FK Orenburg vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Dec | PFK Sochi | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Nov | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Nov | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar | FK Orenburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Mar | PFK Sochi | H | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Dec | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Nov | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Nov | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #6 |
| 29 | Points | 46 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 11 / 13 / 6 |
| 29 | Scored | 38 |
| 44 | Conceded | 21 |
| -15 | GD | +17 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 23% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! FK Orenburg welcome FK Baltika Kaliningrad for this crunch clash at Stadion Gazovik.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Orenburg in their trying to find a way past FK Baltika Kaliningrad's compact .
- 10' FK Baltika Kaliningrad has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Arsen Adamov suffering a number of foals already.
- 16' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Matias Perez.
- 21' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 26' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ivan Basic made 184 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 41' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Orenburg and FK Baltika Kaliningrad are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Kirill Kaplenko.
- 46' Cesar Florentin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ivan Basic at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Orenburg and FK Baltika Kaliningrad are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 60' Another change for FK Baltika Kaliningrad made on 60 minute. Yuriy Kovalev leaves to be changed by Dmitrii Rybchinskii.
- 65' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Jordhy Thompson exits the field as Jimmy Marin enters on 65.
- 68' The FK Baltika Kaliningrad bench stirs into life. Roberto Fernandez is withdrawn and Kirill Malyarov gets his opportunity.
- 73' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 78' FK Baltika Kaliningrad started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 78.
- 79' Fresh legs for FK Baltika Kaliningrad! Vitaliy Lisakovich comes on to replace Kirill Kaplenko.
- 80' What a strike from Jimmy Marin! The score is 1-0.
- 83' Danila Prokhin gets the nod from FK Orenburg. He replaces Yaroslav Mikhailov and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' FK Orenburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Baltika Kaliningrad backline.
- 90' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Lucas Vera is withdrawn and Mohammad Ghorbani gets his opportunity.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FK Orenburg take all three points.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 99
- 5
- 10
- 22
- 6
-
8
Ivan Basic ↓ Cesar Florentin 46'
- 4
- 14
-
23
Lucas Vera ↓ Mohammad Ghorbani 90'
- 9
-
–
Jordhy Thompson ↓ Jimmy Marin 65'
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 65'
- 2
- 15
- 90
-
21
Cesar Florentin ↑ 46'
- 13
-
–
Danila Prokhin ↑ 83'
- 3
- 12
-
66
Mohammad Ghorbani ↑ 90'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 65'
- 19
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 17
- –
- –
- 7
-
–
Danila Kozlov ↓ Sergey Pryakhin 68'
- –
- 1
- –
- –
- –
Bench
- 35
- –
-
–
Dmitrii Rybchinskii ↑ 60'
- 9
-
3
Kirill Malyarov ↑ 68'
- 59
- 18
-
–
Vitaliy Lisakovich ↑ 79'
- 26
-
19
Sergey Pryakhin ↑ 68'
-
5
Aleksandr Osipov ↑ 79'
- 4
Coach
Sergey Ignashevich
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gedeon Guzina | 1 |
| Jimmy Marin | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2024-03-10
FK Orenburg
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2024-03-03
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–0
PFK Sochi
D
2023-12-10
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–1
FK Rubin Kazan
L
2023-12-02
FK Fakel Voronezh
0–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2023-11-25
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–2
FK Spartak Moskva
L
2023-11-12
FK Nizhny Novgorod
0–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.64
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 80% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 1.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 2.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 3.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
| ± 4.5 | 2% |
|
98% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
68%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
67%
FK Orenburg or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
65%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
24.9%
0 – 1
17.6%
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 1
3.9%
0 – 3
2.2%
2 – 2
1.9%
1 – 3
1.6%
3 – 0
0.9%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 17% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 24% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
53%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.