CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at ARENA MRV.
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Oct | Coritiba FBC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | SC Internacional | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | Goiás EC | H | 5–3 | W |
| 22 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Oct | Botafogo FR | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | SC Internacional | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #4 |
| 40 | Points | 48 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 11 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 13 / 9 / 6 |
| 36 | Scored | 44 |
| 32 | Conceded | 36 |
| +4 | GD | +8 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 41% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to ARENA MRV that hosts another battle between CA Mineiro and Fluminense FC.
- 5' A quiet spell here at ARENA MRV. CA Mineiro seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 15' CA Mineiro is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' CA Mineiro are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' CA Mineiro are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
- 35' CA Mineiro have won 482 goals from 479 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 40' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Mineiro in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
- 45' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Mineiro is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 46' Lele is replacing Leonardo Fernandez for the Fluminense FC side.
- 49' Lele catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 49.
- 52' That is a Yellow card for CA Mineiro. Rubens will be fuming at that decision.
- 57' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 59' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jemerson on 59.
- 62' Paulinho doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 67' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Danielzinho on, David Braz off on 67 minutes.
- 72' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 75' The crowd applauds Lima as he leaves the pitch. Alexsander Gomes steps in for Fluminense FC.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Cristian Pavon. He replaces Rubens on 80 minute.
- 82' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Yony Gonzalez on, Guga off on 82 minutes.
- 83' Paulinho doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 88' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 88 minute. Paulinho leaves to be changed by Edenilson.
- 90' The CA Mineiro manager makes a substitution. Matias Zaracho departs to be replaced by Igor Gomes.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 34
- 5
- 10
- 13
- 28
- 26
-
15
Matias Zaracho ↓ Igor Gomes 90'
- 23
- 7
-
44
Rubens ↓ Cristian Pavon 80'
Bench
- 4
- 38
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 90'
- 16
- 20
- 25
-
9
Cristian Pavon ↑ 80'
-
8
Edenilson ↑ 88'
- 49
- 31
- 27
- 45
Coach
Luiz Felipe Scolari
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
44
David Braz ↓ Danielzinho 67'
- 1
- 40
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Jhon Arias 67'
-
23
Guga ↓ Yony Gonzalez 82'
- 4
-
19
Leonardo Fernandez ↓ Lele 46'
- 7
- 9
-
45
Lima ↓ Alexsander Gomes 75'
- 8
Bench
- 11
-
38
Yony Gonzalez ↑ 82'
- 22
-
20
Danielzinho ↑ 67'
-
21
Jhon Arias ↑ 67'
- 47
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↑ 75'
- 37
-
99
Lele ↑ 46'
- 32
- 13
- 46
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Kevin Serna | 3 |
| Samuel Xavier | 3 |
| German Cano | 3 |
| Jhon Arias | 3 |
| Eduardo Sasha | 2 |
| Eduardo Vargas | 2 |
| Roger Guedes | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
76%
Draw or Fluminense FC
50%
CA Mineiro or Fluminense FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 22% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

