CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at ARENA MRV.
- CA Mineiro 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Oct | Coritiba FBC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | SC Internacional | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | Goiás EC | H | 5–3 | W |
| 22 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Oct | Botafogo FR | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | SC Internacional | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #3 |
| 24 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 4 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 28 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| -1 | GD | +5 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CA Mineiro and Fluminense FC has kicked off!
- 5' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Diogo Barbosa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fluminense FC.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Mineiro and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 35' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 40' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Jemerson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 45' It’s high time Fernando Diniz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Leonardo Fernandez by Lele on 46 minute.
- 49' Lele has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 49.
- 52' The referee shows CA Mineiro player a Yellow card on 52.
- 57' CA Mineiro are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
- 59' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Jemerson.
- 62' The Brazil Paulinho breaks the deadlock on 62 minutes. 1-0!
- 67' The whistle greets David Braz as he departs to be replaced by Danielzinho.
- 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Alexsander Gomes. He replaces Lima on 75 minute.
- 80' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Rubens exits the field as Cristian Pavon enters on 80.
- 82' Yony Gonzalez gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Guga and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' A stunning finish from Paulinho — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 88' The supporters are chanting for Edenilson. He replaces Paulinho on 88 minute.
- 90' A tactical swap from CA Mineiro — Igor Gomes on, Matias Zaracho off on 90 minutes.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 34
- 5
- 10
- 13
- 28
- 26
-
15
Matias Zaracho ↓ Igor Gomes 90'
- 23
- 7
-
44
Rubens ↓ Cristian Pavon 80'
Bench
- 4
- 38
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 90'
- 16
- 20
- 25
-
9
Cristian Pavon ↑ 80'
-
8
Edenilson ↑ 88'
- 49
- 31
- 27
- 45
Coach
Luiz Felipe Scolari
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
44
David Braz ↓ Danielzinho 67'
- 1
- 40
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Jhon Arias 67'
-
23
Guga ↓ Yony Gonzalez 82'
- 4
-
19
Leonardo Fernandez ↓ Lele 46'
- 7
- 9
-
45
Lima ↓ Alexsander Gomes 75'
- 8
Bench
- 11
-
38
Yony Gonzalez ↑ 82'
- 22
-
20
Danielzinho ↑ 67'
-
21
Jhon Arias ↑ 67'
- 47
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↑ 75'
- 37
-
99
Lele ↑ 46'
- 32
- 13
- 46
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Samuel Xavier | 3 |
| German Cano | 3 |
| Jhon Arias | 3 |
| Kevin Serna | 3 |
| Roger Guedes | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Eduardo Sasha | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
74%
Draw or Fluminense FC
52%
CA Mineiro or Fluminense FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 21% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

