FK Orenburg vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Dec | PFK Sochi | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Nov | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Nov | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar | FK Orenburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Mar | PFK Sochi | H | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Dec | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Nov | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Nov | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #6 |
| 29 | Points | 46 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 11 / 13 / 6 |
| 29 | Scored | 38 |
| 44 | Conceded | 21 |
| -15 | GD | +17 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 23% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
47%
Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FK Orenburg is hosting FK Baltika Kaliningrad for another epic battle.
- 5' FK Baltika Kaliningrad has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 10' Danila Kozlov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 15' FK Orenburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 16' It’s a booking for FK Orenburg player. Matias Perez gets a card.
- 21' Matias Perez, a Argentina , has 32 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 26' FK Baltika Kaliningrad have won 40 goals from 60 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 31' FK Baltika Kaliningrad are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 36' FK Baltika Kaliningrad seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 41' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Orenburg and FK Baltika Kaliningrad are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Kirill Kaplenko.
- 46' The crowd applauds Ivan Basic as he leaves the pitch. Cesar Florentin steps in for FK Orenburg.
- 51' The 27-year-old Dmitrii Rybchinskii has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yaroslav Mikhailov, as he is very good at scoring at Stadion Gazovik with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 60' FK Baltika Kaliningrad make a change. Yuriy Kovalev trudges off to be replaced by Dmitrii Rybchinskii on 60 minutes.
- 65' Jimmy Marin is replacing Jordhy Thompson for the FK Orenburg side.
- 68' A tactical swap from FK Baltika Kaliningrad — Kirill Malyarov on, Roberto Fernandez off on 68 minutes.
- 73' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 78' FK Orenburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 79' The crowd applauds Kirill Kaplenko as he leaves the pitch. Vitaliy Lisakovich steps in for FK Baltika Kaliningrad.
- 80' What a moment for Jimmy Marin! That strike on 80 puts his side firmly in control.
- 83' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 83 minute. Yaroslav Mikhailov leaves to be changed by Danila Prokhin.
- 88' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sergey Ignashevich will be considering his options from the bench.
- 90' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Mohammad Ghorbani on, Lucas Vera off on 90 minutes.
- Full Time. FK Orenburg beats FK Baltika Kaliningrad
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 99
- 5
- 10
- 22
- 6
-
8
Ivan Basic ↓ Cesar Florentin 46'
- 4
- 14
-
23
Lucas Vera ↓ Mohammad Ghorbani 90'
- 9
-
–
Jordhy Thompson ↓ Jimmy Marin 65'
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 65'
- 2
- 15
- 90
-
21
Cesar Florentin ↑ 46'
- 13
-
–
Danila Prokhin ↑ 83'
- 3
- 12
-
66
Mohammad Ghorbani ↑ 90'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 65'
- 19
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 17
- –
- –
- 7
-
–
Danila Kozlov ↓ Sergey Pryakhin 68'
- –
- 1
- –
- –
- –
Bench
- 35
- –
-
–
Dmitrii Rybchinskii ↑ 60'
- 9
-
3
Kirill Malyarov ↑ 68'
- 59
- 18
-
–
Vitaliy Lisakovich ↑ 79'
- 26
-
19
Sergey Pryakhin ↑ 68'
-
5
Aleksandr Osipov ↑ 79'
- 4
Coach
Sergey Ignashevich
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jimmy Marin | 1 |
| Gedeon Guzina | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2024-03-10
FK Orenburg
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2024-03-03
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–0
PFK Sochi
D
2023-12-10
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–1
FK Rubin Kazan
L
2023-12-02
FK Fakel Voronezh
0–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2023-11-25
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–2
FK Spartak Moskva
L
2023-11-12
FK Nizhny Novgorod
0–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.64
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 80% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 1.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 2.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 3.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
| ± 4.5 | 2% |
|
98% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
68%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
67%
FK Orenburg or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
65%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
24.9%
0 – 1
17.6%
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 1
3.9%
0 – 3
2.2%
2 – 2
1.9%
1 – 3
1.6%
3 – 0
0.9%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 17% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 24% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
53%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.