FK Orenburg vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Sep | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Aug | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | FK Rostov | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | FK Akron Tolyatti | H | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | FK Orenburg | A | 4–2 | W |
| 01 Sep | FK Krasnodar | H | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Aug | FK Rostov | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Aug | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 5–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 29 | Points | 53 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 5 |
| 29 | Scored | 54 |
| 44 | Conceded | 39 |
| -15 | GD | +15 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.77 |
| 23% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FK Orenburg gets underway.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Orenburg and FK Lokomotiv Moskva are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' FK Lokomotiv Moskva are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 16' What a strike from Aleksey Batrakov! The score is 0-1.
- 21' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Lokomotiv Moskva backline.
- 26' FK Orenburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' Poor challenge from Danila Prokhin. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Stadion Gazovik. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 36' Saeid Saharkhizan has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 36 minutes.
- 39' The Russia Aleksey Batrakov breaks the deadlock on 39 minutes. 1-2!
- 41' Brian Mansilla picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' The FK Lokomotiv Moskva manager makes a substitution. Nair Tiknizyan departs to be replaced by Vadim Rakov.
- 51' Timur Suleimanov is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Lokomotiv Moskva so far.
- 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 57' Vadim Rakov is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
- 61' Magnificent from Saeid Saharkhizan! That is 7 goals in 342 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Jordhy Thompson. He replaces Stepan Oganesyan on 63 minute.
- 68' Danila Khotulev has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 9 cards already picked up this season.
- 69' Sergey Pinyaev is replacing Artem Karpukas for the FK Lokomotiv Moskva side.
- 72' Aleksey Batrakov has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 72.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Yaroslav Mikhailov. He replaces Aleksandr Kovalenko on 73 minute.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Timur Suleimanov. He replaces Dmitry Vorobyev on 78 minute.
- 83' Dmitry Vorobyev has been relatively quiet despite scoring 20 goals in his last 149 appearances.
- 85' Against the run of play, Gerzino Nyamsi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 87' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Feyttullah Gurluk on, Danila Prokhin off on 87 minutes.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FK Lokomotiv Moskva take all three points.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 87
- 22
- 11
- 4
- 12
- 6
- 18
- 9
- 81
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 80
- 31
- 20
- 13
-
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↑ 73'
- 35
-
16
Jordhy Thompson ↑ 63'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 87'
- 38
- 96
- 7
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 5
-
71
Nair Tiknizyan ↓ Vadim Rakov 46'
- 10
- 24
- 77
- 45
- 22
-
93
Artem Karpukas ↓ Sergey Pinyaev 69'
- 59
- 6
- 83
Bench
- 23
-
99
Timur Suleimanov ↑ 78'
-
8
Vladislav Sarveli ↑ 69'
- 1
- –
-
9
Sergey Pinyaev ↑ 69'
-
27
Vadim Rakov ↑ 46'
- 94
- 14
- 37
- 16
Coach
Mikhail Galaktionov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ivan Ignatjev | 5 |
| Aleksey Batrakov | 4 |
| Maksim Glushenkov | 3 |
| Gyrano Kerk | 2 |
| Jefferson Farfan | 2 |
| Saeid Saharkhizan | 2 |
| Dmitri Vorobyov | 1 |
| Artem Kulishev | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form
2024-09-14
FK Orenburg
2–4
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
2024-09-01
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0–3
FK Krasnodar
L
2024-08-25
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–2
FK Rostov
W
2024-08-18
PFC CSKA Moskva
0–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
2024-08-10
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
2–0
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
W
2024-08-04
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0–5
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.28
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.58
FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
41%
Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
80%
FK Orenburg or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–4 not predicted2 – 4Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
7.4%
0 – 2
7.1%
0 – 3
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 4
4.8%
2 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
4.4%
0 – 4
3.8%
0 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| +0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +1 | 36% | 20% | 44% |
| +1.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +2 | 56% | 19% | 25% |
| +2.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.