Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC RZD-Arena 6,791 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sergey Pinyaev 57' 1–0
1–1 66' Aleksey Tataev

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FK Orenburg H 1–1 D
26 Apr FK Rostov A 1–1 D
19 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 3–0 W
12 Apr FK Rubin Kazan A 0–1 L
05 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 1–1 D
28 Mar PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 1–1 D
27 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 0–2 L
19 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 2–1 W
12 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–2 L
04 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod A 2–1 W
29 Mar FK Dinamo Moskva A 1–5 L

Season Stats

FK Lokomotiv Moskva FK Orenburg
#3 Position #12
53 Points 29
30 Played 30
14 / 11 / 5 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
54 Scored 29
39 Conceded 44
+15 GD -15
1.77 PPG 0.97
47% Win % 23%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.21 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + FK Lokomotiv Moskva to win 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FK Lokomotiv Moskva60% Draw22% FK Orenburg18%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
82%
Draw or FK Orenburg
40%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or FK Orenburg
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Lokomotiv Moskva47% Draw40% FK Orenburg13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.1%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4%
4 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Handicap FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 19% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 22% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
39%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.