Saturday , 14 November 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
Fortaleza EC
1 – 0
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sun 7 Jul 2024 · 19:00 UTC Castelao 34,831 HT 45' · FT 45'
Juan Lucero 56' 1–0
Tomas Pochettino 71' Y
Y 73' Elias Kaua

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 34 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 São Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 34 40
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

4
3
7
Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 2.1 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC 2023-09-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-04-29 Fortaleza EC 4–2 Fluminense FC 2022-09-10 Fluminense FC 2–1 Fortaleza EC 2022-05-22 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
03 Jul CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
30 Jun EC Juventude H 2–1 W
27 Jun SE Palmeiras H 3–0 W
23 Jun CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
19 Jun Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jul Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
04 Jul SC Internacional H 1–1 D
30 Jun Gremio FBPA A 0–1 L
27 Jun EC Vitoria H 0–1 L
23 Jun CR Flamengo H 0–1 L
20 Jun Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 6 A
Jefferson Savarino 7 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 6 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 6 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Castelao!
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fortaleza EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matheus Rossetto suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lucas Sasha made 186 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fortaleza EC and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fortaleza EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 40' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' Keno is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fluminense FC tonight.
  • 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' A stunning finish from Juan Lucero — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 61' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 64' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. John Kennedy departs to be replaced by Elias Kaua.
  • 65' Guga makes way for Esquerdinha at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • 70' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Felipe on, Martinelli off on 70 minutes.
  • 71' Tomas Pochettino was booked on 71.
  • 73' The referee has no hesitation. Elias Kaua is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 73.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Breno Lopes as he leaves the pitch. Marinho steps in for Fortaleza EC.
  • 78' A change in the Fluminense FC ranks — Ganso exits the field as Renato Augusto enters on 78.
  • 79' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Matheus Rossetto by Pedro Augusto on 79 minute.
  • 80' Juan Lucero makes way for Renato Kayzer at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fortaleza EC.
  • 85' Yago Pikachu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 36 Yellow cards this season.
  • 90' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Lucas Sasha by Kauan on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Fortaleza EC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Fluminense FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
German Cano 5
Moises Vieira 3
Robson 2
Juan Lucero 2
Titi 2
Thiago Galhardo 2
Wellington Silva 1
Jose Welison 1

Head to Head

2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC 2023-09-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-04-29 Fortaleza EC 4–2 Fluminense FC 2022-09-10 Fluminense FC 2–1 Fortaleza EC 2022-05-22 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Fluminense FC

Fortaleza EC Form

2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC W 2024-07-03 CR Vasco da Gama 2–0 Fortaleza EC L 2024-06-30 Fortaleza EC 2–1 EC Juventude W 2024-06-27 Fortaleza EC 3–0 SE Palmeiras W 2024-06-23 CA Mineiro 1–1 Fortaleza EC D 2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Gremio FBPA W

Fluminense FC Form

2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC L 2024-07-04 Fluminense FC 1–1 SC Internacional D 2024-06-30 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Fluminense FC L 2024-06-27 Fluminense FC 0–1 EC Vitoria L 2024-06-23 Fluminense FC 0–1 CR Flamengo L 2024-06-20 Cruzeiro EC 2–0 Fluminense FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC52% Draw28% Fluminense FC20%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
80%
Draw or Fluminense FC
48%
Fortaleza EC or Fluminense FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC32% Draw52% Fluminense FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 25% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.