FK Orenburg vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Sep | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Aug | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | FK Rostov | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | FK Akron Tolyatti | H | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | FK Orenburg | A | 4–2 | W |
| 01 Sep | FK Krasnodar | H | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Aug | FK Rostov | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Aug | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 5–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 29 | Points | 53 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 14 / 11 / 5 |
| 29 | Scored | 54 |
| 44 | Conceded | 39 |
| -15 | GD | +15 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.77 |
| 23% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
23%
Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Stadion Gazovik will turn into a battlefield for FK Orenburg and FK Lokomotiv Moskva.
- 5' FK Lokomotiv Moskva started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mikhail Galaktionov might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 16' GOAL! Aleksey Batrakov scores on 16. Assisted by Artem Karpukas
- 21' FK Lokomotiv Moskva is showing some good football. However, FK Lokomotiv Moskva are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 26' FK Orenburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 30' Danila Prokhin catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 30.
- 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 36' Saeid Saharkhizan doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 39' Sensational shot from Aleksey Batrakov. FK Lokomotiv Moskva is back in the lead.
- 41' Brian Mansilla picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' It is a substitution in FK Lokomotiv Moskva team. Nair Tiknizyan is replaced by Vadim Rakov on 46 minute.
- 51' FK Orenburg are deployed in a 4-1-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against FK Lokomotiv Moskva's 4-4-2 shape.
- 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mikhail Galaktionov will be considering his options from the bench.
- 57' Vadim Rakov was booked on 57.
- 61' What composure from Saeid Saharkhizan! The Iran international strokes it home. 2-2.
- 63' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Stepan Oganesyan departs to be replaced by Jordhy Thompson.
- 68' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Orenburg in their 4-1-4-1 trying to find a way past FK Lokomotiv Moskva's compact 4-4-2.
- 69' Another substitution for FK Lokomotiv Moskva to replace Artem Karpukas by Sergey Pinyaev on 69 minute.
- 72' Controversy at the stadium! Aleksey Batrakov argues furiously but the card stands.
- 73' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Aleksandr Kovalenko is withdrawn and Yaroslav Mikhailov gets his opportunity.
- 78' FK Lokomotiv Moskva ring the changes. Dmitry Vorobyev has done his job and it is now time for Timur Suleimanov to step up.
- 83' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Orenburg and FK Lokomotiv Moskva are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 85' A goal from the Cameroon international Gerzino Nyamsi! He fires home on 85 to make it 2-3!
- 87' FK Orenburg make a change. Danila Prokhin trudges off to be replaced by Feyttullah Gurluk on 87 minutes.
- The final score is 2-4.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 87
- 22
- 11
- 4
- 12
- 6
- 18
- 9
- 81
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 80
- 31
- 20
- 13
-
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↑ 73'
- 35
-
16
Jordhy Thompson ↑ 63'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 87'
- 38
- 96
- 7
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 5
-
71
Nair Tiknizyan ↓ Vadim Rakov 46'
- 10
- 24
- 77
- 45
- 22
-
93
Artem Karpukas ↓ Sergey Pinyaev 69'
- 59
- 6
- 83
Bench
- 23
-
99
Timur Suleimanov ↑ 78'
-
8
Vladislav Sarveli ↑ 69'
- 1
- –
-
9
Sergey Pinyaev ↑ 69'
-
27
Vadim Rakov ↑ 46'
- 94
- 14
- 37
- 16
Coach
Mikhail Galaktionov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ivan Ignatjev | 5 |
| Aleksey Batrakov | 4 |
| Maksim Glushenkov | 3 |
| Gyrano Kerk | 2 |
| Jefferson Farfan | 2 |
| Saeid Saharkhizan | 2 |
| Eder | 1 |
| Dmitri Vorobyov | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form
2024-09-14
FK Orenburg
2–4
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
2024-09-01
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0–3
FK Krasnodar
L
2024-08-25
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–2
FK Rostov
W
2024-08-18
PFC CSKA Moskva
0–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
2024-08-10
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
2–0
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
W
2024-08-04
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0–5
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.28
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.58
FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
41%
Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
80%
FK Orenburg or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–4 not predicted2 – 4Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
7.4%
0 – 2
7.1%
0 – 3
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 4
4.8%
2 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
4.4%
0 – 4
3.8%
0 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| +0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +1 | 36% | 20% | 44% |
| +1.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +2 | 56% | 19% | 25% |
| +2.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.