Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
Fortaleza EC
1 – 0
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sun 7 Jul 2024 · 19:00 UTC Castelao 34,831 HT 45' · FT 45'
Juan Lucero 56' 1–0
Tomas Pochettino 71' Y
Y 73' Elias Kaua

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 22 33
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 21 10

Head-to-Head

4
3
7
Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 2.1 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC 2023-09-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-04-29 Fortaleza EC 4–2 Fluminense FC 2022-09-10 Fluminense FC 2–1 Fortaleza EC 2022-05-22 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
03 Jul CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
30 Jun EC Juventude H 2–1 W
27 Jun SE Palmeiras H 3–0 W
23 Jun CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
19 Jun Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jul Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
04 Jul SC Internacional H 1–1 D
30 Jun Gremio FBPA A 0–1 L
27 Jun EC Vitoria H 0–1 L
23 Jun CR Flamengo H 0–1 L
20 Jun Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Fortaleza EC welcome Fluminense FC for this crunch clash at Castelao.
  • 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' Fortaleza EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yago Pikachu suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 40' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Alexsander Gomes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 55' Colombia international Jan Lucumi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 56' Fortaleza EC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Juan Lucero on 56.
  • 61' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 64' Elias Kaua is ready to make an impact after coming on for John Kennedy at the 64 minute mark.
  • 65' Esquerdinha gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Guga and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Martinelli by Felipe on 70 minute.
  • 71' Tomas Pochettino picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 73' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
  • 73' Marinho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Breno Lopes at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' Renato Augusto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ganso on 78 minute.
  • 79' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Matheus Rossetto departs to be replaced by Pedro Augusto.
  • 80' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Renato Kayzer comes on to replace Juan Lucero.
  • 85' A quiet spell here at Castelao. Fluminense FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 90' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kauan is hanging Lucas Sasha on the field on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Fluminense FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
German Cano 5
Moises Vieira 3
Robson 2
Juan Lucero 2
Titi 2
Thiago Galhardo 2
John Kennedy 1
Matheus Ferraz 1

Head to Head

2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC 2023-09-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-04-29 Fortaleza EC 4–2 Fluminense FC 2022-09-10 Fluminense FC 2–1 Fortaleza EC 2022-05-22 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Fluminense FC

Fortaleza EC Form

2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC W 2024-07-03 CR Vasco da Gama 2–0 Fortaleza EC L 2024-06-30 Fortaleza EC 2–1 EC Juventude W 2024-06-27 Fortaleza EC 3–0 SE Palmeiras W 2024-06-23 CA Mineiro 1–1 Fortaleza EC D 2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Gremio FBPA W

Fluminense FC Form

2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC L 2024-07-04 Fluminense FC 1–1 SC Internacional D 2024-06-30 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Fluminense FC L 2024-06-27 Fluminense FC 0–1 EC Vitoria L 2024-06-23 Fluminense FC 0–1 CR Flamengo L 2024-06-20 Cruzeiro EC 2–0 Fluminense FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC52% Draw28% Fluminense FC20%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
80%
Draw or Fluminense FC
48%
Fortaleza EC or Fluminense FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC32% Draw52% Fluminense FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 25% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.