FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at RZD-Arena.
- FK Lokomotiv Moskva 14 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Moskva | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Rostov | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Orenburg | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Rodina Moskva | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | FK Orenburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | FK Rostov | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Mar | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Lokomotiv Moskva | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #10 |
| 11 | Points | 17 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 2 / 5 / 7 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 3 |
| 16 | Scored | 14 |
| 21 | Conceded | 14 |
| -5 | GD | +0 |
| 0.79 | PPG | 1.21 |
| 14% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
44%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 15th (11 pts). FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
| Nikolay Komlichenko | 3 G | 1 A |
| Nikolai Titkov | 3 G | 1 A |
| Zelimkhan Bakaev | 1 G | 1 A |
| Sergey Pinyaev | 1 G |
FK Orenburg
| Jordhy Thompson | 3 G | 3 A |
| Gedeon Guzina | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | 1 A |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FK Orenburg gets underway.
- 4' Evgeni Morozov is having his name booked by the referee on 4.
- 9' Atsamaz Revazov, a , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 14' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 29' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 34' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 38' Saeid Saharkhizan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
- 43' Brian Mansilla has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 351 appearances.
- 46' Maksim Savelyev is replacing Saeid Saharkhizan for the FK Orenburg side.
- 49' The referee calls foul for Artiom Timofeev. He receives a card.
- 51' That looks like a foul for a card for Andrey Malykh.
- 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yaroslav Mikhailov is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Lokomotiv Moskva.
- 57' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sergey Pinyaev makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 61' The whistle greets Andrey Malykh as he departs to be replaced by Kazimcan Karatas.
- 64' FK Lokomotiv Moskva receives a card for a hard tackle on 64.
- 66' Goal! Aleksey Tataev scores his 1 goal in 4 matches.
- 67' Vladislav Sarveli makes way for Danila Godyaev at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Lokomotiv Moskva.
- 72' Poor challenge from Ivan Basic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 74' Sergey Pinyaev makes way for Timur Suleimanov at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Lokomotiv Moskva.
- 77' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Bogdan Moskvichev exits the field as Nikolai Sysuev enters on 77.
- 82' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 84' Atsamaz Revazov gets the nod from FK Orenburg. He replaces Feyttullah Gurluk and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Vadim Rakov 74'
- 24
- 45
- 8
- 1
- 9
- 85
- 59
- 94
- 6
- 83
Bench
- 5
- 71
- 23
-
99
Timur Suleimanov ↑ 74'
- 3
- 22
- 7
- 93
-
27
Vadim Rakov ↑ 74'
- 14
-
90
Danila Godyaev ↑ 67'
- 16
Coach
Mikhail Galaktionov
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 20
- 5
- 87
-
8
Ivan Basic ↓ Yaroslav Mikhailov 77'
- 12
- 9
- 7
- 81
- 38
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 31
-
99
Nikolai Sysuev ↑ 77'
- 11
- 4
-
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↑ 77'
- 24
-
35
Kazimcan Karatas ↑ 61'
- 59
- 96
-
90
Maksim Savelyev ↑ 46'
- 50
-
77
Atsamaz Revazov ↑ 84'
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ivan Ignatjev | 5 |
| Aleksey Batrakov | 4 |
| Maksim Glushenkov | 3 |
| Jefferson Farfan | 2 |
| Saeid Saharkhizan | 2 |
| Gyrano Kerk | 2 |
| Anton Miranchuk | 1 |
| Gerzino Nyamsi | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form
2025-05-03
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
FK Orenburg
D
2025-04-26
FK Rostov
1–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
D
2025-04-19
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–0
FK Nizhny Novgorod
W
2025-04-12
FK Rubin Kazan
1–0
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
2025-04-05
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
D
2025-03-28
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
5–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
FK Orenburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5
FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
75%
Draw or FK Orenburg
52%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or FK Orenburg
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva
| Handicap | FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 23% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

