Sunday , 16 August 2026

PFC CSKA Moskva vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 11:00 UTC VEB Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PFC CSKA Moskva vs FK OrenburgRFPL at VEB Arena.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar FK Orenburg H 1–1 D
10 Dec FK Krasnodar A 0–1 L
03 Dec FK Rostov H 2–0 W
25 Nov FK Dinamo Moskva H 2–3 L
11 Nov FK Fakel Voronezh A 1–1 D
05 Nov FK Nizhny Novgorod H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–1 D
10 Dec PFK Sochi A 1–1 D
03 Dec FK Krasnodar A 1–2 L
26 Nov RFK Akhmat Grozny H 1–1 D
12 Nov FK Dinamo Moskva A 0–2 L
06 Nov FK Rostov H 1–1 D

Season Stats

PFC CSKA Moskva FK Orenburg
#5 Position #12
51 Points 29
30 Played 30
15 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
44 Scored 29
33 Conceded 44
+11 GD -15
1.70 PPG 0.97
50% Win % 23%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

PFC CSKA Moskva are 5th (51 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! PFC CSKA Moskva welcome FK Orenburg for this crunch clash at VEB Arena.
  • 5' PFC CSKA Moskva started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Cesar Florentin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. PFC CSKA Moskva must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 25' PFC CSKA Moskva is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yaroslav Mikhailov suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' Jordhy Thompson, a Chile , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. PFC CSKA Moskva and FK Orenburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 60' FK Orenburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 65' FK Orenburg have won 207 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 67' Tamerlan Musaev gets the nod from PFC CSKA Moskva. He replaces Fedor Chalov and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 68 minute. Jordhy Thompson leaves to be changed by Feyttullah Gurluk.
  • 73' The supporters are chanting for Anton Zabolotnyi. He replaces Abbosbek Fayzullaev on 73 minute.
  • 78' Arsen Adamov is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for PFC CSKA Moskva tonight.
  • 81' Brilliant from the ! Tamerlan Musaev makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 81.
  • 85' A tactical swap from FK OrenburgJustin Cuero on, Lucas Vera off on 85 minutes.
  • 86' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Yaroslav Mikhailov has done his job and it is now time for Cesar Florentin to step up.
  • 90' FK Orenburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' It is a substitution in FK Orenburg team. Brian Mansilla is replaced by Danila Prokhin on 90 minute.
  • It finishes all square. PFC CSKA Moskva and FK Orenburg share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.89 PFC CSKA Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: PFC CSKA Moskva to win 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PFC CSKA Moskva56% Draw24% FK Orenburg20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

PFC CSKA Moskva or Draw
81%
Draw or FK Orenburg
44%
PFC CSKA Moskva or FK Orenburg
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PFC CSKA Moskva41% Draw44% FK Orenburg15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.6%
3 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
4 – 0
3%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — PFC CSKA Moskva

Handicap PFC CSKA Moskva covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 23% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

PFC CSKA Moskva keeps clean sheet
39%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.