Monday , 26 October 2026

Fenerbahçe SK vs AEK Larnaka, Europe 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2022-23
Thu 6 Oct 2022 · 19:00 UTC Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 9' Oier
Y 12' Imad Faraj
Y 39' Omri Altman
Lincoln 45' Y

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Fenerbahçe SK 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals AEK Larnaka

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct AEK Larnaka H 2–0 W
15 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–2 D
08 Sep FK Dynamo Kyiv H 2–1 W
25 Aug FK Austria Wien H 4–1 W
18 Aug FK Austria Wien A 2–0 W
11 Aug 1. FC Slovacko A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct Fenerbahçe SK A 0–2 L
15 Sep FK Dynamo Kyiv A 1–0 W
08 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 1–2 L
25 Aug SK Dnipro-1 H 3–0 W
18 Aug SK Dnipro-1 A 2–1 W
11 Aug FK Partizan Beograd A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Fenerbahçe SK to score. At the same time, AEK Larnaka does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 9' A meaty challenge results in booking for Oier on 9.
  • 12' Poor challenge from Imad Faraj. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 17' Over 17 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 26' Brilliant from the forward! Michy Batshuayi makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 26.
  • 31' Fenerbahçe SK are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AEK Larnaka backline.
  • 36' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 39' Omri Altman has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 39.
  • 44' Imad Faraj is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fenerbahçe SK so far.
  • 45' Lincoln picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jorge Jesus might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 55' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 60' Fenerbahçe SK are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AEK Larnaka's shape.
  • 65' Fenerbahçe SK currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Giorgos Naoum. He replaces Oier on 69 minute.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Fenerbahce SK. Emre Mor is replaced by Irfan Can Kahveci.
  • 77' AEK Larnaka are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 80' What a moment for Rafail Mamas! That strike on 80 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 80' A tactical swap from AEK Larnaka — Pere Pons on, Rafael Lopes off on 80 minutes.
  • 85' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 87' Serdar Aziz has so much to prove this time. He replaces Diego Rossi on 87 minute.
  • 88' The Fenerbahce SK manager makes a substitution. Michy Batshuayi departs to be replaced by Arda Guler.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Fenerbahçe SK 2-0 AEK Larnaka.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 Fenerbahçe SK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 AEK Larnaka xG
I would bet for: Fenerbahçe SK to win 57% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fenerbahçe SK57% Draw26% AEK Larnaka17%
Actual: Fenerbahçe SK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Fenerbahçe SK or Draw
82%
Draw or AEK Larnaka
43%
Fenerbahçe SK or AEK Larnaka
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fenerbahçe SK39% Draw48% AEK Larnaka13%
Actual: Fenerbahçe SK win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
6.3%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
2.6%
0 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Fenerbahçe SK

Handicap Fenerbahçe SK covers Push AEK Larnaka covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 18% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 25% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Fenerbahçe SK keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
AEK Larnaka keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.