Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fortaleza EC vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 16 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs CR Vasco da GamaSerie A at Castelao.

Match Details

  • Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio
15 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 10.3 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
05 Oct EC Juventude A 2–1 W
02 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 0–2 L
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
05 Oct EC Vitoria H 4–3 W
01 Oct SE Palmeiras A 0–3 L
27 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 2–0 W
24 Sep EC Bahia H 3–1 W
21 Sep CR Flamengo A 1–1 D

Key Stats

10% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/4
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 4 G 2 A
Thiago Mendes 3 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Castelao. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' CR Vasco da Gama seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lucas Sasha made 186 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fortaleza EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gaston Avila suffering a number of foals already.
  • 34' Gaston Avila is having his name booked by the referee on 34.
  • 39' CR Vasco da Gama fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' Hugo Moura was booked on 40.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Emanuel Britez on 45 minutes.
  • 46' Matheus Rossetto gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Rodrigo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 48' The referee has no hesitation. Benjamin Kuscevic is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 48.
  • 49' Rayan adds to his 0 season tally! CR Vasco da Gama lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 54' CR Vasco da Gama come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 60' Adam Bareiro has so much to prove this time. He replaces Juan Lucero on 60 minute.
  • 61' Nuno Moreira makes way for Matheus Franca at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from CR Vasco da Gama.
  • 66' CR Vasco da Gama is showing some good football. However, CR Vasco da Gama are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 70' Poor challenge from Adam Bareiro. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 71' Yeison Guzman makes way for Moises at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fortaleza EC.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Gaston Avila is replaced by Deyverson.
  • 77' A change in the CR Vasco da Gama ranks — Lucas Piton exits the field as Victor Luis enters on 77.
  • 78' Controversy at the stadium! Deyverson argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Tomas Pochettino is replaced by Yago Pikachu.
  • 82' David makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and CR Vasco da Gama are in front.
  • 87' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fortaleza EC and CR Vasco da Gama are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 88' Tucurui gets the nod from CR Vasco da Gama. He replaces Tche Tche and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Robert is booked for CR Vasco da Gama — card on 90.
  • The points are shared — Fortaleza EC 0-2 CR Vasco da Gama. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: CR Vasco da Gama or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC30% Draw30% CR Vasco da Gama40%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
61%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
70%
Fortaleza EC or CR Vasco da Gama
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC22% Draw51% CR Vasco da Gama27%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30%
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.