FK Orenburg vs FK Dinamo Moskva, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Dinamo Moskva — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- FK Dinamo Moskva 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Aug | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | FK Rostov | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | FK Akron Tolyatti | H | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–5 | L |
| 28 Jul | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | FK Orenburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Aug | FK Krasnodar | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Aug | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jul | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Dinamo Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #7 |
| 29 | Points | 45 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 12 / 9 / 9 |
| 29 | Scored | 51 |
| 44 | Conceded | 40 |
| -15 | GD | +11 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 23% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Stadion Gazovik. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FK Orenburg and FK Dinamo Moskva.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Stadion Gazovik. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' The travelling FK Dinamo Moskva supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' FK Dinamo Moskva looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Konstantin Tyukavin scoring 1 goals.
- 20' Saeid Saharkhizan makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and FK Orenburg are in front.
- 25' FK Dinamo Moskva fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' FK Dinamo Moskva is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 36' Andrey Malykh is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
- 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mohammad Ghorbani, as he is very good at scoring at Stadion Gazovik with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 46' FK Dinamo Moskva started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
- 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Fabian Balbuena on 51.
- 56' FK Dinamo Moskva have won 348 goals from 363 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 61' FK Dinamo Moskva come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 64' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Matias Perez makes it 2-0.
- 66' The FK Dinamo Moskva manager makes a substitution. Yaroslav Gladyshev departs to be replaced by El Mehdi Maouhoub.
- 68' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Stepan Oganesyan has done his job and it is now time for Dmitrii Rybchinskii to step up.
- 71' The referee calls foul for Ivan Basic. He receives a card.
- 72' El Mehdi Maouhoub doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bogdan Moskvichev suffering a number of foals already.
- 81' The crowd applauds Jorge Carrascal as he leaves the pitch. Denis Makarov steps in for FK Dinamo Moskva.
- 86' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 89' It is a substitution in FK Dinamo Moskva team. Dmitrii Skopintsev is replaced by Nicolas Marichal on 89 minute.
- The final score is 2-2.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 87
- 22
-
8
Ivan Basic ↓ Justin Cuero 81'
- 11
- 4
-
12
Andrey Malykh ↓ Jordhy Thompson 81'
- 6
- 9
- 81
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 31
-
20
Dmitrii Rybchinskii ↑ 68'
- 13
- 14
- 24
- 18
- 35
-
16
Jordhy Thompson ↑ 81'
- 7
-
19
Justin Cuero ↑ 81'
- 38
- 96
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
- 93
- 7
- 1
- 2
-
8
Jorge Carrascal ↓ Denis Makarov 81'
- 70
- 91
- 6
- 24
- 10
Bench
- 31
-
77
Denis Makarov ↑ 81'
- 34
-
18
Nicolas Marichal ↑ 89'
- 80
- 47
- 52
- 69
-
–
El Mehdi Maouhoub ↑ 66'
Coach
Marcel Licka
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Konstantin Tyukavin | 3 |
| Du Queiroz | 2 |
| Bitelo | 2 |
| Vladimir Sychevoi | 2 |
| Luis Chavez | 2 |
| Saeid Saharkhizan | 2 |
| Jorge Carrascal | 2 |
| Brian Mansilla | 2 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Dinamo Moskva Form
2024-09-01
FK Orenburg
2–2
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2024-08-25
FK Dinamo Moskva
0–1
FK Krasnodar
L
2024-08-17
FK Dinamo Moskva
1–0
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
2024-08-10
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
1–0
FK Dinamo Moskva
L
2024-08-03
FK Akron Tolyatti
0–2
FK Dinamo Moskva
W
2024-07-27
FK Dinamo Moskva
3–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.35
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
FK Dinamo Moskva xG
I would bet for:
FK Orenburg or FK Dinamo Moskva 73% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
57%
Draw or FK Dinamo Moskva
70%
FK Orenburg or FK Dinamo Moskva
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Dinamo Moskva covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 21% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 14% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

