CA Paranaense vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 23 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | America FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | Coritiba FBC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | CA Paranaense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–5 | L |
| 21 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #12 |
| 41 | Points | 27 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 12 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 6 / 9 |
| 31 | Scored | 27 |
| 20 | Conceded | 26 |
| +11 | GD | +1 |
| 1.78 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 52% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
CA Paranaense are 3rd (41 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
1/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 14 G | 2 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Arena da Baixada. CA Paranaense are looking to make home advantage count against Sao Paulo FC.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 6' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Pablo Felipe makes it 1-0.
- 7' Pablo Felipe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 10' Goal! Pablo Maia scores his 5 goal in 373 matches.
- 15' Vitor Bueno has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 18' Pablo Maia catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 18.
- 23' CA Paranaense is showing some good football. However, CA Paranaense are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 24' That is a Yellow card for Sao Paulo FC. Erison will be fuming at that decision.
- 29' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Paranaense in their trying to find a way past Sao Paulo FC's compact .
- 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Paranaense that had 376 games and scored 375 goals.
- 39' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Paranaense and Sao Paulo FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 44' The 28-year-old Hugo Moura has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 49' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Tomas Cuello has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 54' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 55' The referee calls foul for Nathan. He receives a Yellow card.
- 57' A moment of madness from Hugo Moura on 57 minutes earns him a Yellow card. CA Paranaense will be frustrated.
- 58' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Alisson has done his job and it is now time for Michel Araujo to step up.
- 63' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 63 minutes.
- 68' CA Paranaense has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 69' The referee calls foul for Luciano. He receives a Yellow card.
- 74' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Luciano has done his job and it is now time for James Rodriguez to step up.
- 78' Romulo Cruz is replacing Bruno Zapelli for the CA Paranaense side.
- 83' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 85' Time for substitution for CA Paranaense. Hugo Moura is replaced by Luciano Arriagada.
- 89' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Rodrigo Nestor by Juan Santos on 89 minute.
- 90' Rafael Monteiro catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
- The points are shared — CA Paranaense 1-1 Sao Paulo FC. Honours even.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 44
- 92
- 28
-
17
Hugo Moura ↓ Luciano Arriagada 85'
- 26
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Romulo Cruz 78'
- 1
- 37
- 8
- 14
Bench
- 11
- 4
-
32
Luciano Arriagada ↑ 85'
- 19
- 21
- 21
-
35
Romulo Cruz ↑ 78'
- 24
- 42
- 87
- –
- –
Coach
Wesley Carvalho
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
25
Alisson ↓ Michel Araujo 58'
-
10
Luciano ↓ James Rodriguez 74'
- 28
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Juan Santos 89'
- 6
- 27
- 29
- 4
- 49
- 23
- 45
Bench
-
22
David ↑ 74'
- 93
- 38
-
19
James Rodriguez ↑ 74'
- 21
-
3
Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 89'
- 37
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 58'
- 35
- 20
- 34
-
31
Juan Santos ↑ 89'
Coach
Dorival Júnior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | 5 |
| Pablo Felipe | 4 |
| Luciano | 3 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Leozinho | 2 |
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Ferreira | 1 |
| Tche Tche | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.45
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
75%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
53%
CA Paranaense or Sao Paulo FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 23% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

