Wednesday , 30 September 2026

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs AC Milan, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

Tue 25 Oct 2022 · 19:00 UTC Stadion Maksimir HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs AC Milan — Champions League at Stadion Maksimir.

Match Details

  • Referee Tomasz Kwiatkowski
  • Referee Bartosz Frankowski
  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
  • Referee Tomasz Listkiewicz
  • Referee Pawel Sokolnicki
  • Referee Tomasz Musial

Head-to-Head

1
2
GNK Dinamo Zagreb 3 games · Avg 3.7 goals AC Milan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct AC Milan H 0–4 L
11 Oct FC Red Bull Salzburg H 1–1 D
05 Oct FC Red Bull Salzburg A 0–1 L
14 Sep AC Milan A 1–3 L
06 Sep Chelsea FC H 1–0 W
24 Aug FK Bodø/Glimt H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 4–0 W
22 Oct AC Monza H 4–1 W
16 Oct Hellas Verona FC A 2–1 W
11 Oct Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
08 Oct Juventus FC H 2–0 W
05 Oct Chelsea FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. AC Milan get us underway at Stadion Maksimir.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. GNK Dinamo Zagreb and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' The 27-year-old Robert Ljubicic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' Charles De Ketelaere has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 25' GNK Dinamo Zagreb are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's shape.
  • 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His GNK Dinamo Zagreb side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. GNK Dinamo Zagreb in their trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact .
  • 39' A stunning finish from Matteo Gabbia — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 40' GOAL! Matteo Gabbia fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 43' GNK Dinamo Zagreb receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 43.
  • 46' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Charles De Ketelaere on 46 minutes.
  • 49' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Rafael Leao makes it 0-3.
  • 50' The deadlock is broken! Rafael Leao gets on the scoresheet on 50 minutes.
  • 52' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Rade Krunic comes on to replace Charles De Ketelaere.
  • 57' The supporters are chanting for Martin Baturina. He replaces Arijan Ademi on 57 minute.
  • 58' GNK Dinamo Zagreb player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 58' Josip Drmic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bruno Petkovic at the 58 minute mark.
  • 59' Magnificent from Olivier Giroud! That is 98 goals in 411 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 64' GNK Dinamo Zagreb have won 146 goals from 191 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 69' Robert Ljubicic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 69 minutes.
  • 70' Rafael Leao makes way for Junior Messias at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 71' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Theo Hernandez exits the field as Fode Ballo-Toure enters on 71.
  • 75' Petar Bockaj gets the nod from GNK Dinamo Zagreb. He replaces Mislav Orsic and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 81' Divock Origi is replacing Olivier Giroud for the AC Milan side.
  • 86' It looks like no one’s ball. GNK Dinamo Zagreb is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • GNK Dinamo Zagreb will have plenty to reflect on. AC Milan were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 GNK Dinamo Zagreb xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 57% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
GNK Dinamo Zagreb23% Draw25% AC Milan52%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

GNK Dinamo Zagreb or Draw
49%
Draw or AC Milan
77%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb or AC Milan
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
GNK Dinamo Zagreb17% Draw43% AC Milan40%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
9%
0 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 3
6.1%
0 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
3.4%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Handicap GNK Dinamo Zagreb covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 22% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

GNK Dinamo Zagreb keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.