FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2023-24

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

1 – 0

Full Time

FK Orenburg

Sun 21 Apr 2024 · 13:15 UTC Gazprom Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Matias Perez

Y 55' Leo Goglichidze

Y 66' Maksim Sidorov

Y 70' Danila Prokhin

Nino 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Gazprom Arena.

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 games · 68 pts (2025/26)
FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 16 games · Avg 3.6 goals FK Orenburg

Last 5 meetings

2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2023-09-30 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2023-05-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2022-09-11 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 8–0 FK Orenburg 2020-07-15 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 4–1 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Apr	FK Orenburg	H	1–0	W
13 Apr	FK Krasnodar	A	2–1	W
07 Apr	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	1–0	W
30 Mar	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	1–1	D
09 Mar	FK Ural	A	4–1	W
02 Mar	FK Spartak Moskva	H	0–0	D

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Apr	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	0–1	L
14 Apr	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	3–1	W
08 Apr	FK Rubin Kazan	H	3–0	W
31 Mar	FK Fakel Voronezh	A	0–0	D
10 Mar	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	1–0	W
02 Mar	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg		FK Orenburg
#1	Position	#12
68	Points	29
30	Played	30
20 / 8 / 2	W / D / L	7 / 8 / 15
53	Scored	29
19	Conceded	44
+34	GD	-15
2.27	PPG	0.97
67%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season

20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (68 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

–/2

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

2/4

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg and FK Orenburg is underway.
5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sergey Semak might look to freshen things up shortly.
10' Maksim Sidorov has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 342 appearances.
15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
23' Claudinho doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
28' Russia international Nikolai Sysuev has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
33' Wendel is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Orenburg so far.
38' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Orenburg backline.
43' FK Orenburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Matias Perez.
46' Andrei Mostovoi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pedrinho Santos on 46 minute.
51' Yaroslav Mikhailov is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg tonight.
55' It’s gonna be a card for Leo Goglichidze.
60' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg and FK Orenburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
63' Yaroslav Mikhailov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ivan Basic at the 63 minute mark.
66' Maksim Sidorov picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
69' The whistle greets Mateo Cassierra as he departs to be replaced by Ivan Sergeev.
70' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Danila Prokhin.
70' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Brian Mansilla by Jimmy Marin on 70 minute.
75' Brian Mansilla, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
80' Jordhy Thompson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
82' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg player sees a card in front of him.
83' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Dmitry Vorobyev by Stepan Oganesyan on 83 minute.
88' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
90' Vyacheslav Karavaev makes way for Rodrigao at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg.
With this win, FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergey Semak

FK Orenburg Lineups

Starting XI

21
Cesar Florentin
99
Nikolai Sysuev
5
Leo Goglichidze
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Stepan Oganesyan 83'
22
Matias Perez ↓ Danila Prokhin 46'
8
Ivan Basic ↓ Yaroslav Mikhailov 63'
4
Danila Khotulev
23
Lucas Vera ↓ Mohammad Ghorbani 46'
9
Brian Mansilla ↓ Jimmy Marin 70'
–
Jordhy Thompson
81
Maksim Sidorov

Bench

Coach David Deogracia

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sardar Azmoun	5
Gustavo Mantuan	4
Wendel	3
Aleksandr Erokhin	3
Artem Dzyuba	2
Malcom	2
Aleksandr Erokhin	2
Ivan Sergeev	2

Head to Head

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form

2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg W 2024-04-13 FK Krasnodar 1–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-04-07 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad W 2024-03-30 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg D 2024-03-09 FK Ural 1–4 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-03-02 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 0–0 FK Spartak Moskva D

FK Orenburg Form

2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-04-14 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod W 2024-04-08 FK Orenburg 3–0 FK Rubin Kazan W 2024-03-31 FK Fakel Voronezh 0–0 FK Orenburg D 2024-03-10 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad W 2024-03-02 PFC CSKA Moskva 1–1 FK Orenburg D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.51 FK Orenburg xG

I would bet for: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg to win 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg68% Draw21% FK Orenburg11%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes35% 0% No65%

Avg goals/match: 2.56

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg or Draw

89%

Draw or FK Orenburg

32%

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg or FK Orenburg

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg51% Draw43% FK Orenburg6%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

15.9%

1 – 0

Actual

3 – 0

10.6%

0 – 0

9.5%

1 – 1

8.5%

2 – 1

3 – 1

5.6%

4 – 0

5.5%

0 – 1

3.2%

4 – 1

5 – 0

2.3%

2 – 2

Asian Handicap — FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Handicap	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers	Push	FK Orenburg covers
-2.5	25%	—	75%
-2	25%	22%	53%
-1.5	47%	—	53%
-1	47%	25%	27%
-0.5	73%	—	27%
+0.5	93%	—	7%
+1	93%	5%	2%
+1.5	98%	—	2%
+2	98%	1%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet

60% ✓

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.