Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC RZD-Arena 6,791 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sergey Pinyaev 57' 1–0
1–1 66' Aleksey Tataev

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FK Orenburg H 1–1 D
26 Apr FK Rostov A 1–1 D
19 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 3–0 W
12 Apr FK Rubin Kazan A 0–1 L
05 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 1–1 D
28 Mar PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 1–1 D
27 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 0–2 L
19 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 2–1 W
12 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–2 L
04 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod A 2–1 W
29 Mar FK Dinamo Moskva A 1–5 L

Season Stats

FK Lokomotiv Moskva FK Orenburg
#14 Position #11
7 Points 9
9 Played 9
1 / 4 / 4 W / D / L 1 / 6 / 2
8 Scored 7
11 Conceded 10
-3 GD -3
0.78 PPG 1.00
11% Win % 11%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
25% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 14th (7 pts). FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/2
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Lokomotiv Moskva
Zelimkhan Bakaev 1 G 1 A
Sergey Pinyaev 1 G
FK Orenburg
Ruslan Kul 3 G
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FK Lokomotiv Moskva50% Draw28% FK Orenburg22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
78%
Draw or FK Orenburg
50%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or FK Orenburg
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Lokomotiv Moskva34% Draw51% FK Orenburg15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.7%
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Handicap FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 25% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
44% ✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.