FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2023-24

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

1 – 0

Full Time

FK Orenburg

Sun 21 Apr 2024 · 13:15 UTC Gazprom Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Matias Perez

Y 55' Leo Goglichidze

Y 66' Maksim Sidorov

Y 70' Danila Prokhin

Nino 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Gazprom Arena.

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 games · 68 pts (2026/27)
FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 16 games · Avg 3.6 goals FK Orenburg

Last 5 meetings

2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2023-09-30 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2023-05-20 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2022-09-11 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 8–0 FK Orenburg 2020-07-15 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 4–1 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Apr	FK Orenburg	H	1–0	W
13 Apr	FK Krasnodar	A	2–1	W
07 Apr	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	1–0	W
30 Mar	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	1–1	D
09 Mar	FK Ural	A	4–1	W
02 Mar	FK Spartak Moskva	H	0–0	D

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Apr	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	0–1	L
14 Apr	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	3–1	W
08 Apr	FK Rubin Kazan	H	3–0	W
31 Mar	FK Fakel Voronezh	A	0–0	D
10 Mar	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	1–0	W
02 Mar	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg		FK Orenburg
#1	Position	#12
68	Points	29
30	Played	30
20 / 8 / 2	W / D / L	7 / 8 / 15
53	Scored	29
19	Conceded	44
+34	GD	-15
2.27	PPG	0.97
67%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (68 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg and FK Orenburg is underway.
5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sergey Semak will be considering his options from the bench.
10' Ivan Basic, a Bosnia-Herzegovina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Claudinho made 252 appearances and scored 22 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
20' FK Orenburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
23' Claudinho is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
28' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Orenburg winning 50% of all matches.
33' FK Orenburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
38' A quiet spell here at Gazprom Arena. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
43' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's shape.
45' It’s a booking for FK Orenburg player. Matias Perez gets a card.
46' Pedrinho Santos makes way for Andrei Mostovoi at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg.
51' It’s high time David Deogracia made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
55' That looks like a foul for a card for Leo Goglichidze.
60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Orenburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
63' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Ivan Basic is withdrawn and Yaroslav Mikhailov gets his opportunity.
66' That is a card for FK Orenburg. Maksim Sidorov will be fuming at that decision.
69' Ivan Sergeev is replacing Mateo Cassierra for the FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg side.
70' Danila Prokhin picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
70' It is a substitution in FK Orenburg team. Brian Mansilla is replaced by Jimmy Marin on 70 minute.
75' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
80' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Orenburg backline.
82' Nino has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
83' Dmitry Vorobyev makes way for Stepan Oganesyan at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Orenburg.
88' Supporters expect more eagerness from Strahinja Erakovic, as he is very good at scoring at Gazprom Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
90' Time for substitution for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg. Vyacheslav Karavaev is replaced by Rodrigao.
FK Orenburg will have plenty to reflect on. FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergey Semak

FK Orenburg Lineups

Starting XI

21
Cesar Florentin
99
Nikolai Sysuev
5
Leo Goglichidze
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Stepan Oganesyan 83'
22
Matias Perez ↓ Danila Prokhin 46'
8
Ivan Basic ↓ Yaroslav Mikhailov 63'
4
Danila Khotulev
23
Lucas Vera ↓ Mohammad Ghorbani 46'
9
Brian Mansilla ↓ Jimmy Marin 70'
–
Jordhy Thompson
81
Maksim Sidorov

Bench

Coach David Deogracia

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sardar Azmoun	5
Gustavo Mantuan	4
Wendel	3
Aleksandr Erokhin	3
Aleksandr Erokhin	2
Ivan Sergeev	2
Artem Dzyuba	2
Malcom	2

Head to Head

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form

2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg W 2024-04-13 FK Krasnodar 1–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-04-07 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad W 2024-03-30 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg D 2024-03-09 FK Ural 1–4 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-03-02 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 0–0 FK Spartak Moskva D

FK Orenburg Form

2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-04-14 FK Orenburg 3–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod W 2024-04-08 FK Orenburg 3–0 FK Rubin Kazan W 2024-03-31 FK Fakel Voronezh 0–0 FK Orenburg D 2024-03-10 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad W 2024-03-02 PFC CSKA Moskva 1–1 FK Orenburg D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.51 FK Orenburg xG

I would bet for: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg to win 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg68% Draw21% FK Orenburg11%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes35% 0% No65%

Avg goals/match: 2.56

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg or Draw

89%

Draw or FK Orenburg

32%

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg or FK Orenburg

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg51% Draw43% FK Orenburg6%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

15.9%

1 – 0

Actual

3 – 0

10.6%

0 – 0

9.5%

1 – 1

8.5%

2 – 1

3 – 1

5.6%

4 – 0

5.5%

0 – 1

3.2%

4 – 1

5 – 0

2.3%

2 – 2

Asian Handicap — FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Handicap	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers	Push	FK Orenburg covers
-2.5	25%	—	75%
-2	25%	22%	53%
-1.5	47%	—	53%
-1	47%	25%	27%
-0.5	73%	—	27%
+0.5	93%	—	7%
+1	93%	5%	2%
+1.5	98%	—	2%
+2	98%	1%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet

60% ✓

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.