Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 7 Jul 2024 · 19:00 UTC Castelao 34,831 HT 45' · FT 45'
Juan Lucero 56' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
03 Jul CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
30 Jun EC Juventude H 2–1 W
27 Jun SE Palmeiras H 3–0 W
23 Jun CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
19 Jun Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jul Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
04 Jul SC Internacional H 1–1 D
30 Jun Gremio FBPA A 0–1 L
27 Jun EC Vitoria H 0–1 L
23 Jun CR Flamengo H 0–1 L
20 Jun Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Castelao as Fortaleza EC face off against Fluminense FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Fluminense FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Fluminense FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Fortaleza EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
  • 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fortaleza EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' Brazil international Felipe has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yago Pikachu, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 6 goals in the last 5 games.
  • 55' Keno is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fortaleza EC so far.
  • 56' Fortaleza EC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Juan Lucero on 56.
  • 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
  • 64' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Elias Kaua is hanging John Kennedy on the field on 64 minute.
  • 65' Esquerdinha has so much to prove this time. He replaces Guga on 65 minute.
  • 70' Felipe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Martinelli on 70 minute.
  • 71' The referee calls foul for Tomas Pochettino. He receives a card.
  • 73' Controversy at the stadium! Elias Kaua argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 73' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Breno Lopes is replaced by Marinho.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Renato Augusto. He replaces Ganso on 78 minute.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Matheus Rossetto as he leaves the pitch. Pedro Augusto steps in for Fortaleza EC.
  • 80' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Juan Lucero is withdrawn and Renato Kayzer gets his opportunity.
  • 85' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 90' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Lucas Sasha by Kauan on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. Fortaleza EC beats Fluminense FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC52% Draw28% Fluminense FC20%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
80%
Draw or Fluminense FC
48%
Fortaleza EC or Fluminense FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC32% Draw52% Fluminense FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 25% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.