Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
1 – 0
Full Time
FK Orenburg
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC Gazprom Arena 24,316 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gustavo Mantuan pen 61' 1–0
Y 59' Andrey Malykh
Wendel 72' Y
Y 72' Maksim Sidorov
Y 74' Stepan Oganesyan

Overview

Match Preview

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Gazprom Arena.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 68
2 FK Krasnodar 30 66
3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 53
4 FK Spartak Moskva 30 52
5 PFC CSKA Moskva 30 51
6 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 46
7 FK Dinamo Moskva 30 45
8 FK Rubin Kazan 30 43
9 RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 37
10 FK Rostov 30 33
11 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 32
12 FK Orenburg 30 29
13 FK Akron Tolyatti 30 27
14 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 30 26
15 FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 23
16 PFK Sochi 30 22

Head-to-Head

10
2
4
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 16 games · Avg 3.6 goals FK Orenburg
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2023-09-30 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2023-05-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2022-09-11 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 8–0 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct FK Orenburg H 1–0 W
28 Sep FK Krasnodar A 0–2 L
21 Sep FK Fakel Voronezh H 3–1 W
14 Sep PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–0 W
31 Aug FK Nizhny Novgorod A 3–0 W
24 Aug FK Spartak Moskva H 0–0 D
FK Orenburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–1 L
27 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod H 1–2 L
22 Sep FK Khimki A 0–0 D
14 Sep FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–4 L
01 Sep FK Dinamo Moskva H 2–2 D
24 Aug FK Fakel Voronezh A 0–1 L

Season Stats

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg FK Orenburg
#1 Position #12
68 Points 29
30 Played 30
20 / 8 / 2 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
53 Scored 29
19 Conceded 44
+34 GD -15
2.27 PPG 0.97
67% Win % 23%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (68 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg get us underway at Gazprom Arena.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nuraly Alip suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aleksandr Kovalenko, as he is very good at scoring at Gazprom Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' Maksim Sidorov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg and FK Orenburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' FK Orenburg has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' A tactical swap from FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — Aleksandr Erokhin on, Claudinho off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 56' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are deployed in a 4-1-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 59' The referee has no hesitation. Andrey Malykh is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 59.
  • 61' Gustavo Mantuan has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 61 minutes.
  • 66' Evgeniy Latyshonok is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Orenburg so far.
  • 68' Artur Guimaraes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luciano Gondou at the 68 minute mark.
  • 69' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Saeid Saharkhizan departs to be replaced by Stepan Oganesyan.
  • 72' Wendel is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
  • 74' Stepan Oganesyan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 74.
  • 79' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 84' Russia international Yaroslav Mikhailov has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 88' Another change for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg made on 88 minute. Mateo Cassierra leaves to be changed by Aleksandr Sobolev.
  • 90' Another substitution for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg to replace Gustavo Mantuan by Vyacheslav Karavaev on 90 minute.
  • FK Orenburg will have plenty to reflect on. FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergey Semak

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach David Deogracia

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Sardar Azmoun 5
Gustavo Mantuan 4
Wendel 3
Aleksandr Erokhin 3
Aleksandr Erokhin 2
Ivan Sergeev 2
Artem Dzyuba 2
Malcom 2

Head to Head

2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2023-09-30 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2023-05-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2022-09-11 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 8–0 FK Orenburg

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form

2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg W 2024-09-28 FK Krasnodar 2–0 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2024-09-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 3–1 FK Fakel Voronezh W 2024-09-14 PFC CSKA Moskva 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-08-31 FK Nizhny Novgorod 0–3 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-08-24 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 0–0 FK Spartak Moskva D

FK Orenburg Form

2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-09-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2024-09-22 FK Khimki 0–0 FK Orenburg D 2024-09-14 FK Orenburg 2–4 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L 2024-09-01 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Dinamo Moskva D 2024-08-24 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–0 FK Orenburg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.49 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg to win 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg71% Draw20% FK Orenburg9%
Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg or Draw
91%
Draw or FK Orenburg
29%
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg or FK Orenburg
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg51% Draw43% FK Orenburg6%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
16.3%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
10.8%
0 – 0
9.8%
1 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
7.8%
4 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
3.2%
4 – 1
2.9%
5 – 0
2.3%
2 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Handicap FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 23% 52%
-1.5 48% — 52%
-1 48% 25% 27%
-0.5 73% — 27%
+0.5 93% — 7%
+1 93% 5% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet
62% ✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.