Sao Paulo FC vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2023

Sao Paulo FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Cruzeiro EC

Thu 2 Nov 2023 · 23:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 49' William

Y 56' Anderson

R 56' Anderson

Lucas Beraldo 72' Y

Y 74' Papagaio

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Morumbi.

Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Cruzeiro EC 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	23	48
2	CR Flamengo	21	42
3	CA Paranaense	23	41
4	Fluminense FC	23	38
5	EC Bahia	22	33
6	Cruzeiro EC	22	33
7	RB Bragantino	22	32
8	SC Corinthians Paulista	22	32
9	Coritiba FBC	23	31
10	Botafogo FR	21	30
11	CA Mineiro	21	29
12	Sao Paulo FC	22	27
13	EC Vitoria	22	26
14	Gremio FBPA	21	25
15	SC Internacional	22	23
16	Mirassol FC	21	23
17	Santos FC	21	22
18	CR Vasco da Gama	21	22
19	Clube do Remo	22	22
20	Chapecoense AF	21	10

Head-to-Head

Sao Paulo FC 13 games · Avg 1.9 goals Cruzeiro EC

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-02 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Cruzeiro EC 2023-06-25 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2019-10-17 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2019-06-02 Sao Paulo FC 1–1 Cruzeiro EC 2018-11-18 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Cruzeiro EC

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Nov	Cruzeiro EC	H	1–0	W
29 Oct	CA Paranaense	A	1–1	D
25 Oct	SE Palmeiras	A	0–5	L
21 Oct	Gremio FBPA	H	3–0	W
19 Oct	Goiás EC	A	0–2	L
07 Oct	CR Vasco da Gama	A	0–0	D

Cruzeiro EC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Nov	Sao Paulo FC	A	0–1	L
25 Oct	EC Bahia	H	3–0	W
22 Oct	CA Mineiro	A	1–0	W
19 Oct	CR Flamengo	H	0–2	L
15 Oct	Cuiaba EC	A	0–0	D
01 Oct	America FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC		Cruzeiro EC
#12	Position	#6
27	Points	33
22	Played	22
7 / 6 / 9	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 7
27	Scored	30
26	Conceded	31
+1	GD	-1
1.23	PPG	1.50
32%	Win %	41%

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

15% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season

Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 6th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC

0-15

3/–

16-30

3/3

31-45

3/2

46-60

–/8

61-75

3/2

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Cruzeiro EC

0-15

3/3

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/2

46-60

3/–

61-75

4/2

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC

Jonathan Calleri	7 G	1 A
Luciano	6 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G
Artur Guimaraes	3 G	1 A

Cruzeiro EC

Kaio Jorge	6 G
Christian	5 G	3 A
Matheus Pereira	5 G	2 A
Neizer Villarreal	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Sao Paulo FC host Cruzeiro EC — let the battle begin!
5' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Papagaio, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
15' Pablo Maia has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
20' Cruzeiro EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
25' Bruno Rodrigues needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
30' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
35' Cruzeiro EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
40' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Dorival Júnior will be considering his options from the bench.
49' William has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 49.
54' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
56' Controversy at the stadium! Anderson argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
57' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace James Rodriguez by Luciano on 57 minute.
62' Sao Paulo FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cruzeiro EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
71' Papagaio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Arthur Gomes at the 71 minute mark.
72' Lucas Beraldo is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
74' Cruzeiro EC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 74.
79' Cruzeiro EC ring the changes. Lucas Silva has done his job and it is now time for Wesley to step up.
81' Wellington Rato makes way for Juan Santos at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
84' A goal from the Brazil international Luciano! He fires home on 84 to make it 1-0!
88' The Cruzeiro EC bench stirs into life. Machado is withdrawn and Robert gets his opportunity.
90' The crowd applauds Alisson as he leaves the pitch. Diego Costa steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
With this win, Sao Paulo FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Dorival Júnior

Cruzeiro EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

–
Mateus Vital ↑ 79'
–
Papagaio ↑ 71'
–
Anderson
–
Paulo Vitor
–
Helibelton Palacios ↑ 79'
–
Wesley ↑ 79'
–
Lucas Oliveira
–
Fernando Henrique
43
Joao Marcelo
–
Ian Luccas
–
Joao Wellington
80
Robert ↑ 88'

Coach Ze Ricardo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ferreira	4
Jonathan Calleri	2
Diego Souza	2
Thiago Neves	2
William da Silva	1
Christian	1
Everton	1
Diego Souza	1

Head to Head

Sao Paulo FC Form

2023-11-02 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Cruzeiro EC W 2023-10-29 CA Paranaense 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA W 2023-10-19 Goiás EC 2–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2023-10-07 CR Vasco da Gama 0–0 Sao Paulo FC D

Cruzeiro EC Form

2023-11-02 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Cruzeiro EC L 2023-10-25 Cruzeiro EC 3–0 EC Bahia W 2023-10-22 CA Mineiro 0–1 Cruzeiro EC W 2023-10-19 Cruzeiro EC 0–2 CR Flamengo L 2023-10-15 Cuiaba EC 0–0 Cruzeiro EC D 2023-10-01 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 America FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.25 Sao Paulo FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.77 Cruzeiro EC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sao Paulo FC48% Draw30% Cruzeiro EC22%

Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes40% 0% No60%

Avg goals/match: 2.02

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	84%	16%
± 1.5	60%	40%
± 2.5	33%	67%
± 3.5	15%	85%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Cruzeiro EC

52%

Sao Paulo FC or Cruzeiro EC

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sao Paulo FC31% Draw54% Cruzeiro EC15%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

15.7%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13.7%

2 – 0

9.9%

0 – 1

8.9%

2 – 1

7.8%

1 – 2

4.8%

3 – 0

4.1%

0 – 2

3.7%

3 – 1

3.3%

2 – 2

3.1%

3 – 2

1.4%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap	Sao Paulo FC covers	Push	Cruzeiro EC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	14%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	25%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	15%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

47% ✗

Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.