Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC Gazprom Arena 24,316 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gustavo Mantuan pen 61' 1–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct FK Orenburg H 1–0 W
28 Sep FK Krasnodar A 0–2 L
21 Sep FK Fakel Voronezh H 3–1 W
14 Sep PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–0 W
31 Aug FK Nizhny Novgorod A 3–0 W
24 Aug FK Spartak Moskva H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–1 L
27 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod H 1–2 L
22 Sep FK Khimki A 0–0 D
14 Sep FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–4 L
01 Sep FK Dinamo Moskva H 2–2 D
24 Aug FK Fakel Voronezh A 0–1 L

Season Stats

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg FK Orenburg
#1 Position #12
68 Points 29
30 Played 30
20 / 8 / 2 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
53 Scored 29
19 Conceded 44
+34 GD -15
2.27 PPG 0.97
67% Win % 23%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (68 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/
31-45
/1
46-60
5/
61-75
/2
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.49 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg to win 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg71% Draw20% FK Orenburg9%
Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg or Draw
91%
Draw or FK Orenburg
29%
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg or FK Orenburg
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg51% Draw43% FK Orenburg6%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
16.3%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
10.8%
0 – 0
9.8%
1 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
7.8%
4 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
3.2%
4 – 1
2.9%
5 – 0
2.3%
2 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Handicap FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 23% 52%
-1.5 48% 52%
-1 48% 25% 27%
-0.5 73% 27%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet
62%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.