Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
Sun 12 May 2024 · 11:00 UTC Stadion Gazovik HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–2 L
04 May PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–1 W
29 Apr FK Rostov A 1–2 L
24 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–2 L
21 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–1 L
14 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May FK Orenburg A 2–0 W
06 May FK Rostov H 1–0 W
28 Apr FK Spartak Moskva A 2–3 L
24 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod A 3–2 W
20 Apr FK Rubin Kazan A 1–1 D
13 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva H 3–3 D

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Lokomotiv Moskva
#11 Position #14
9 Points 7
9 Played 9
1 / 6 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 4 / 4
7 Scored 8
10 Conceded 11
-3 GD -3
1.00 PPG 0.78
11% Win % 11%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
25% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season

FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 14th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/2
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg
Ruslan Kul 3 G
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
Zelimkhan Bakaev 1 G 1 A
Sergey Pinyaev 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.98 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
I would bet for: FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg27% Draw29% FK Lokomotiv Moskva44%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
56%
Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
73%
FK Orenburg or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg19% Draw50% FK Lokomotiv Moskva31%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
11.8%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 23% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 14% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.