FK Orenburg vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2022-23

FK Orenburg

2 – 4

Full Time

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Sat 16 Jul 2022 · 14:30 UTC Gazovik Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — RFPL at Gazovik Stadium.

FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 games · 32 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 12 games · Avg 2.7 goals PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Last 5 meetings

2022-07-16 FK Orenburg 2–4 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2020-02-28 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 FK Orenburg 2019-10-20 FK Orenburg 0–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2019-04-03 FK Orenburg 3–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2018-08-05 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–3 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Jul	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	2–4	L
22 Jul	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	1–0	W
15 Jul	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	1–4	L
12 Jul	FK Rostov	H	0–0	D
08 Jul	PFC CSKA Moskva	H	0–4	L
05 Jul	FK Rubin Kazan	A	0–1	L

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Jul	FK Orenburg	A	4–2	W
21 May	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	0–1	L
14 May	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	0–1	L
06 May	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	5–2	W
01 May	FK Spartak Moskva	A	1–2	L
24 Apr	FK Khimki	A	1–4	L

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
#12	Position	#11
29	Points	32
30	Played	30
7 / 8 / 15	W / D / L	8 / 8 / 14
29	Scored	35
44	Conceded	50
-15	GD	-15
0.97	PPG	1.07
23%	Win %	27%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

20% Clean Sheets
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

2/4

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/3

61-75

3/1

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara gets underway.
5' FK Orenburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
10' The travelling PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
20' FK Orenburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Roman Evgenjev is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara.
30' FK Orenburg have won 207 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
31' What composure from Dmitrii Tsypchenko! The Russia international strokes it home. 1-0.
36' Sergey Pinyaev has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
41' Danila Khotulev, a Russia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
46' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
49' Roman Ezhov is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
54' A stunning finish from Maksim Glushenkov — that came from absolutely nowhere!
59' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
64' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
66' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara ring the changes. Dmitrii Tsypchenko has done his job and it is now time for Denis Yakuba to step up.
67' A tactical swap from PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — Denis Yakuba on, Dmitrii Tsypchenko off on 67 minutes.
72' A stunning finish from Maksim Glushenkov — that came from absolutely nowhere!
73' GOAL! Maksim Glushenkov scores on 73.
76' It is a substitution in PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara team. Glenn Bijl is replaced by Maksim Vityugov on 76 minute.
77' Another change for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara made on 77 minute. Glenn Bijl leaves to be changed by Maksim Vityugov.
82' Aleksandr Kovalenko has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
84' GOAL! Denis Yakuba scores on 84.
84' The supporters are chanting for Nikolai Titkov. He replaces Juryj Kavaliou on 84 minute.
85' Brilliant from the ! Denis Yakuba makes it 1-6 with a superb finish on 85.
87' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara ring the changes. Ilya Gaponov has done his job and it is now time for Roman Evgenjev to step up.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Orenburg.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineups

Starting XI

23
Glenn Bijl ↓ Maksim Vityugov 77'
95
Ilya Gaponov ↓ Roman Evgenjev 87'
21
Dmytro Ivanisenia
15
Maksim Glushenkov ↓ Vladislav Shitov 87'
1
Ivan Lomaev
4
Aleksandr Soldatenkov
5
Yurii Gorshkov
11
Roman Ezhov
7
Dmitrii Tsypchenko ↓ Denis Yakuba 67'
9
Sergey Pinyaev
14
Aleksandr Kovalenko

Bench

Coach Igor Osinkin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Maksim Glushenkov	3
Dmitrii Tsypchenko	3
Jimmy Marin	2
Andrei Kozlov	2
Ivan Sergeev	2
Denis Yakuba	2
Andrei Kozlov	2
Dmitri Vorobyov	2

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2022-07-16 FK Orenburg 2–4 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara L 2020-07-22 FK Dinamo Moskva 0–1 FK Orenburg W 2020-07-15 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 4–1 FK Orenburg L 2020-07-12 FK Orenburg 0–0 FK Rostov D 2020-07-08 FK Orenburg 0–4 PFC CSKA Moskva L 2020-07-05 FK Rubin Kazan 1–0 FK Orenburg L

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Form

2022-07-16 FK Orenburg 2–4 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W 2022-05-21 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L 2022-05-14 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara L 2022-05-06 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 5–2 FK Dinamo Moskva W 2022-05-01 FK Spartak Moskva 2–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara L 2022-04-24 FK Khimki 4–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.57 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.67 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG

I would bet for: FK Orenburg or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 73% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg36% Draw27% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara37%

Actual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.24

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

62%

Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

64%

FK Orenburg or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg27% Draw43% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara30%

Actual: FK Orenburg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted

2 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

11.2%

1 – 2

8.3%

2 – 1

7.8%

2 – 2

6.4%

0 – 1

5.8%

0 – 0

5.5%

0 – 2

5.5%

1 – 0

5.4%

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 3

4.6%

3 – 1

4.1%

2 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	11%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	18%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	19%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	12%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.