FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2022-23

FK Orenburg

2 – 2

Full Time

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Sat 20 May 2023 · 13:30 UTC Gazovik Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 8' Wilmar Barrios

Braian Mansilla 58' Y

Y 61' Dmitri Chistyakov

Y 77' Claudinho

Mikhail Sivakov 85' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — RFPL at Gazovik Stadium.

FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 games · 68 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 16 games · Avg 3.6 goals FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2022-09-11 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 8–0 FK Orenburg 2020-07-15 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 4–1 FK Orenburg 2019-07-28 FK Orenburg 0–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2019-03-31 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 3–1 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 May	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	2–2	D
13 May	FK Ural	A	1–2	L
07 May	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	1–2	L
30 Apr	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	1–0	W
22 Apr	FK Fakel Voronezh	A	3–1	W
16 Apr	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	1–4	L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 May	FK Orenburg	A	2–2	D
13 May	FK Krasnodar	H	2–2	D
07 May	FK Spartak Moskva	H	3–2	W
29 Apr	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	5–1	W
22 Apr	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	3–1	W
16 Apr	FK Rostov	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
#12	Position	#1
29	Points	68
30	Played	30
7 / 8 / 15	W / D / L	20 / 8 / 2
29	Scored	53
44	Conceded	19
-15	GD	+34
0.97	PPG	2.27
23%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (68 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! FK Orenburg welcome FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg for this crunch clash at Gazovik Stadium.
5' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
8' The referee shows FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg player a Yellow card on 8.
13' FK Orenburg are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg's shape.
18' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marcel Licka will be considering his options from the bench.
23' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Orenburg and FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
28' Gustavo Mantuan is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
29' Brilliant from the ! Gustavo Mantuan makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 29.
34' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Orenburg and FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Vladimir Obukhov, as he is very good at scoring at Gazovik Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
41' What a moment for Aleksandr Ektov! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
46' Danil Krugovoi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
58' Braian Mansilla catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 58.
61' That is a Yellow card for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg. Dmitri Chistyakov will be fuming at that decision.
62' Renato Gojkovic is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
67' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
70' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dmitri Vorobyov is hanging Timur Ayupov on the field on 70 minute.
71' It is a substitution in FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg team. Aleksei Sutormin is replaced by Daler Kuzyaev on 71 minute.
74' Stepan Oganesyan is replacing Vladimir Obukhov for the FK Orenburg side.
77' A moment of madness from Claudinho on 77 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg will be frustrated.
78' The whistle greets Claudinho as he departs to be replaced by Aleksandr Erokhin.
80' Mikhail Sivakov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kirill Kaplenko on 80 minute.
85' A moment of madness from Mikhail Sivakov on 85 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
86' Another substitution for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg to replace Danil Krugovoi by Arsen Adamov on 86 minute.
Game over. The scoreline of 2-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

Starting XI

9
Braian Mansilla
55
Kirill Kaplenko ↓ Mikhail Sivakov 80'
15
Renato Gojkovic
21
Cesar Florentin
99
Nikolai Sysuev
5
Timur Ayupov ↓ Dmitri Vorobyov 70'
13
Vladimir Obukhov ↓ Stepan Oganesyan 74'
22
Matias Perez
19
Aleksandr Ektov
23
Lucas Vera
25
Kiril Pechenin

Bench

Coach Marcel Licka

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

21
Aleksandr Erokhin ↑ 78'
14
Daler Kuzyaev ↑ 71'
41
Mikhail Kerzhakov
23
Arsen Adamov ↑ 86'
33
Ivan Sergeev ↑ 71'
94
Danila Kozlov

Coach Sergey Semak

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sardar Azmoun	5
Gustavo Mantuan	4
Wendel	3
Aleksandr Erokhin	3
Aleksandr Erokhin	2
Ivan Sergeev	2
Artem Dzyuba	2
Malcom	2

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2023-05-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg D 2023-05-13 FK Ural 2–1 FK Orenburg L 2023-05-07 PFC CSKA Moskva 2–1 FK Orenburg L 2023-04-30 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod W 2023-04-22 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–3 FK Orenburg W 2023-04-16 FK Orenburg 1–4 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form

2023-05-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg D 2023-05-13 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2–2 FK Krasnodar D 2023-05-07 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 3–2 FK Spartak Moskva W 2023-04-29 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–5 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2023-04-22 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 3–1 FK Dinamo Moskva W 2023-04-16 FK Rostov 0–0 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.87 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.43 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg to win 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg18% Draw22% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg60%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 3.3

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

40%

Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

82%

FK Orenburg or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg11% Draw38% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg51%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 2

10.8%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 1

8.6%

1 – 1

8.5%

0 – 3

8.5%

1 – 3

7.4%

0 – 4

5.1%

0 – 0

5.1%

1 – 4

4.5%

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

3.3%

2 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	3%	96%
-1.5	4%	—	96%
-1	4%	7%	89%
-0.5	11%	—	89%
+0.5	30%	—	70%
+1	30%	22%	48%
+1.5	52%	—	48%
+2	52%	21%	28%
+2.5	72%	—	28%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.