CA Paranaense vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | America FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | Grêmio FBPA | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | Coritiba FBC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | CA Paranaense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–5 | L |
| 21 Oct | Grêmio FBPA | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 30 | Points | 25 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 9 / 3 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 24 | Scored | 23 |
| 18 | Conceded | 20 |
| +6 | GD | +3 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 50% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
CA Paranaense are 4th (30 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 11 G | 1 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — CA Paranaense and Sao Paulo FC get this one started.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 6' Pablo Felipe does the damage! The net is bulging and CA Paranaense surge ahead!
- 7' GOAL! Pablo Felipe scores on 7. Assisted by Vitor Bueno
- 10' Pablo Maia adds to his 0 season tally! Sao Paulo FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 15' It’s high time Wesley Carvalho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 18' The referee has no hesitation. Pablo Maia is booked for Sao Paulo FC — Yellow card on 18.
- 23' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Paranaense and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 24' Erison picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 29' A quiet spell here at Arena da Baixada. CA Paranaense seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 34' Thiago Heleno, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 39' CA Paranaense are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's shape.
- 44' Nathan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 49' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 54' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 55' Sao Paulo FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 57' A moment of madness from Hugo Moura on 57 minutes earns him a Yellow card. CA Paranaense will be frustrated.
- 58' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Alisson has done his job and it is now time for Michel Araujo to step up.
- 63' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 68' CA Paranaense currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 69' Luciano catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 69.
- 74' James Rodriguez gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Luciano and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' Another change for CA Paranaense made on 78 minute. Bruno Zapelli leaves to be changed by Romulo Cruz.
- 83' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 83 minutes.
- 85' CA Paranaense ring the changes. Hugo Moura has done his job and it is now time for Luciano Arriagada to step up.
- 89' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Rodrigo Nestor has done his job and it is now time for Juan Santos to step up.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Rafael Monteiro.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 44
- 92
- 28
-
17
Hugo Moura ↓ Luciano Arriagada 85'
- 26
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Romulo Cruz 78'
- 1
- 37
- 8
- 14
Bench
- 11
- 4
-
32
Luciano Arriagada ↑ 85'
- 19
- 21
- 21
-
35
Romulo Cruz ↑ 78'
- 24
- 42
- 87
- –
- –
Coach
Wesley Carvalho
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
25
Alisson ↓ Michel Araujo 58'
-
10
Luciano ↓ James Rodriguez 74'
- 28
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Juan Santos 89'
- 6
- 27
- 29
- 4
- 49
- 23
- 45
Bench
-
22
David ↑ 74'
- 93
- 38
-
19
James Rodriguez ↑ 74'
- 21
-
3
Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 89'
- 37
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 58'
- 35
- 20
- 34
-
31
Juan Santos ↑ 89'
Coach
Dorival Júnior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | 5 |
| Pablo Felipe | 4 |
| Luciano | 3 |
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Luciano Neves | 1 |
| Vitor Bueno | 1 |
| Nene | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.38
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
73%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
56%
CA Paranaense or Sao Paulo FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.5%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 22% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

