Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
Fortaleza EC
1 – 0
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sun 7 Jul 2024 · 19:00 UTC Castelao 34,831 HT 45' · FT 45'
Juan Lucero 56' 1–0
Tomas Pochettino 71' Y
Y 73' Elias Kaua

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

4
3
7
Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 2.1 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC 2023-09-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-04-29 Fortaleza EC 4–2 Fluminense FC 2022-09-10 Fluminense FC 2–1 Fortaleza EC 2022-05-22 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
03 Jul CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
30 Jun EC Juventude H 2–1 W
27 Jun SE Palmeiras H 3–0 W
23 Jun CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
19 Jun Grêmio FBPA H 1–0 W
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jul Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
04 Jul SC Internacional H 1–1 D
30 Jun Grêmio FBPA A 0–1 L
27 Jun EC Vitoria H 0–1 L
23 Jun CR Flamengo H 0–1 L
20 Jun Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Fortaleza EC to score. At the same time, Fluminense FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fortaleza EC and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fortaleza EC and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alexsander Gomes, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' Fortaleza EC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 25' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 35' Fluminense FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 45' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 55' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fortaleza EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' Juan Lucero is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 61' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 64' Elias Kaua gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces John Kennedy and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 65' Guga makes way for Esquerdinha at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • 70' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Martinelli has done his job and it is now time for Felipe to step up.
  • 71' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 71.
  • 73' A moment of madness from Elias Kaua on 73 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
  • 73' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Breno Lopes has done his job and it is now time for Marinho to step up.
  • 78' Renato Augusto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ganso at the 78 minute mark.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Matheus Rossetto is replaced by Pedro Augusto.
  • 80' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Juan Lucero departs to be replaced by Renato Kayzer.
  • 85' It is a cagey affair so far. Fortaleza EC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 90' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Lucas Sasha exits the field as Kauan enters on 90.
  • Another three points for Fortaleza EC.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Fluminense FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
German Cano 5
Moises Vieira 3
Robson 2
Juan Lucero 2
Titi 2
Thiago Galhardo 2
Matheus Ferraz 1
Alan 1

Head to Head

2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC 2023-09-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-04-29 Fortaleza EC 4–2 Fluminense FC 2022-09-10 Fluminense FC 2–1 Fortaleza EC 2022-05-22 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Fluminense FC

Fortaleza EC Form

2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC W 2024-07-03 CR Vasco da Gama 2–0 Fortaleza EC L 2024-06-30 Fortaleza EC 2–1 EC Juventude W 2024-06-27 Fortaleza EC 3–0 SE Palmeiras W 2024-06-23 CA Mineiro 1–1 Fortaleza EC D 2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA W

Fluminense FC Form

2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC L 2024-07-04 Fluminense FC 1–1 SC Internacional D 2024-06-30 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 Fluminense FC L 2024-06-27 Fluminense FC 0–1 EC Vitoria L 2024-06-23 Fluminense FC 0–1 CR Flamengo L 2024-06-20 Cruzeiro EC 2–0 Fluminense FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC52% Draw28% Fluminense FC20%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
80%
Draw or Fluminense FC
48%
Fortaleza EC or Fluminense FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC32% Draw52% Fluminense FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 25% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.