Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC RZD-Arena 7,982 HT 45' · FT 45'
Dmitry Vorobyev 45+3' 1–0
Sergey Pinyaev 56' 2–0
Artem Karpukas 90+6' 3–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 0–3 L
12 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D
04 Apr FK Orenburg H 1–2 L
29 Mar FK Khimki A 0–2 L
16 Mar FK Rubin Kazan A 0–1 L
07 Mar FK Krasnodar H 0–3 L

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/2
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Lokomotiv Moskva
Zelimkhan Bakaev 1 G 1 A
Sergey Pinyaev 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! FK Lokomotiv Moskva welcome FK Nizhny Novgorod for this crunch clash at RZD-Arena.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yaroslav Krashevskiy, as he is very good at scoring at RZD-Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Lokomotiv Moskva and FK Nizhny Novgorod are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' FK Lokomotiv Moskva are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' FK Nizhny Novgorod fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' Aleksey Batrakov has been relatively quiet despite scoring 16 goals in his last 356 appearances.
  • 31' The referee calls foul for Nikita Kakkoev. He receives a card.
  • 34' Danila Godyaev makes way for Vladislav Sarveli at the 34 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Lokomotiv Moskva.
  • 39' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 44' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mikhail Galaktionov will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Sven Karic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 48' Dmitry Vorobyev doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 53' Anton Mitryushkin is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Nizhny Novgorod tonight.
  • 56' Against the run of play, Sergey Pinyaev has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 62' A change in the FK Nizhny Novgorod ranks — Vyacheslav Grulev exits the field as Juan Castillo enters on 62.
  • 67' FK Lokomotiv Moskva is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 70' Sergey Pinyaev makes way for Nair Tiknizyan at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Lokomotiv Moskva.
  • 71' FK Nizhny Novgorod ring the changes. Ilya Agapov has done his job and it is now time for Yaroslav Krashevskiy to step up.
  • 76' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 79' A change in the FK Lokomotiv Moskva ranks — Dmitry Vorobyev exits the field as Timur Suleimanov enters on 79.
  • 84' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 84 minutes.
  • 86' Poor challenge from Ilya Samoshnikov. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 88' Thiago Vecino has so much to prove this time. He replaces Juan Boselli on 88 minute.
  • With this win, FK Lokomotiv Moskva is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.87 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for: FK Lokomotiv Moskva to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Lokomotiv Moskva64% Draw22% FK Nizhny Novgorod14%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
87%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
36%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or FK Nizhny Novgorod
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Lokomotiv Moskva44% Draw45% FK Nizhny Novgorod11%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.9%
2 – 0
12.4%
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
9.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Handicap FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers Push FK Nizhny Novgorod covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 20% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 25% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
48% ✗
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.