milan.
  • 71' Fode Ballo-Toure is replacing Theo Hernandez for the AC Milan side.
  • 75' Petar Bockaj is replacing Mislav Orsic for the GNK Dinamo Zagreb side.
  • 80' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 81' Divock Origi gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Olivier Giroud and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' GNK Dinamo Zagreb are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's shape.
  • The final score is 0-4.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 GNK Dinamo Zagreb xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 57% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
GNK Dinamo Zagreb23% Draw25% AC Milan52%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

GNK Dinamo Zagreb or Draw
49%
Draw or AC Milan
77%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb or AC Milan
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
GNK Dinamo Zagreb17% Draw43% AC Milan40%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
9%
0 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 3
6.1%
0 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
3.4%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Handicap GNK Dinamo Zagreb covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 22% 33%
+1.5 67% 33%
+2 67% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

GNK Dinamo Zagreb keeps clean sheet
16%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.