Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fortaleza EC vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 10 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 36' Rodrigo Sam
Y 39' Enio
Juan Lucero 42' Y
Tinga 46' Y
Calebe 90' Y
Y 90' Jean Carlos

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs EC JuventudeSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May EC Juventude H 5–0 W
03 May Sao Paulo FC A 0–0 D
26 Apr SC Recife A 0–0 D
20 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
17 Apr EC Vitoria A 1–2 L
13 Apr SC Internacional H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Fortaleza EC A 0–5 L
05 May CA Mineiro H 0–1 L
26 Apr SC Internacional A 1–3 L
20 Apr Mirassol FC H 2–2 D
17 Apr CR Flamengo A 0–6 L
12 Apr Ceará SC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Fortaleza EC vs EC Juventude — let the football do the talking.
  • 3' Magnificent from Juan Lucero! That is 37 goals in 147 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 8' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 13' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 18' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 23' Alan Ruschel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 28' Fortaleza EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 33' Ewerthon has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 240 appearances.
  • 36' Rodrigo Sam is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
  • 39' Enio has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
  • 42' A moment of madness from Juan Lucero on 42 minutes earns him a card. Fortaleza EC will be frustrated.
  • 46' That looks like a foul for a card for Tinga.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' Gilberto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luiz Mandaca at the 56 minute mark.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 63' Breno Lopes makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Fortaleza EC are in front.
  • 68' Brazil international Joao Ricardo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Enio as he leaves the pitch. Edson Pernambuco steps in for EC Juventude.
  • 72' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Marinho is replaced by Yago Pikachu on 72 minute.
  • 77' A change in the EC Juventude ranks — Ewerthon exits the field as Reginaldo enters on 77.
  • 79' Fortaleza EC make a change. Lucas Sasha trudges off to be replaced by Leandro Martinez on 79 minutes.
  • 82' Tomas Pochettino doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 85' Brilliant from the ! Juan Lucero makes it 4-0 with a superb finish on 85.
  • 88' A tactical swap from Fortaleza ECCalebe on, Tomas Pochettino off on 88 minutes.
  • 89' Magnificent from Calebe! That is 3 goals in 474 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 89' Daniel Giraldo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Calebe. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Fortaleza EC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.29 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC67% Draw20% EC Juventude13%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
87%
Draw or EC Juventude
33%
Fortaleza EC or EC Juventude
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC50% Draw39% EC Juventude11%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
9%
3 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
6.1%
4 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.2%
0 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 26% 74%
-2 26% 21% 53%
-1.5 47% 53%
-1 47% 23% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
46%
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.