Sao Paulo FC vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 28 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | CA Paranaense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–5 | L |
| 21 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | Cuiaba EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Oct | America FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #6 |
| 36 | Points | 45 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 10 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 13 / 6 / 9 |
| 32 | Scored | 42 |
| 30 | Conceded | 40 |
| +2 | GD | +2 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.61 |
| 37% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
Sao Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 6th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Cruzeiro EC
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 7 G | 1 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Morumbi!
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' Sao Paulo FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Cruzeiro EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' James Rodriguez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 12 cards already picked up this season.
- 30' Helibelton Palacios has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 88 appearances.
- 35' Cruzeiro EC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 40' David has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 25 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 45' Cruzeiro EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 49' A meaty challenge results in booking for William on 49.
- 54' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 56' Controversy at the stadium! Anderson argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 57' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. James Rodriguez is replaced by Luciano.
- 62' Cruzeiro EC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 67' Sao Paulo FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ferreira scoring 3 goals.
- 71' A tactical swap from Cruzeiro EC — Papagaio on, Arthur Gomes off on 71 minutes.
- 72' Poor challenge from Lucas Beraldo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 74' Cruzeiro EC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 74.
- 79' Cruzeiro EC make a change. Lucas Silva trudges off to be replaced by Wesley on 79 minutes.
- 81' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Wellington Rato is replaced by Juan Santos.
- 84' The Brazil Luciano breaks the deadlock on 84 minutes. 1-0!
- 88' Another change for Cruzeiro EC made on 88 minute. Machado leaves to be changed by Robert.
- 90' Diego Costa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alisson at the 90 minute mark.
- The points are shared — Sao Paulo FC 1-0 Cruzeiro EC. Honours even.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 25
- 5
- 38
- 13
- 19
- 11
- 27
- 29
- 35
- 23
Bench
- 10
- 93
- 28
- 21
- 3
- 6
- 15
- 4
- 20
- 49
- 45
- 31
Coach
Dorival Júnior
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Wesley 79'
- –
-
–
William ↓ Helibelton Palacios 79'
-
96
Matheus Pereira ↓ Mateus Vital 79'
- –
-
–
Arthur Gomes ↓ Papagaio 71'
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
Bench
-
–
Mateus Vital ↑ 79'
-
–
Papagaio ↑ 71'
- –
- –
-
–
Helibelton Palacios ↑ 79'
-
–
Wesley ↑ 79'
- –
- –
- 43
- –
- –
-
80
Robert ↑ 88'
Coach
Ze Ricardo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ferreira | 4 |
| Thiago Neves | 2 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Diego Souza | 1 |
| Kaio Jorge | 1 |
| Everton | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
53%
Sao Paulo FC or Cruzeiro EC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 24% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

